Trinseo Sa Stock Beneish M Score

TSE Stock  USD 3.46  0.21  6.46%   
This module uses fundamental data of Trinseo SA to approximate the value of its Beneish M Score. Trinseo SA M Score tells investors if the company management is likely to be manipulating earnings. The score is calculated using eight financial indicators that are adjusted by a specific multiplier. Please note, the M Score is a probabilistic model and cannot detect companies that manipulate their earnings with 100% accuracy. Check out Trinseo SA Piotroski F Score and Trinseo SA Altman Z Score analysis.
For information on how to trade Trinseo Stock refer to our How to Trade Trinseo Stock guide.
  
At present, Trinseo SA's Cash Flow To Debt Ratio is projected to increase slightly based on the last few years of reporting. At present, Trinseo SA's Stock Based Compensation To Revenue is projected to increase slightly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Inventory Turnover is expected to grow to 9.48, whereas Dividend Yield is forecasted to decline to 0.06.
At this time, it appears that Trinseo SA is a possible manipulator. The earnings manipulation may begin if Trinseo SA's top management creates an artificial sense of financial success, forcing the stock price to be traded at a high price-earnings multiple than it should be. In general, excessive earnings management by Trinseo SA executives may lead to removing some of the operating profits from subsequent periods to inflate earnings in the following periods. This way, the manipulation of Trinseo SA's earnings can lead to misrepresentations of actual financial condition, taking the otherwise loyal stakeholders on to the path of questionable ethical practices and plain fraud.
-1.86
Beneish M Score - Possible Manipulator
Elasticity of Receivables

1.03

Focus
Asset Quality

2.25

Focus
Expense Coverage

0.96

Focus
Gross Margin Strengs

1.85

Focus
Accruals Factor

0.96

Focus
Depreciation Resistance

1.65

Focus
Net Sales Growth

0.99

Focus
Financial Leverage Condition

0.61

Focus

Trinseo SA Beneish M-Score Indicator Trends

The cure to earnings manipulation is the transparency of financial reporting. It will typically remove the temptation of the top executives to inflate earnings (i.e., to promote the idea of 'winning at any cost'). Because a healthy internal audit department can enhance transparency, the board should promote the auditors' access to all the record-keeping systems across the enterprise. For example, if Trinseo SA's auditors report directly to the board (not management), the managers will be reluctant to manipulate simply due to the fear of punishment. On the other hand, the auditors will be free to investigate the ledgers properly because they know that the board has their back.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Net Receivables502.3 M490.8 M
Fairly Up
Slightly volatile
Total Revenue3.6 B3.7 B
Fairly Down
Slightly volatile
Total Assets3.1 BB
Fairly Up
Slightly volatile
Total Current Assets1.6 B1.2 B
Significantly Up
Slightly volatile
Non Current Assets Total1.4 B1.8 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Property Plant Equipment2.4 B2.2 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Depreciation And Amortization135.3 M221.2 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Selling General Administrative293.2 M309 M
Notably Down
Slightly volatile
Total Current Liabilities516 M672.6 M
Way Down
Very volatile
Non Current Liabilities Total1.8 B2.6 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Net Debt1.2 B2.1 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Short Term Debt33 M53.5 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Long Term Debt1.6 B2.3 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Total Cash From Operating Activities237.3 M148.7 M
Way Up
Very volatile
Long Term Investments226.2 M252.2 M
Moderately Down
Slightly volatile
Gross Profit Margin0.07180.0387
Way Up
Pretty Stable

Trinseo SA Beneish M-Score Driver Matrix

One of the toughest challenges investors face today is learning how to quickly synthesize historical financial statements and information provided by the company, SEC reporting, and various external parties in order to detect the potential manipulation of earnings. Understanding the correlation between Trinseo SA's different financial indicators related to revenue, expenses, operating profit, and net earnings helps investors identify and prioritize their investing strategies towards Trinseo SA in a much-optimized way. Analyzing correlations between earnings drivers directly associated with dollar figures is the most effective way to find Trinseo SA's degree of accounting gimmicks and manipulations.

About Trinseo SA Beneish M Score

M-Score is one of many grading techniques for value stocks. It was developed by Professor M. Daniel Beneish of the Kelley School of Business at Indiana University and published in 1999 under the paper titled The Detection of Earnings Manipulation. The Beneish score is a multi-factor model that utilizes financial identifiers to compile eight variables used to classify whether a company has manipulated its reported earnings. The variables are built from the officially filed financial statements to create a final score call 'M Score.' The score helps to identify companies that are likely to manipulate their profits if they show deteriorating gross margins, operating expenses, and leverage against growing revenue.

Other Operating Expenses

3.52 Billion

At present, Trinseo SA's Other Operating Expenses is projected to decrease significantly based on the last few years of reporting.

Trinseo SA Earnings Manipulation Drivers

Although earnings manipulation is typically not the result of intentional misconduct by the c-level executives, it is still a widespread practice by the senior management of public companies such as Trinseo SA. It is usually done by a series of misrepresentations of various accounting rules and operating activities across multiple financial cycles. The best way to spot the manipulation is to examine the historical financial statement to find inconsistencies in earning reports to find trends in assets or liabilities that are not sustainable in the future.
201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Net Receivables570.8M529.2M740.2M586M490.8M502.3M
Total Revenue3.8B3.0B4.8B5.0B3.7B3.6B
Total Assets2.8B2.8B4.7B3.8B3.0B3.1B
Total Current Assets1.5B1.5B2.0B1.4B1.2B1.6B
Net Debt764.4M635.7M1.8B2.2B2.1B1.2B
Short Term Debt25.2M27.7M55.3M50.2M53.5M33.0M
Long Term Debt1.2B1.2B2.3B2.3B2.3B1.6B
Operating Income7.9M(5.9M)291.2M(126.5M)(136.6M)(129.8M)
Investments(109.3M)46.1M(1.5B)(164M)(31.7M)(33.3M)
Gross Profit Margin0.08710.10.140.05480.03870.0718

Trinseo SA ESG Sustainability

Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, Trinseo SA's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Trinseo SA's managers, analysts, and investors.
Environmental
Governance
Social

About Trinseo SA Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Trinseo SA's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Trinseo SA using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Trinseo SA based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

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When determining whether Trinseo SA is a strong investment it is important to analyze Trinseo SA's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Trinseo SA's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Trinseo Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Trinseo SA Piotroski F Score and Trinseo SA Altman Z Score analysis.
For information on how to trade Trinseo Stock refer to our How to Trade Trinseo Stock guide.
You can also try the Idea Analyzer module to analyze all characteristics, volatility and risk-adjusted return of Macroaxis ideas.
Is Commodity Chemicals space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Trinseo SA. If investors know Trinseo will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Trinseo SA listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.74)
Dividend Share
0.04
Earnings Share
(13.99)
Revenue Per Share
99.554
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.01)
The market value of Trinseo SA is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Trinseo that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Trinseo SA's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Trinseo SA's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Trinseo SA's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Trinseo SA's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Trinseo SA's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Trinseo SA is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Trinseo SA's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.