Waste Connections Stock Beneish M Score

WCN Stock  USD 192.81  2.94  1.55%   
This module uses fundamental data of Waste Connections to approximate the value of its Beneish M Score. Waste Connections M Score tells investors if the company management is likely to be manipulating earnings. The score is calculated using eight financial indicators that are adjusted by a specific multiplier. Please note, the M Score is a probabilistic model and cannot detect companies that manipulate their earnings with 100% accuracy. Check out Waste Connections Piotroski F Score and Waste Connections Altman Z Score analysis.
To learn how to invest in Waste Stock, please use our How to Invest in Waste Connections guide.
  
At this time, Waste Connections' Debt To Assets are very stable compared to the past year. As of the 26th of November 2024, Long Term Debt To Capitalization is likely to grow to 0.51, while Short and Long Term Debt is likely to drop about 25.1 M. At this time, Waste Connections' Net Income Per Share is very stable compared to the past year. As of the 26th of November 2024, Days Of Inventory On Hand is likely to grow to 8.91, while Price To Sales Ratio is likely to drop 2.89.
At this time, it appears that Waste Connections is an unlikely manipulator. The earnings manipulation may begin if Waste Connections' top management creates an artificial sense of financial success, forcing the stock price to be traded at a high price-earnings multiple than it should be. In general, excessive earnings management by Waste Connections executives may lead to removing some of the operating profits from subsequent periods to inflate earnings in the following periods. This way, the manipulation of Waste Connections' earnings can lead to misrepresentations of actual financial condition, taking the otherwise loyal stakeholders on to the path of questionable ethical practices and plain fraud.
-2.78
Beneish M Score - Unlikely Manipulator
Elasticity of Receivables

1.0

Focus
Asset Quality

0.98

Focus
Expense Coverage

1.0

Focus
Gross Margin Strengs

0.83

Focus
Accruals Factor

1.0

Focus
Depreciation Resistance

1.0

Focus
Net Sales Growth

1.05

Focus
Financial Leverage Condition

1.0

Focus

Waste Connections Beneish M-Score Indicator Trends

The cure to earnings manipulation is the transparency of financial reporting. It will typically remove the temptation of the top executives to inflate earnings (i.e., to promote the idea of 'winning at any cost'). Because a healthy internal audit department can enhance transparency, the board should promote the auditors' access to all the record-keeping systems across the enterprise. For example, if Waste Connections' auditors report directly to the board (not management), the managers will be reluctant to manipulate simply due to the fear of punishment. On the other hand, the auditors will be free to investigate the ledgers properly because they know that the board has their back.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Net Receivables899.8 M857 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Total Revenue8.4 BB
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Total Assets18.8 B17.9 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Total Current Assets1.2 B1.1 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Non Current Assets Total17.6 B16.8 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Property Plant Equipment8.4 BB
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Depreciation And Amortization1.1 BB
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Selling General Administrative803.2 M765 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Total Current Liabilities1.8 B1.7 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Non Current Liabilities TotalB8.5 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Net Debt7.3 B6.9 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Short Term Debt77.5 M73.8 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Long Term Debt7.1 B6.7 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Total Cash From Operating Activities2.3 B2.2 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Long Term Investments11.1 M12.3 M
Moderately Down
Slightly volatile
Gross Profit Margin0.340.4086
Significantly Down
Slightly volatile

Waste Connections Beneish M-Score Driver Matrix

One of the toughest challenges investors face today is learning how to quickly synthesize historical financial statements and information provided by the company, SEC reporting, and various external parties in order to detect the potential manipulation of earnings. Understanding the correlation between Waste Connections' different financial indicators related to revenue, expenses, operating profit, and net earnings helps investors identify and prioritize their investing strategies towards Waste Connections in a much-optimized way. Analyzing correlations between earnings drivers directly associated with dollar figures is the most effective way to find Waste Connections' degree of accounting gimmicks and manipulations.

About Waste Connections Beneish M Score

M-Score is one of many grading techniques for value stocks. It was developed by Professor M. Daniel Beneish of the Kelley School of Business at Indiana University and published in 1999 under the paper titled The Detection of Earnings Manipulation. The Beneish score is a multi-factor model that utilizes financial identifiers to compile eight variables used to classify whether a company has manipulated its reported earnings. The variables are built from the officially filed financial statements to create a final score call 'M Score.' The score helps to identify companies that are likely to manipulate their profits if they show deteriorating gross margins, operating expenses, and leverage against growing revenue.

Other Operating Expenses

7.12 Billion

At this time, Waste Connections' Other Operating Expenses is very stable compared to the past year.

Waste Connections Earnings Manipulation Drivers

Although earnings manipulation is typically not the result of intentional misconduct by the c-level executives, it is still a widespread practice by the senior management of public companies such as Waste Connections. It is usually done by a series of misrepresentations of various accounting rules and operating activities across multiple financial cycles. The best way to spot the manipulation is to examine the historical financial statement to find inconsistencies in earning reports to find trends in assets or liabilities that are not sustainable in the future.
201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Net Receivables662.8M630.3M709.6M833.9M857.0M899.8M
Total Revenue5.4B5.4B6.2B7.2B8.0B8.4B
Total Assets13.7B14.0B14.7B17.1B17.9B18.8B
Total Current Assets1.1B1.4B1.0B1.1B1.1B1.2B
Net Debt4.2B4.3B5.1B7.0B6.9B7.3B
Short Term Debt30.4M38.9M44.0M41.9M73.9M77.5M
Long Term Debt4.4B4.7B5.0B6.9B6.7B7.1B
Operating Income837.8M883.0M1.0B1.2B1.2B1.3B
Investments(27.2M)(1.0B)(25M)(3.1B)(2.4B)(2.3B)

Waste Connections ESG Sustainability

Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, Waste Connections' sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Waste Connections' managers, analysts, and investors.
Environmental
Governance
Social

About Waste Connections Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Waste Connections's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Waste Connections using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Waste Connections based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

Pair Trading with Waste Connections

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Waste Connections position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Waste Connections will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving against Waste Stock

  0.59FC Franklin CoveyPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Waste Connections could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Waste Connections when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Waste Connections - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Waste Connections to buy it.
The correlation of Waste Connections is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Waste Connections moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Waste Connections moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Waste Connections can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching
When determining whether Waste Connections offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Waste Connections' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Waste Connections Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Waste Connections Stock:
Check out Waste Connections Piotroski F Score and Waste Connections Altman Z Score analysis.
To learn how to invest in Waste Stock, please use our How to Invest in Waste Connections guide.
You can also try the Risk-Return Analysis module to view associations between returns expected from investment and the risk you assume.
Is Environmental & Facilities Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Waste Connections. If investors know Waste will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Waste Connections listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.339
Dividend Share
1.14
Earnings Share
3.65
Revenue Per Share
33.72
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.133
The market value of Waste Connections is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Waste that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Waste Connections' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Waste Connections' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Waste Connections' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Waste Connections' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Waste Connections' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Waste Connections is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Waste Connections' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.