Assured Capital Stock vs Net Debt Analysis

AGO Stock  USD 93.09  0.98  1.06%   
Assured Guaranty financial indicator trend analysis is way more than just evaluating Assured Guaranty prevailing accounting drivers to predict future trends. We encourage investors to analyze account correlations over time for multiple indicators to determine whether Assured Guaranty is a good investment. Please check the relationship between Assured Guaranty Capital Stock and its Net Debt accounts. Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Assured Guaranty. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in price.
To learn how to invest in Assured Stock, please use our How to Invest in Assured Guaranty guide.

Capital Stock vs Net Debt

Capital Stock vs Net Debt Correlation Analysis

The overlapping area represents the amount of trend that can be explained by analyzing historical patterns of Assured Guaranty Capital Stock account and Net Debt. At this time, the significance of the direction appears to have weak contrarian relationship.
The correlation between Assured Guaranty's Capital Stock and Net Debt is -0.08. Overlapping area represents the amount of variation of Capital Stock that can explain the historical movement of Net Debt in the same time period over historical financial statements of Assured Guaranty, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical values of Assured Guaranty's Capital Stock and Net Debt is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these accounts tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which Capital Stock of Assured Guaranty are associated (or correlated) with its Net Debt. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when Net Debt has no effect on the direction of Capital Stock i.e., Assured Guaranty's Capital Stock and Net Debt go up and down completely randomly.

Correlation Coefficient

-0.08
Relationship DirectionNegative 
Relationship StrengthInsignificant

Capital Stock

The total amount of a company's capital funded by shareholders through the issue and subscription of shares.

Net Debt

The total debt of a company minus its cash and cash equivalents. It represents the actual debt burden on the company after accounting for the liquid assets it holds.
Most indicators from Assured Guaranty's fundamental ratios are interrelated and interconnected. However, analyzing fundamental ratios indicators one by one will only give a small insight into Assured Guaranty current financial condition. On the other hand, looking into the entire matrix of fundamental ratios indicators, and analyzing their relationships over time can provide a more complete picture of the company financial strength now and in the future. Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Assured Guaranty. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in price.
To learn how to invest in Assured Stock, please use our How to Invest in Assured Guaranty guide.As of the 22nd of November 2024, Selling General Administrative is likely to grow to about 281.4 M, while Tax Provision is likely to drop about 98.6 M.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Total Revenue698M684M1.4B981.9M
Interest Expense87M81M88M67.6M

