Are Accolade (USA Stocks:ACCD) shareholders starting to hold back?

Accolade (NASDAQ: ACCD) has recently seen a rise of over 5%, even as the broader market experiences a downturn. This uptick could be attributed to its position within the Health Care Technology sector, which often garners investor interest during volatile times. Despite a challenging earnings landscape, with an EPS estimate for the current year showing a loss of 1.21, the stock's potential upside of 8.4% suggests room for growth. With a short ratio of 5.34, there is a moderate level of short interest, indicating that some investors are betting against the stock, but the overall sentiment remains cautiously optimistic.

Main Ideas

Accolade's beta is 2.6584, indicating it is more volatile than the market. This means that when the market rises, Accolade is likely to see even bigger gains. Conversely, if the market falls, Accolade could experience sharper losses. The beta helps investors gauge how Accolade's stock moves in relation to the market and assess its risk level. A high beta suggests more risk but also the potential for higher returns. If Accolade's stock closely follows the market, it doesn't significantly alter the risk or return profile of a portfolio.
Published over two months ago
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Reviewed by Vlad Skutelnik

In the world of investing, timing is everything, and Accolade (NASDAQ: ACCD) is making waves as it rises over 5% even as the broader market faces a downturn. This healthcare stock, trading on the NASDAQ, is capturing attention with its recent price movement. Despite a challenging fiscal landscape, with an EPS estimate for the current year showing a loss of 1.21, the stock is still gaining traction. Analysts are optimistic, with a strong buy consensus and a target price estimated at 14.77, suggesting significant upside potential from its current levels. As the fiscal year draws to a close in February, investors are keeping a close watch on Accolade's performance, intrigued by its resilience and future prospects. Currently, Accolade's Price-to-Book Ratio is anticipated to rise slightly based on recent years' data. This year, the Capital Expenditure to Depreciation ratio is expected to increase to 0.37, while the Enterprise Value might decrease to approximately $422.7 million. This analysis aims to evaluate Accolade as a potential investment for November. We'll explore why recent price trends hint at a possible rebound this month.
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Accolade. Regardless of method or technology, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Predictive Modules for Accolade

Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Accolade's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.

How important is Accolade's Liquidity

Accolade financial leverage refers to using borrowed capital as a funding source to finance Accolade ongoing operations. It is usually used to expand the firm's asset base and generate returns on borrowed capital. Accolade financial leverage is typically calculated by taking the company's all interest-bearing debt and dividing it by total capital. So the higher the debt-to-capital ratio (i.e., financial leverage), the riskier the company. Financial leverage can amplify the potential profits to Accolade's owners, but it also increases the potential losses and risk of financial distress, including bankruptcy, if the firm cannot cover its debt costs. The degree of Accolade's financial leverage can be measured in several ways, including by ratios such as the debt-to-equity ratio (total debt / total equity), equity multiplier (total assets / total equity), or the debt ratio (total debt / total assets). Please check the breakdown between Accolade's total debt and its cash.

Accolade Gross Profit

Accolade Gross Profit growth is one of the most critical measures in evaluating the company. The Gross Profit growth rate is calculated simply by comparing Accolade previous period's values with its current period's values. Each time period you're measuring should be of equal lengths the increase or decrease, in a company's Gross Profit between two periods. Here we show Accolade Gross Profit growth over the last 10 years. Please check Accolade's gross profit and other fundamental indicators for more details.

Is Accolade valued correctly by the market?

Accolade shows above-average downside volatility for the selected time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Accolade's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Accolade's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Returns Breakdown

Return On Tangible Assets(0.3)
Return On Capital Employed(0.18)
Return On Assets(0.13)
Return On Equity(0.21)
In the world of investing, it's often said that "the trend is your friend," and Accolade (NASDAQ: ACCD) seems to be riding a positive wave, climbing over 5% even as the broader market experiences a pullback. This healthcare technology company, with a market capitalization of $317.63 million, has shown resilience despite its challenges. With a current ratio of 3.33X, Accolade demonstrates a strong ability to cover its short-term liabilities, which is a reassuring sign for investors. However, the company is still navigating financial hurdles, as indicated by its estimated loss of $1.21 per share for the current year. As the stock trades near its 52-week low of $3.35, the Wall Street target price of $8.17 suggests significant potential upside, making it a stock to watch for those willing to embrace some risk..

Our perspective of the latest Accolade surge

Accolade's recent stock price increase has caught attention, especially with its maximum drawdown narrowing to 24.87%. This improvement suggests growing investor confidence and indicates the company's recovery from past volatility. The reduced drawdown is a positive sign for potential investors, showcasing Accolade's resilience and the market's renewed optimism about its future. As of October 8th, Accolade's risk-adjusted performance stands at 0.0531, with a mean deviation of 3.05. Analyzing historical prices and volume patterns can help predict future price directions.
To determine if Accolade is fairly priced at $3.97 per share, consider its mean deviation, standard deviation, Treynor ratio, and the relationship between downside deviation and information ratio. With a Jensen alpha of -0.02, assess Accolade's current market performance to ensure its sustainability.Accolade's recent rise of over 5% in a generally declining market suggests a strong investor confidence in its potential. With an analyst consensus rating of "Strong Buy" and a target price estimated at $14.77, the stock appears to be positioned for further growth. The company's ability to outperform the broader market downturn highlights its resilience and appeal. Investors might find this an opportune moment to consider Accolade, especially given the backing of 9 strong buy recommendations from analysts. As the fiscal year approaches its end in February, keeping an eye on upcoming financial reports could provide further insights into its trajectory..

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Editorial Staff

This story should be regarded as informational only and should not be considered a solicitation to sell or buy any financial products. Macroaxis does not express any opinion as to the present or future value of any investments referred to in this post. This post may not be reproduced without the consent of Macroaxis LLC. Macroaxis LLC and Ellen Johnson do not own shares of Accolade. Please refer to our Terms of Use for any information regarding our disclosure principles.

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