Fold Holdings Potential Upside

FLD Stock   1.24  -0.05  -3.88%   
Potential Upside is the amount of upward price movement an investor or an analyst expects of a particular equity instrument. Below is Fold Holdings's current Potential Upside with peer comparisons and related risk metrics.

Current Potential Upside Value

Fold Holdings registers a Potential Upside of 5.6, reflecting moderate estimated upside from current levels. Fold Holdings trades below the model-derived fair value estimate by a meaningful margin.

Potential Upside

 = 

1PM

2PM

 = 
5.6
1PM = First upper moment
2PM = Second upper moment

Potential Upside Peers Comparison

Fold Holdings falls below the 6.82 peer average for Potential Upside. Innventure leads at 16.75 while Arrowmark Financial Corp registers the lowest at 1.16. Fold Holdings shows less estimated upside from current levels than the peer average.

Potential Upside Relative To Other Indicators

The chart below plots Potential Upside against Maximum Drawdown for Fold Holdings and its peers. Each point represents one equity — position along the horizontal axis shows Potential Upside while the vertical axis shows Maximum Drawdown. Equities that cluster in different quadrants carry distinct risk-return profiles. Use the dropdowns to swap in other indicators for either axis.
With Potential Upside at 5.60 and Maximum Drawdown at 44.50 , Fold Holdings shows a 7.95 -to-one ratio between these indicators. This indicates Maximum Drawdown substantially exceeds Potential Upside for Fold Holdings.
Compare Fold Holdings to Peers

Methodology, Assumptions & Data Sources

The current Potential Upside for Fold Holdings is 5.6. Potential Upside for Fold Holdings is derived by applying a defined formula to historical price observations, producing a time-series of comparable readings. Inputs are drawn from end-of-day closing prices reported by supported exchanges, adjusted for splits and dividends where applicable. Fold Holdings operates in the financial services sector, which may exhibit distinct volatility and momentum characteristics relative to the broader market. Results are based on historical returns and do not predict future performance. This indicator is provided for informational purposes.

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