Assured Guaranty fundamental ratios Correlations

0.69-0.270.40.210.490.480.530.270.290.350.730.63-0.090.49-0.03-0.850.28-0.230.50.57-0.860.27-0.32-0.30.39
0.690.140.11-0.250.020.580.69-0.150.230.820.530.750.040.780.23-0.87-0.14-0.160.780.67-0.89-0.140.0-0.03-0.07
-0.270.14-0.38-0.44-0.410.130.17-1.00.160.35-0.480.10.210.590.490.03-1.00.180.580.150.02-1.00.240.18-0.44
0.40.11-0.380.920.64-0.02-0.340.38-0.63-0.440.49-0.28-0.550.240.46-0.140.36-0.860.24-0.29-0.160.38-0.53-0.550.92
0.21-0.25-0.440.920.66-0.19-0.510.44-0.58-0.730.32-0.47-0.62-0.060.260.110.42-0.75-0.06-0.480.110.44-0.61-0.60.94
0.490.02-0.410.640.660.130.020.42-0.08-0.310.350.09-0.610.06-0.05-0.340.4-0.670.07-0.33-0.340.41-0.79-0.780.64
0.480.580.13-0.02-0.190.130.81-0.120.320.53-0.020.78-0.030.46-0.03-0.58-0.120.00.450.3-0.59-0.12-0.18-0.23-0.17
0.530.690.17-0.34-0.510.020.81-0.160.650.820.090.980.150.42-0.23-0.7-0.160.240.420.54-0.71-0.17-0.04-0.06-0.44
0.27-0.15-1.00.380.440.42-0.12-0.16-0.16-0.350.48-0.1-0.22-0.58-0.49-0.041.0-0.18-0.58-0.15-0.031.0-0.25-0.180.44
0.290.230.16-0.63-0.58-0.080.320.65-0.160.460.010.680.10.02-0.67-0.47-0.150.560.030.47-0.45-0.16-0.060.04-0.51
0.350.820.35-0.44-0.73-0.310.530.82-0.350.460.160.810.40.560.03-0.64-0.340.310.560.7-0.65-0.350.340.29-0.59
0.730.53-0.480.490.320.35-0.020.090.480.010.160.24-0.180.24-0.03-0.630.48-0.260.250.4-0.630.48-0.25-0.220.45
0.630.750.1-0.28-0.470.090.780.98-0.10.680.810.240.10.45-0.27-0.8-0.090.20.450.58-0.81-0.1-0.1-0.11-0.37
-0.090.040.21-0.55-0.62-0.61-0.030.15-0.220.10.4-0.180.1-0.030.080.16-0.190.68-0.030.50.14-0.220.910.86-0.52
0.490.780.590.24-0.060.060.460.42-0.580.020.560.240.45-0.030.66-0.63-0.59-0.341.00.42-0.65-0.58-0.07-0.150.06
-0.030.230.490.460.26-0.05-0.03-0.23-0.49-0.670.03-0.03-0.270.080.660.07-0.49-0.510.65-0.070.04-0.480.170.020.27
-0.85-0.870.03-0.140.11-0.34-0.58-0.7-0.04-0.47-0.64-0.63-0.80.16-0.630.07-0.040.16-0.64-0.591.0-0.030.290.26-0.05
0.28-0.14-1.00.360.420.4-0.12-0.161.0-0.15-0.340.48-0.09-0.19-0.59-0.49-0.04-0.16-0.58-0.13-0.031.0-0.22-0.160.43
-0.23-0.160.18-0.86-0.75-0.670.00.24-0.180.560.31-0.260.20.68-0.34-0.510.16-0.16-0.340.450.17-0.180.60.64-0.71
0.50.780.580.24-0.060.070.450.42-0.580.030.560.250.45-0.031.00.65-0.64-0.58-0.340.42-0.66-0.58-0.08-0.150.06
0.570.670.15-0.29-0.48-0.330.30.54-0.150.470.70.40.580.50.42-0.07-0.59-0.130.450.42-0.6-0.150.390.44-0.2
-0.86-0.890.02-0.160.11-0.34-0.59-0.71-0.03-0.45-0.65-0.63-0.810.14-0.650.041.0-0.030.17-0.66-0.6-0.020.280.26-0.06
0.27-0.14-1.00.380.440.41-0.12-0.171.0-0.16-0.350.48-0.1-0.22-0.58-0.48-0.031.0-0.18-0.58-0.15-0.02-0.25-0.180.44
-0.320.00.24-0.53-0.61-0.79-0.18-0.04-0.25-0.060.34-0.25-0.10.91-0.070.170.29-0.220.6-0.080.390.28-0.250.97-0.53
-0.3-0.030.18-0.55-0.6-0.78-0.23-0.06-0.180.040.29-0.22-0.110.86-0.150.020.26-0.160.64-0.150.440.26-0.180.97-0.49
0.39-0.07-0.440.920.940.64-0.17-0.440.44-0.51-0.590.45-0.37-0.520.060.27-0.050.43-0.710.06-0.2-0.060.44-0.53-0.49
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Assured Guaranty Account Relationship Matchups

