Guardforce AI Co has been making waves in the Security & Protection Services industry, with its stock experiencing a significant price percent change of
30.43% recently. The company's shares have been fluctuating between a low price of $6.9 and a high price of $9.88, indicating a potential upside of 22.02%. Despite a negative Treynor Ratio of 0.12 and a Total Risk Alpha of -1.43, indicating a certain level of risk, the company's stock has managed to maintain a last price of $8.4. The high trading volume of
75.5M also suggests increased investor interest. However, investors should be aware of the company's high standard deviation of 13.96 and a maximum drawdown of 68.25, indicating potential volatility and significant risk of loss.
A deeper look at Guardforce
Guardforce AI Co. maintains a Market Volatility, or Beta, of 3.8802, indicating a relatively significant risk compared to the market. To understand what this beta means for Guardforce, consider that as the market rises, the company is projected to outperform it. Conversely, if the market yields negative returns, Guardforce is likely to underperform.
While it's crucial to consider Guardforce AI's current price history, caution is advised when relying on equity's current price movements. Our approach to predicting any stock's future performance involves examining both its past performance charts and the overall business, including all accessible technical indicators.
Guardforce AI provides fifteen different technical indicators that can assist in evaluating its performance. The company is projected to yield a return of -0.12%. It's recommended to review Guardforce's information ratio, as well as the relationship between the coefficient of variation and value at risk, to determine if Guardforce AI's past performance will be replicated at some point in the near future.
The successful prediction of Guardforce
stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published
stock prices of traded companies, such as Guardforce AI Co, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at
the intrinsic value of Guardforce based on Guardforce hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used
predictive technical indicators. We also calculate exposure to Guardforce's
market risk, different
technical and
fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then
comparing them to Guardforce's related companies.
Watch out for price decline
Please consider monitoring Guardforce on a daily basis if you are holding a position in it. Guardforce is trading at a penny-stock level, and the possibility of delisting is much higher compared to other stocks. However, just because the stock is trading under one dollar, does not mean it will be marked for deletion.
Most exchanges require public instruments, such as Guardforce stock to be traded above the $1 level to remain listed. If Guardforce stock price falls below $1 for 30 consecutive trading days, the exchange can delist it. Once the company reaches this point, they will be sent an initial price violation notice directly from an exchange.
Use Technical Analysis to project Guardforce expected Price
Guardforce technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Guardforce technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Guardforce trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions.
More Info...Guardforce Gross Profit
Guardforce Gross Profit growth is one of the most critical measures in evaluating the company. The Gross Profit growth rate is calculated simply by comparing Guardforce previous period's values with its current period's values. Each time period you're measuring should be of equal lengths the increase or decrease, in a company's Gross Profit between two periods. Here we show Guardforce Gross Profit growth over the last 10 years. Please check Guardforce's
gross profit and other
fundamental indicators for more details.
Breaking down Guardforce Indicators
Guardforce price plunge over the last few months may raise some interest from traders. The stock closed today at a share price of
8.40 on
75,544,824 in trading volume. The company executives were not very successful in positioning the firm resources to exploit
market volatility in
June. However, diversifying your holdings with Guardforce AI or similar stocks can still protect your portfolio during high-volatility market scenarios. The stock standard deviation of daily returns for 90 days investing horizon is currently 13.94. The very high volatility is mostly attributed to the latest market swings and not very good earnings reports from some of the Guardforce AI Co partners.
