Ubs Group Ag Stock Beneish M Score

UBS Stock  USD 31.74  0.09  0.28%   
This module uses fundamental data of UBS Group to approximate the value of its Beneish M Score. UBS Group M Score tells investors if the company management is likely to be manipulating earnings. The score is calculated using eight financial indicators that are adjusted by a specific multiplier. Please note, the M Score is a probabilistic model and cannot detect companies that manipulate their earnings with 100% accuracy. Check out UBS Group Piotroski F Score and UBS Group Altman Z Score analysis.
  
At this time, UBS Group's Cash Flow To Debt Ratio is comparatively stable compared to the past year. At this time, UBS Group's Free Cash Flow Per Share is comparatively stable compared to the past year. Net Income Per Share is likely to gain to 9.06 in 2024, whereas Book Value Per Share is likely to drop 25.50 in 2024.
At this time, it appears that UBS Group AG is an unlikely manipulator. The earnings manipulation may begin if UBS Group's top management creates an artificial sense of financial success, forcing the stock price to be traded at a high price-earnings multiple than it should be. In general, excessive earnings management by UBS Group executives may lead to removing some of the operating profits from subsequent periods to inflate earnings in the following periods. This way, the manipulation of UBS Group's earnings can lead to misrepresentations of actual financial condition, taking the otherwise loyal stakeholders on to the path of questionable ethical practices and plain fraud.
-2.98
Beneish M Score - Unlikely Manipulator
Elasticity of Receivables

1.04

Focus
Asset Quality

0.88

Focus
Expense Coverage

0.94

Focus
Gross Margin Strengs

0.89

Focus
Accruals Factor

0.94

Focus
Depreciation Resistance

0.64

Focus
Net Sales Growth

0.81

Focus
Financial Leverage Condition

1.34

Focus

UBS Group Beneish M-Score Indicator Trends

The cure to earnings manipulation is the transparency of financial reporting. It will typically remove the temptation of the top executives to inflate earnings (i.e., to promote the idea of 'winning at any cost'). Because a healthy internal audit department can enhance transparency, the board should promote the auditors' access to all the record-keeping systems across the enterprise. For example, if UBS Group's auditors report directly to the board (not management), the managers will be reluctant to manipulate simply due to the fear of punishment. On the other hand, the auditors will be free to investigate the ledgers properly because they know that the board has their back.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Net Receivables17.8 B21 B
Fairly Down
Slightly volatile
Total Revenue31.8 B39.1 B
Significantly Down
Slightly volatile
Total Assets1.3 T1.7 T
Significantly Down
Slightly volatile
Total Current Assets357.5 B340.5 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Non Current Assets Total1.1 TT
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Property Plant EquipmentB14.1 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Depreciation And Amortization3.9 B3.8 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Selling General Administrative20.8 B27.2 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Total Current Liabilities682.3 B649.8 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Non Current Liabilities Total973.5 B927.1 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Short Term Debt39.5 B38.5 B
Fairly Up
Pretty Stable
Long Term Debt384.4 B366.1 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Operating Income18.6 B34.8 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Short Term Investments2.1 B2.2 B
Notably Down
Slightly volatile
Long Term Investments199.5 B343.8 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Gross Profit Margin0.790.89
Fairly Down
Slightly volatile

UBS Group AG Beneish M-Score Driver Matrix

One of the toughest challenges investors face today is learning how to quickly synthesize historical financial statements and information provided by the company, SEC reporting, and various external parties in order to detect the potential manipulation of earnings. Understanding the correlation between UBS Group's different financial indicators related to revenue, expenses, operating profit, and net earnings helps investors identify and prioritize their investing strategies towards UBS Group in a much-optimized way. Analyzing correlations between earnings drivers directly associated with dollar figures is the most effective way to find UBS Group's degree of accounting gimmicks and manipulations.

About UBS Group Beneish M Score

M-Score is one of many grading techniques for value stocks. It was developed by Professor M. Daniel Beneish of the Kelley School of Business at Indiana University and published in 1999 under the paper titled The Detection of Earnings Manipulation. The Beneish score is a multi-factor model that utilizes financial identifiers to compile eight variables used to classify whether a company has manipulated its reported earnings. The variables are built from the officially filed financial statements to create a final score call 'M Score.' The score helps to identify companies that are likely to manipulate their profits if they show deteriorating gross margins, operating expenses, and leverage against growing revenue.

Other Operating Expenses

41.34 Billion

At this time, UBS Group's Other Operating Expenses is comparatively stable compared to the past year.

UBS Group Earnings Manipulation Drivers

Although earnings manipulation is typically not the result of intentional misconduct by the c-level executives, it is still a widespread practice by the senior management of public companies such as UBS Group. It is usually done by a series of misrepresentations of various accounting rules and operating activities across multiple financial cycles. The best way to spot the manipulation is to examine the historical financial statement to find inconsistencies in earning reports to find trends in assets or liabilities that are not sustainable in the future.
201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Net Receivables18.0B24.7B26.3B23.4B21.0B17.8B
Total Revenue29.0B33.1B35.1B33.3B39.1B31.8B
Total Assets972.2B1.1T1.1T1.1T1.7T1.3T
Total Current Assets131.4B191.1B230.0B189.3B340.5B357.5B
Net Debt70.2B42.2B23.8B20.5B60.5B63.5B
Short Term Debt21.8B46.7B43.1B29.7B38.5B39.5B
Long Term Debt155.5B200.5B213.0B188.3B366.1B384.4B
Operating Income5.6B8.2B9.5B16.1B34.8B18.6B
Investments(1.6B)(6.8B)(1.2B)(12.4B)99.0B104.0B

UBS Group ESG Sustainability

Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, UBS Group's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to UBS Group's managers, analysts, and investors.
Environmental
Governance
Social

About UBS Group Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze UBS Group AG's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of UBS Group using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of UBS Group AG based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

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Additional Tools for UBS Stock Analysis

When running UBS Group's price analysis, check to measure UBS Group's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy UBS Group is operating at the current time. Most of UBS Group's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of UBS Group's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move UBS Group's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of UBS Group to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.