Tri Pointe Homes Stock Beneish M Score

TPH Stock  USD 44.62  2.00  4.69%   
This module uses fundamental data of TRI Pointe to approximate the value of its Beneish M Score. TRI Pointe M Score tells investors if the company management is likely to be manipulating earnings. The score is calculated using eight financial indicators that are adjusted by a specific multiplier. Please note, the M Score is a probabilistic model and cannot detect companies that manipulate their earnings with 100% accuracy. Check out TRI Pointe Piotroski F Score and TRI Pointe Altman Z Score analysis.
  
As of now, TRI Pointe's Debt Equity Ratio is increasing as compared to previous years. The TRI Pointe's current Cash Flow To Debt Ratio is estimated to increase to 0.15, while Short and Long Term Debt Total is projected to decrease to under 1.2 B. As of now, TRI Pointe's Free Cash Flow Yield is increasing as compared to previous years. The TRI Pointe's current Operating Cash Flow Per Share is estimated to increase to 2.08, while Price To Sales Ratio is projected to decrease to 0.89.
At this time, it appears that TRI Pointe Homes is an unlikely manipulator. The earnings manipulation may begin if TRI Pointe's top management creates an artificial sense of financial success, forcing the stock price to be traded at a high price-earnings multiple than it should be. In general, excessive earnings management by TRI Pointe executives may lead to removing some of the operating profits from subsequent periods to inflate earnings in the following periods. This way, the manipulation of TRI Pointe's earnings can lead to misrepresentations of actual financial condition, taking the otherwise loyal stakeholders on to the path of questionable ethical practices and plain fraud.
-2.28
Beneish M Score - Unlikely Manipulator
Elasticity of Receivables

1.47

Focus
Asset Quality

1.06

Focus
Expense Coverage

0.87

Focus
Gross Margin Strengs

0.76

Focus
Accruals Factor

0.87

Focus
Depreciation Resistance

1.25

Focus
Net Sales Growth

0.71

Focus
Financial Leverage Condition

1.55

Focus

TRI Pointe Beneish M-Score Indicator Trends

The cure to earnings manipulation is the transparency of financial reporting. It will typically remove the temptation of the top executives to inflate earnings (i.e., to promote the idea of 'winning at any cost'). Because a healthy internal audit department can enhance transparency, the board should promote the auditors' access to all the record-keeping systems across the enterprise. For example, if TRI Pointe's auditors report directly to the board (not management), the managers will be reluctant to manipulate simply due to the fear of punishment. On the other hand, the auditors will be free to investigate the ledgers properly because they know that the board has their back.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Net Receivables235.9 M224.6 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Total Revenue2.7 B3.7 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Total Assets3.4 B4.9 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Total Current AssetsB4.4 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Non Current Assets Total344.2 M483.5 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Depreciation And Amortization14.8 M26.9 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Selling General Administrative135.3 M218 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Total Current Liabilities343.1 M518.4 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Non Current Liabilities Total1.2 B1.4 B
Fairly Down
Slightly volatile
Short Term Debt41.8 M44 M
Notably Down
Slightly volatile
Long Term Debt1.1 B1.4 B
Significantly Down
Slightly volatile
Long Term Investments138.4 M131.8 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Gross Profit Margin0.170.2243
Way Down
Slightly volatile

TRI Pointe Homes Beneish M-Score Driver Matrix

One of the toughest challenges investors face today is learning how to quickly synthesize historical financial statements and information provided by the company, SEC reporting, and various external parties in order to detect the potential manipulation of earnings. Understanding the correlation between TRI Pointe's different financial indicators related to revenue, expenses, operating profit, and net earnings helps investors identify and prioritize their investing strategies towards TRI Pointe in a much-optimized way. Analyzing correlations between earnings drivers directly associated with dollar figures is the most effective way to find TRI Pointe's degree of accounting gimmicks and manipulations.

About TRI Pointe Beneish M Score

M-Score is one of many grading techniques for value stocks. It was developed by Professor M. Daniel Beneish of the Kelley School of Business at Indiana University and published in 1999 under the paper titled The Detection of Earnings Manipulation. The Beneish score is a multi-factor model that utilizes financial identifiers to compile eight variables used to classify whether a company has manipulated its reported earnings. The variables are built from the officially filed financial statements to create a final score call 'M Score.' The score helps to identify companies that are likely to manipulate their profits if they show deteriorating gross margins, operating expenses, and leverage against growing revenue.

Other Operating Expenses

2.32 Billion

As of now, TRI Pointe's Other Operating Expenses is increasing as compared to previous years.

TRI Pointe Earnings Manipulation Drivers

Although earnings manipulation is typically not the result of intentional misconduct by the c-level executives, it is still a widespread practice by the senior management of public companies such as TRI Pointe. It is usually done by a series of misrepresentations of various accounting rules and operating activities across multiple financial cycles. The best way to spot the manipulation is to examine the historical financial statement to find inconsistencies in earning reports to find trends in assets or liabilities that are not sustainable in the future.
201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Net Receivables69.3M63.6M117.0M169.4M224.6M235.9M
Total Revenue3.1B3.3B4.0B4.3B3.7B2.7B
Total Assets3.9B4.0B4.3B4.7B4.9B3.4B
Total Current Assets3.5B3.6B3.9B4.2B4.4B3.0B
Net Debt955.0M721.7M656.2M488.4M513.6M754.5M
Short Term Debt250M259.0M250.5M10.6M44.0M41.8M
Long Term Debt250M1.3B1.3B1.4B1.4B1.1B
Operating Income253.9M366.5M605.0M746.5M442.2M329.7M
Investments7.0M(65.3M)(42.6M)(58.1M)(26.4M)(27.7M)

TRI Pointe ESG Sustainability

Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, TRI Pointe's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to TRI Pointe's managers, analysts, and investors.
Environmental
Governance
Social

About TRI Pointe Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze TRI Pointe Homes's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of TRI Pointe using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of TRI Pointe Homes based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

When determining whether TRI Pointe Homes offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of TRI Pointe's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Tri Pointe Homes Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Tri Pointe Homes Stock:
Check out TRI Pointe Piotroski F Score and TRI Pointe Altman Z Score analysis.
You can also try the Sign In To Macroaxis module to sign in to explore Macroaxis' wealth optimization platform and fintech modules.
Is Household Durables space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of TRI Pointe. If investors know TRI will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about TRI Pointe listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.553
Earnings Share
4.81
Revenue Per Share
47.48
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.365
Return On Assets
0.0759
The market value of TRI Pointe Homes is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of TRI that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of TRI Pointe's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is TRI Pointe's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because TRI Pointe's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect TRI Pointe's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between TRI Pointe's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if TRI Pointe is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, TRI Pointe's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.