Victory Capital Holdings Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

VCTR Stock  USD 68.36  0.14  0.20%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Victory Capital Holdings is 'Strong Buy'. A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Victory Capital Holdings given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Victory Capital. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Victory Capital Holdings, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Victory Capital Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Victory and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Victory Capital Holdings. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in estimate.

Execute Victory Capital Buy or Sell Advice

The Victory recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Victory Capital Holdings. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Victory Capital Holdings or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Victory Capital's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Victory CapitalBuy Victory Capital
Strong Buy

Market Performance

GoodDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Over hypedDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Below AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Hyperactively responds to market trendsDetails

Investor Sentiment

ImpartialDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Victory Capital Holdings has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1521, Jensen Alpha of 0.1758, Total Risk Alpha of 0.0627, Sortino Ratio of 0.1312 and Treynor Ratio of 0.2086
Macroaxis provides unbiased trade recommendation on Victory Capital Holdings that should be used to complement current analysts and expert consensus on Victory Capital Holdings. Our advice engine determines the firm's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investors' current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Victory Capital Holdings is not overpriced, please validate all Victory Capital fundamentals, including its price to earning, book value per share, annual yield, as well as the relationship between the net income and number of employees . Given that Victory Capital Holdings has a price to earning of 10.07 X, we advise you to double-check Victory Capital Holdings market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your current risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Victory Capital Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Victory Capital Holdings currently holds 1 B in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 1.0, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Victory Capital Holdings has a current ratio of 0.46, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Victory Capital's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.
About 74.0% of Victory Capital outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Victory Capital Holdings Inc Trading 3.32 percent Higher on Nov 21

Victory Capital Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Victory Capital's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Victory Capital's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Victory Capital daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Victory Capital Holdings price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Victory Capital returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Victory Capital.
Mean Return
0.43
Value At Risk
-3.17
Potential Upside
3.47
Standard Deviation
2.25
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Victory Capital historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Victory Stock Institutional Investors

The Victory Capital's institutional investors refer to entities that pool money to purchase Victory Capital's securities or originate loans. These institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds.
Shares
Granahan Investment Management Inc..2024-09-30
1.1 M
State Street Corp2024-06-30
1.1 M
Geode Capital Management, Llc2024-09-30
M
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2024-06-30
891.3 K
Timessquare Capital Management, Llc2024-09-30
809.9 K
Swedbank Ab2024-09-30
750 K
Impax Asset Management Group Plc2024-06-30
675 K
Bank Of New York Mellon Corp2024-06-30
589.9 K
Nuveen Asset Management, Llc2024-06-30
473.1 K
Crestview Partners Ii Gp, Lp2024-09-30
11.6 M
Vanguard Group Inc2024-09-30
3.9 M
Note, although Victory Capital's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Victory Capital Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change To Inventory6.2M64.8M(54.9M)(19.4M)(17.5M)(16.6M)
Investments(3.8M)(12.3M)39K(6.3M)(4.9M)(5.2M)
Change In Cash(14.4M)(14.4M)46.8M(31.4M)85.4M89.6M
Net Borrowings640.6M(162.4M)493.7M(149.1M)(171.4M)(162.8M)
Free Cash Flow222.1M242.6M363.5M330.0M325.1M218.0M
Depreciation23.9M16.4M18.8M43.2M41.6M31.1M
Other Non Cash Items29.1M17.4M18.6M(41.0M)(13.6M)(12.9M)
Dividends Paid7.4M16.2M37.2M69.2M85.4M50.4M
Capital Expenditures5.2M8.1M12.7M5.2M5.2M5.8M
Net Income92.5M212.5M278.4M275.5M213.2M141.7M
End Period Cash Flow37.1M22.7M69.5M38.2M123.5M129.7M
Change To Netincome24.2M47.4M34.0M(251K)(288.7K)(274.2K)
Change Receivables322K(3.1M)(1.6M)4.8M4.3M3.7M

Victory Capital Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Victory Capital or Capital Markets sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Victory Capital's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Victory stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.18
β
Beta against Dow Jones2.00
σ
Overall volatility
2.24
Ir
Information ratio 0.13

Victory Capital Volatility Alert

Victory Capital Holdings currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.13 and Jensen Alpha of 0.18. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Victory Capital's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Victory Capital's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Victory Capital Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Victory Capital's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Victory Capital's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Victory Capital and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Victory Capital or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Victory Capital's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Victory Capital by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Victory Capital to competition
FundamentalsVictory CapitalPeer Average
Return On Equity0.24-0.31
Return On Asset0.0976-0.14
Profit Margin0.31 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.48 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation5.24 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding65.03 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders12.63 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions73.75 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted2.63 M4.71 M
Price To Earning10.07 X28.72 X
Price To Book3.78 X9.51 X
Price To Sales5.13 X11.42 X
Revenue821.03 M9.43 B
Gross Profit465.96 M27.38 B
EBITDA399.69 M3.9 B
Net Income213.16 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents78.83 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share1.15 X5.01 X
Total Debt1 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity1.00 %48.70 %
Current Ratio0.47 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share18.09 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations330.29 M971.22 M
Short Ratio11.15 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share4.03 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth0.52 X4.89 X
Target Price67.11
Number Of Employees48118.84 K
Beta0.91-0.15
Market Capitalization4.45 B19.03 B
Total Asset2.54 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings736.85 M9.33 B
Working Capital(56.77 M)1.48 B
Note: Acquisition by Crestview Partners Ii Gp, L.p. of 8 shares of Victory Capital at 57.3 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Victory Capital Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Victory . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Victory Capital Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Victory Capital Holdings? Buying financial instruments such as Victory Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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Gold ETFs Theme
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You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Gold ETFs Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Additional Tools for Victory Stock Analysis

When running Victory Capital's price analysis, check to measure Victory Capital's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Victory Capital is operating at the current time. Most of Victory Capital's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Victory Capital's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Victory Capital's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Victory Capital to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.