Oil hedging activity hits record in October as traders eye market risks
CME Stock | USD 282.00 0.26 0.09% |
About 56% of CME's investor base is looking to short. The analysis of the overall investor sentiment regarding CME Group suggests that many traders are alarmed. The current market sentiment, together with CME's historical and current headlines, can help investors time the market. In addition, many technical investors use CME Group stock news signals to limit their universe of possible portfolio assets.
Investors ramped up oil futures and options trading in October to record levels in a bid to hedge growing uncertainty as war rages on in the Middle East and a bearish 2025 supply and demand outlook looms, triggering big swings in crude prices. Some 68.44 million barrels of oil in futures and options were traded in October, according to data from the Intercontinental Exchange , surpassing the monthly record hit in March 2020 when Brent futures plummeted roughly 30 per barrel as the COVID-19 pandemic crushed global oil demand. CME Group, meanwhile, reported a single day volume record for weekly crude oil options on Oct. 18, with 58,132 contracts traded.
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CME Group Current Investor Sentiment
Comfort Level 44
Impartial
Panic | Confidence |
Today, several news technology companies offer sentiment data to assist traders in manufacturing news sentiment indicators for investment decisions. We partner with these technology firms in helping retail investors build forecasting models that use CME's input sentiment indicators derived from textual data and news published on major financial information outlets and social sites. These indicators can be used to analyze time-dependent numerical information representing public perception toward CME Group.
News SentimentBullish | Hype SentimentBearish | Insider SentimentDisposing |
CME Investor Sentiment by Other News Outlets
Investor sentiment, mood or attitude towards CME can have a significant impact on its stock price or the market as a whole. This sentiment can be positive or negative, and various factors, such as economic indicators, news events, or market trends, can influence it. When investor sentiment is positive, investors are more likely to buy stocks, increasing demand and increasing the stock price. Positive investor sentiment can be driven by good news about the company or the broader market, such as solid earnings reports or positive economic data.
Note that negative investor sentiment can cause investors to sell stocks, leading to a decrease in demand and a drop in the stock price. Negative sentiment can be driven by factors such as poor earnings reports, negative news about the company or industry, or broader economic concerns. It's important to note that investor sentiment is just one of many factors that can affect stock prices. Other factors, such as company performance, industry trends, and global economic conditions, can also play a significant role in determining the value of a stock.
CME Group Historical Investor Sentiment
Investor biases related to CME's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in CME. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding CME can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around CME Group. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
CME's market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for CME and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average CME news discussions. The higher the estimate score, the more favorable the investor's outlook on CME.
CME Maximum Pain Price Across August 15th 2025 Option Contracts
CME's options can also be used to analyze investors' bias and current market sentiment in the context of behavioral finance. For example, Max pain usually refers to a trading concept that asserts that market manipulation can cause the market price of CME close to the expiration of its current option contract to expire worthlessly. According to most research, about 35% of options are not executed, with roughly 50% traded out before expiration. So, Max pain occurs when market makers reach a net favorable position across all options at a strike price where option holders stand to lose the most money. By contrast, option sellers may reap the most after selling more options than buying, causing them to expire worthlessly. Please continue to view the detailed analysis of CME's options.
CME Fundamental Analysis
We analyze CME's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of CME using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of CME based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Probability Of Bankruptcy
Probability Of Bankruptcy Comparative Analysis
CME is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy category among its peers. Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.
CME Group Potential Pair-trading
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with CME stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of CME could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing CME by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
Peers
CME Related Equities
Complementary Tools for CME Stock analysis
When running CME's price analysis, check to measure CME's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy CME is operating at the current time. Most of CME's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of CME's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move CME's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of CME to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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