Ubs Group Ag Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

UBS Stock  USD 31.74  0.09  0.28%   
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding UBS Group AG is 'Strong Hold'. A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell UBS Group AG given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards UBS Group. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for UBS Group AG, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out UBS Group Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as UBS and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. UBS Group AG. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of labor statistics.

Execute UBS Group Buy or Sell Advice

The UBS recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on UBS Group AG. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in UBS Group AG or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute UBS Group's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell UBS GroupBuy UBS Group
Strong Hold

Market Performance

WeakDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

Fairly ValuedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Below AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Responds to the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

HoldDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

PoorDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon UBS Group AG has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0443, Jensen Alpha of (0.04), Total Risk Alpha of (0.10), Sortino Ratio of (0.01) and Treynor Ratio of 0.0515
Our recommendation module can be used to complement UBS Group AG trade recommendation provided by average analyst sentiment. It analyzes the company's potential to grow using fundamental, technical, data market data available now. To make sure UBS Group AG is not overpriced, please validate all UBS Group fundamentals, including its ebitda, price to earnings to growth, annual yield, as well as the relationship between the debt to equity and total asset . Given that UBS Group AG has a price to earning of 8.52 X, we advise you to double-check UBS Group AG market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself next year given your current risk tolerance and investing horizon.

UBS Group Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

UBS Group AG has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
About 58.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from businesswire.com: Dropbox to Present at the 2024 UBS Global Technology and AI Conference

UBS Group Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of UBS Group's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of UBS Group's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of UBS Group daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use UBS Group AG price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of UBS Group returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for UBS Group.
Mean Return
0.08
Value At Risk
-2.24
Potential Upside
2.10
Standard Deviation
1.48
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of UBS Group historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

UBS Stock Institutional Investors

The UBS Group's institutional investors refer to entities that pool money to purchase UBS Group's securities or originate loans. These institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds.
Shares
Capital World Investors2024-09-30
39.4 M
Arrowstreet Capital Limited Partnership2024-06-30
33.3 M
Pzena Investment Management, Llc2024-09-30
30.8 M
Pictet Asset Manangement Sa2024-06-30
29.9 M
Deutsche Bank Ag2024-06-30
21.1 M
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2024-06-30
20 M
Amundi2024-06-30
18.6 M
Goldman Sachs Group Inc2024-06-30
17.7 M
Vontobel Holding Ltd.2024-06-30
16.1 M
Norges Bank2024-06-30
168.3 M
Ubs Group Ag2024-06-30
156.6 M
Note, although UBS Group's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

UBS Group Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change In Cash(6.2B)53.7B34.3B(12.6B)145.0B152.2B
Free Cash Flow18.1B35.1B29.6B13.0B48.1B50.5B
Depreciation1.8B2.1B2.1B2.1B3.4B3.5B
Other Non Cash Items7.3B(4.8B)3.9B(13.8B)(34.8B)(33.1B)
Dividends Paid2.5B2.6B1.3B1.7B1.7B2.2B
Capital Expenditures1.6B1.9B1.8B1.6B1.8B1.6B
Net Income4.3B6.6B7.5B7.7B27.9B29.3B
End Period Cash Flow119.9B173.5B207.9B195.3B340.3B357.3B
Investments(1.6B)(6.8B)(1.2B)(12.4B)99.0B104.0B
Net Borrowings(21.5B)16.4B15.3B(804M)(924.6M)(878.4M)
Change To Netincome7.4B(5.5B)2.8B(13.3B)(11.9B)(11.3B)

UBS Group Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to UBS Group or Capital Markets sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that UBS Group's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a UBS stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.04
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.31
σ
Overall volatility
1.50
Ir
Information ratio -0.01

UBS Group Volatility Alert

UBS Group AG has relatively low volatility with skewness of -0.39 and kurtosis of 1.26. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure UBS Group's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact UBS Group's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

UBS Group Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing UBS Group's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze UBS Group's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between UBS Group and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as UBS Group or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of UBS Group's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing UBS Group by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare UBS Group to competition
FundamentalsUBS GroupPeer Average
Return On Equity0.0528-0.31
Return On Asset0.0028-0.14
Profit Margin0.1 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.25 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation140.13 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding3.19 B571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders0.04 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions57.61 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted6.85 M4.71 M
Price To Earning8.52 X28.72 X
Price To Book1.17 X9.51 X
Price To Sales2.15 X11.42 X
Revenue39.06 B9.43 B
Gross Profit34.41 B27.38 B
EBITDA34.8 B3.9 B
Net Income27.87 B570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents419.39 B2.7 B
Cash Per Share131.79 X5.01 X
Total Debt366.11 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity16.01 %48.70 %
Book Value Per Share27.32 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations49.85 B971.22 M
Short Ratio5.27 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share1.28 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth0.40 X4.89 X
Target Price32.92
Number Of Employees109.4 K18.84 K
Beta1.0-0.15
Market Capitalization101.45 B19.03 B
Total Asset1.72 T29.47 B
Retained Earnings74.88 B9.33 B
Working Capital(229.74 B)1.48 B
Current Asset504.96 B9.34 B

UBS Group Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as UBS . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About UBS Group Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell UBS Group AG? Buying financial instruments such as UBS Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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In addition to having UBS Group in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Penny
Penny Theme
Solid stocks, funds or ETFs with below average market capitalization and typicl daily price below 2. The Penny theme has 54 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Penny Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Additional Tools for UBS Stock Analysis

When running UBS Group's price analysis, check to measure UBS Group's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy UBS Group is operating at the current time. Most of UBS Group's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of UBS Group's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move UBS Group's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of UBS Group to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.