First Trust Potential Upside

KNGZ ETF   39.46  0.20  0.51%   
Potential Upside is the amount of upward price movement an investor or an analyst expects of a particular equity instrument. Below is First Trust's current Potential Upside with peer comparisons and related risk metrics.

Current Potential Upside Value

First Trust registers a Potential Upside of 1.59, reflecting modest estimated upside from current levels. First Trust trades near but slightly below the model-derived fair value estimate.

Potential Upside

 = 

1PM

2PM

 = 
1.59
1PM = First upper moment
2PM = Second upper moment

Potential Upside Peers Comparison

First Trust falls below the 1.62 peer average for Potential Upside. Matthews Emerging Markets leads at 3.09 while IDX Dynamic Fixed registers the lowest at 0.3111. First Trust shows less estimated upside from current levels than the peer average.

Potential Upside Relative To Other Indicators

The chart below plots Potential Upside against Maximum Drawdown for First Trust and its peers. Each point represents one equity — position along the horizontal axis shows Potential Upside while the vertical axis shows Maximum Drawdown. Equities that cluster in different quadrants carry distinct risk-return profiles. Use the dropdowns to swap in other indicators for either axis.
First Trust's Maximum Drawdown of 3.52 runs about 2.21 times its Potential Upside of 1.59 . This indicates Maximum Drawdown is significantly higher than Potential Upside for First Trust.
Compare First Trust to Peers

Methodology, Assumptions & Data Sources

The current Potential Upside for First Trust is 1.59. Potential Upside for First Trust is derived by applying a defined formula to historical price observations, producing a time-series of comparable readings. All inputs are based on exchange-reported closing prices, with adjustments for stock splits, dividends, and other corporate actions. The calculation assumes continuous price data across the selected period. All readings are presented as reference data.

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