Assured Guaranty fundamental ratios Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Total Assets14.3B15.3B18.2B16.8B12.5B12.1B
Total Stockholder Equity6.6B6.6B6.3B5.1B5.7B4.5B
Other Assets(9.4B)(8.9B)(8.6B)(7.1B)1.8B1.9B
Common Stock Shares Outstanding100.2M86.2M74.3M63.9M59.6M56.6M
Liabilities And Stockholders Equity14.3B15.3B18.2B16.8B12.5B12.1B
Total Liab1.2B1.2B1.7B11.6B6.8B6.5B
Accumulated Other Comprehensive Income342M498M300M(515M)(359M)(341.1M)
Short Long Term Debt Total1.3B1.2B1.7B1.7B1.7B1.1B
Net Debt1.1B1.1B1.6B1.6B1.6B903.8M
Non Current Liabilities Total1.2B1.2B1.7B11.6B6.8B6.4B
Other Liab2.4B3.6B6.2B5.5B6.3B6.7B
Retained Earnings6.3B6.1B6.0B5.6B6.1B3.4B
Cash169M162M120M107M97M102.0M
Long Term Debt1.2B1.2B1.7B1.7B1.7B1.1B
Short Term Investments10.1B9.6B9.4B7.9B6.3B6.3B
Intangible Assets99M86M58M46M6M5.7M
Non Current Assets Total11.4B12.0B15.1B14.3B2.9B2.7B
Non Currrent Assets Other(254M)(217M)(195M)(114M)(2.9B)(2.7B)
Cash And Short Term Investments10.3B9.8B9.5B8.0B6.4B6.7B
Net Receivables2.0B2.4B2.2B1.6B1.5B1.2B
Total Current Assets12.3B12.1B11.7B9.6B7.9B7.5B
Other Current Liab1.0B1.1B846M273M(9M)(8.6M)
Total Current Liabilities1.1B1.1B928M297M385M365.8M
Accounts Payable30M33M16M1M900K855K
Current Deferred Revenue3.5B3.5B3.7B43M38.7M36.8M
Other Current Assets3.6B3.5B3.6B2.9B3.9B3.8B
Net Tangible Assets6.4B6.5B6.1B4.9B5.6B6.4B
Retained Earnings Total Equity6.3B6.1B6.0B5.6B6.4B4.6B
Long Term Debt Total1.2B1.2B1.7B1.7B1.5B1.2B
Inventory(3.6B)(3.5B)(3.6B)(2.9B)(5.9B)(5.6B)
Long Term Investments10.2B9.8B9.6B8.4B8.6B10.6B
Non Current Liabilities Other6.4B7.4B10.0B9.9B8.9B6.8B
Property Plant And Equipment Net572M1.9B5.3B5.5B366M347.7M

Pair Trading with Assured Guaranty

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Assured Guaranty position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Assured Guaranty will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with Assured Stock

  0.95AXS AXIS Capital HoldingsPairCorr
  0.88EIG Employers HoldingsPairCorr

Moving against Assured Stock

  0.66JRVR James River GroupPairCorr
  0.63ESNT Essent GroupPairCorr
  0.53NMIH NMI HoldingsPairCorr
  0.36ACT Enact HoldingsPairCorr
  0.36PPHI Positive PhysiciansPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Assured Guaranty could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Assured Guaranty when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Assured Guaranty - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Assured Guaranty to buy it.
The correlation of Assured Guaranty is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Assured Guaranty moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Assured Guaranty moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Assured Guaranty can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching
When determining whether Assured Guaranty offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Assured Guaranty's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Assured Guaranty Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Assured Guaranty Stock:
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Assured Guaranty. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in price.
To learn how to invest in Assured Stock, please use our How to Invest in Assured Guaranty guide.
You can also try the Portfolio Dashboard module to portfolio dashboard that provides centralized access to all your investments.
Is Property & Casualty Insurance space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Assured Guaranty. If investors know Assured will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Assured Guaranty listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.219
Dividend Share
1.21
Earnings Share
12.75
Revenue Per Share
15.821
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.01
The market value of Assured Guaranty is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Assured that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Assured Guaranty's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Assured Guaranty's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Assured Guaranty's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Assured Guaranty's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Assured Guaranty's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Assured Guaranty is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Assured Guaranty's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.