Cost of Revenue Breakdown
Guardforce Cost of Revenue is increasing with slightly volatile movements from year to year. Cost of Revenue is predicted to flatten to about 29.1
M. Cost of Revenue usually refers to the aggregate cost of goods produced and sold and services rendered during the reporting period. Where this item is not contained on the company consolidated financial statements and cannot otherwise be imputed the value of 0 is used. Guardforce Cost of Revenue is increasing as compared to previous years. The last year's value of Cost of Revenue was reported at 30.25 Million
| 2010 | 29.63 Million |
| 2018 | 31.5 Million |
| 2019 | 33.93 Million |
| 2020 | 31.37 Million |
| 2021 | 31.08 Million |
| 2022 | 30.25 Million |
| 2023 | 29.1 Million |
Guardforce AI Co, an industrial company specializing in electronic equipment, instruments, and components, is showing signs of potential for significant gains in the stock market this August. With a market capitalization of
44.33M and a current valuation of
29.09M, the company's stock is currently undervalued with a price to book ratio of 0.32X and a price to sales ratio of 0.28X. The company's working capital stands at 16.05M, with total assets amounting to 61.17M. Despite a total debt of 25.93M, the debt to equity ratio is a manageable 0.77%, suggesting the company has a good handle on its liabilities. Investors should note that the company has a high beta of 2.76, indicating a higher level of volatility and risk. However, the potential upside of 22.02 suggests a promising return on investment. The company's target price is set at 14, offering an attractive entry point for investors. Despite a negative return on equity of 1.45 and a probability of bankruptcy standing at 73.16%, the company has shown resilience with a gross profit of 3.29M on a revenue of 34.48M. With 26.97% of shares owned by insiders and 0.27% by institutions, Guardforce AI Co may be poised for significant gains this August.
Guardforce implied volatility may change after the surge
The recent spike in Guardforce AI Co's maximum drawdown, which has reached a significant 68.25, suggests a heightened risk level associated with the stock. This sharp increase could substantially impact the implied volatility of the company's shares. Implied volatility, a key factor in option pricing, reflects the market's prediction of a potential change in a security's value. Therefore, investors should closely monitor Guardforce AI Co's stock as this increased drawdown could instigate a shift in the stock's implied volatility, potentially influencing future trading strategies and investment decisions. Guardforce AI Co is exhibiting above-average volatility over the chosen time period. Investors should independently evaluate Guardforce AI Co to ensure that intended
market timing strategies align with expectations about its volatility. Understanding different
market volatility trends often assists investors in timing the market. Proper use of volatility indicators allows traders to gauge Guardforce's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends.
The elevated level of volatility that accompanies bear markets can directly affect
Guardforce's stock price, adding stress to investors as they watch the value of their shares decline. This typically compels investors to rebalance their portfolios by purchasing different stocks as prices drop. In conclusion, the strong buy consensus from the analyst, coupled with the highest estimated target price of
$14, indicates that Guardforce AI Co still has significant potential for investors in August. The valuation market value stands at
$8.4, which is below the analyst target price estimated value, suggesting there is room for growth. The possible upside price of $21.24 further supports this positive outlook. However, investors should also consider the possible downside price of $0.084 and
make informed decisions. Overall, Guardforce AI Co appears to be a promising investment opportunity for the coming month. .
Building efficient market-beating portfolios requires time, education, and a lot of computing power!
The Portfolio Architect is an AI-driven system that provides multiple benefits to our users by leveraging cutting-edge machine learning algorithms, statistical analysis, and predictive modeling to automate the process of asset selection and portfolio construction, saving time and reducing human error for individual and institutional investors.
Try AI Portfolio ArchitectEditorial Staff
Ellen Johnson is a Member of Macroaxis Editorial Board. Ellen covers public companies in North America, focusing primarily on valuation and volatility. Six years of experience in predictive investment analytics and risk management.
View Profile This story should be regarded as informational only and should not be considered a solicitation to sell or buy any financial products. Macroaxis does not express any opinion as to the present or future value of any investments referred to in this post. This post may not be reproduced without the consent of Macroaxis LLC. Macroaxis LLC and Ellen Johnson do not own shares of Guardforce AI Co. Please refer to our
Terms of Use for any information regarding our disclosure principles.
Would you like to provide feedback on the content of this article?
You can get in touch with us directly or send us a quick note via email to
editors@macroaxis.com