Victory Capital Holdings Stock Beneish M Score

VCTR Stock  USD 68.36  0.14  0.20%   
This module uses fundamental data of Victory Capital to approximate the value of its Beneish M Score. Victory Capital M Score tells investors if the company management is likely to be manipulating earnings. The score is calculated using eight financial indicators that are adjusted by a specific multiplier. Please note, the M Score is a probabilistic model and cannot detect companies that manipulate their earnings with 100% accuracy. Check out Victory Capital Piotroski F Score and Victory Capital Altman Z Score analysis.
  
At this time, Victory Capital's Net Debt To EBITDA is relatively stable compared to the past year. As of 11/25/2024, Debt To Equity is likely to grow to 1.35, while Net Debt is likely to drop slightly above 721.5 M. At this time, Victory Capital's PB Ratio is relatively stable compared to the past year. As of 11/25/2024, Free Cash Flow Per Share is likely to grow to 5.16, while Free Cash Flow Yield is likely to drop 0.10.
At this time, it appears that Victory Capital Holdings is an unlikely manipulator. The earnings manipulation may begin if Victory Capital's top management creates an artificial sense of financial success, forcing the stock price to be traded at a high price-earnings multiple than it should be. In general, excessive earnings management by Victory Capital executives may lead to removing some of the operating profits from subsequent periods to inflate earnings in the following periods. This way, the manipulation of Victory Capital's earnings can lead to misrepresentations of actual financial condition, taking the otherwise loyal stakeholders on to the path of questionable ethical practices and plain fraud.
-2.77
Beneish M Score - Unlikely Manipulator
Elasticity of Receivables

1.2

Focus
Asset Quality

1.01

Focus
Expense Coverage

1.03

Focus
Gross Margin Strengs

0.53

Focus
Accruals Factor

1.03

Focus
Depreciation Resistance

0.88

Focus
Net Sales Growth

0.79

Focus
Financial Leverage Condition

1.14

Focus

Victory Capital Beneish M-Score Indicator Trends

The cure to earnings manipulation is the transparency of financial reporting. It will typically remove the temptation of the top executives to inflate earnings (i.e., to promote the idea of 'winning at any cost'). Because a healthy internal audit department can enhance transparency, the board should promote the auditors' access to all the record-keeping systems across the enterprise. For example, if Victory Capital's auditors report directly to the board (not management), the managers will be reluctant to manipulate simply due to the fear of punishment. On the other hand, the auditors will be free to investigate the ledgers properly because they know that the board has their back.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Net Receivables83.2 M87.6 M
Notably Down
Slightly volatile
Total Revenue649.7 M821 M
Significantly Down
Slightly volatile
Total Assets1.7 B2.5 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Total Current Assets140 M216.9 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Non Current Assets Total1.6 B2.3 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Property Plant Equipment15.4 M24.3 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Depreciation And Amortization39.6 M41.6 M
Notably Down
Slightly volatile
Selling General Administrative45.7 M56.3 M
Significantly Down
Slightly volatile
Total Current Liabilities171.7 M273.7 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Non Current Liabilities Total905 M1.4 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Net Debt721.5 M876.9 M
Significantly Down
Slightly volatile
Short Term Debt4.4 M4.7 M
Notably Down
Pretty Stable
Long Term Debt767.4 M989.3 M
Significantly Down
Slightly volatile
Operating Income232.3 M328.5 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Total Cash From Operating Activities223.7 M330.3 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Short Term Investments32.4 M30.8 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Long Term Investments507.3 K534 K
Notably Down
Pretty Stable
Gross Profit Margin0.410.7671
Way Down
Pretty Stable

Victory Capital Holdings Beneish M-Score Driver Matrix

One of the toughest challenges investors face today is learning how to quickly synthesize historical financial statements and information provided by the company, SEC reporting, and various external parties in order to detect the potential manipulation of earnings. Understanding the correlation between Victory Capital's different financial indicators related to revenue, expenses, operating profit, and net earnings helps investors identify and prioritize their investing strategies towards Victory Capital in a much-optimized way. Analyzing correlations between earnings drivers directly associated with dollar figures is the most effective way to find Victory Capital's degree of accounting gimmicks and manipulations.

About Victory Capital Beneish M Score

M-Score is one of many grading techniques for value stocks. It was developed by Professor M. Daniel Beneish of the Kelley School of Business at Indiana University and published in 1999 under the paper titled The Detection of Earnings Manipulation. The Beneish score is a multi-factor model that utilizes financial identifiers to compile eight variables used to classify whether a company has manipulated its reported earnings. The variables are built from the officially filed financial statements to create a final score call 'M Score.' The score helps to identify companies that are likely to manipulate their profits if they show deteriorating gross margins, operating expenses, and leverage against growing revenue.

Depreciation And Amortization

39.56 Million

At this time, Victory Capital's Depreciation And Amortization is relatively stable compared to the past year.

Victory Capital Earnings Manipulation Drivers

Although earnings manipulation is typically not the result of intentional misconduct by the c-level executives, it is still a widespread practice by the senior management of public companies such as Victory Capital. It is usually done by a series of misrepresentations of various accounting rules and operating activities across multiple financial cycles. The best way to spot the manipulation is to examine the historical financial statement to find inconsistencies in earning reports to find trends in assets or liabilities that are not sustainable in the future.
201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Net Receivables95.1M88.2M104.3M84.5M87.6M83.2M
Total Revenue612.4M775.4M890.3M854.8M821.0M649.7M
Total Assets1.8B1.7B2.6B2.5B2.5B1.7B
Total Current Assets137.8M117.0M180.5M157.9M216.9M140.0M
Net Debt887.4M746.3M1.1B947.3M876.9M721.5M
Long Term Debt924.5M769.0M1.1B985.5M989.3M767.4M
Operating Income222.3M314.7M373.8M399.1M328.5M232.3M
Investments(3.8M)(12.3M)39K(6.3M)(4.9M)(5.2M)
Gross Profit Margin0.470.520.540.530.770.41

Victory Capital ESG Sustainability

Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, Victory Capital's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Victory Capital's managers, analysts, and investors.
Environmental
Governance
Social

About Victory Capital Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Victory Capital Holdings's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Victory Capital using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Victory Capital Holdings based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

Pair Trading with Victory Capital

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Victory Capital position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Victory Capital will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with Victory Stock

  0.79V Visa Class APairCorr
  0.71DHIL Diamond Hill InvestmentPairCorr
  0.88DIST Distoken AcquisitionPairCorr
  0.83AB AllianceBernsteinPairCorr
  0.84AC Associated CapitalPairCorr

Moving against Victory Stock

  0.62PT Pintec TechnologyPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Victory Capital could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Victory Capital when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Victory Capital - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Victory Capital Holdings to buy it.
The correlation of Victory Capital is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Victory Capital moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Victory Capital Holdings moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Victory Capital can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Additional Tools for Victory Stock Analysis

When running Victory Capital's price analysis, check to measure Victory Capital's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Victory Capital is operating at the current time. Most of Victory Capital's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Victory Capital's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Victory Capital's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Victory Capital to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.