Is Outbrain Stock a Good Investment?
Outbrain Investment Advice | OB |
- Examine Outbrain's financial health by looking at its balance sheet, income statement, and cash flow statement. Analyze key financial ratios, such as Price-to-Earnings (P/E), Price-to-Sales (P/S), and Price-to-Book (P/B), to determine whether the stock is fairly valued or over/undervalued.
- Research Outbrain's leadership team and their track record. Good management can help Outbrain navigate difficult times and make strategic decisions that benefit shareholders and increases its net worth.
- Consider the overall health of the Movies & Entertainment space and any emerging trends that could impact Outbrain's business and its evolving consumer preferences.
- Compare Outbrain's performance and market position to its competitors. Analyze how Outbrain is positioned in terms of product offerings, innovation, and market share.
- Check if Outbrain pays a dividend and its dividend yield and payout ratio.
- Review what financial analysts are saying about Outbrain's stock and their price targets. However, remember that analysts' opinions can vary, and their predictions may not always be accurate.
It's important to note that investing in Outbrain stock, carries risks, and you should carefully consider your investment goals and risk tolerance before making any investment decisions. Also, remember that it's important for investors to have a long-term perspective and a well-diversified portfolio to manage the impact of stock market volatility on their investments. Below is a detailed guide on how to decide if Outbrain is a good investment.
Sell | Buy |
Strong Buy
Market Performance | Good | Details | |
Volatility | Slightly risky | Details | |
Hype Condition | Over hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Follows the market closely | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Healthy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Examine Outbrain Stock
Researching Outbrain's stock involves analyzing various aspects of the company and its industry to make an informed investment decision. The key areas to focus on are fundamentals, business model and competitive advantage. It is also important to analyze trends in revenue, net income, and cash flow, as well as key financial ratios, such as price-to-earnings (P/E), price-to-sales (P/S), and debt-to-equity (D/E). About 55.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The book value of Outbrain was now reported as 4.58. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.01. Outbrain last dividend was issued on the 7th of September 2017.
To determine if Outbrain is a good investment, evaluating the company's potential for future growth is also very important. This may include expanding into new markets, launching new products or services, or improving operational efficiency. Companies with strong growth prospects can be more attractive investments. This aspect of the research should be conducted in the context of the overall market and industry in which the company operates and should include an analysis of growth potential, competitive landscape, and any regulatory or economic factors that could impact the business. Some of the essential points regarding Outbrain's research are outlined below:
| Outbrain appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| About 55.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Viola Ventures V.C. Management 4 Ltd. Expands Stake in Pagaya Technologies Ltd |
Outbrain Quarterly Liabilities And Stockholders Equity |
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Outbrain uses earnings reports to provide investors with an update of all three financial statements, including the income statement, the balance sheet, and the cash flow statement. Therefore, it is also crucial when considering investing in Outbrain. Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period. It also may provide a comparison to Outbrain's previous reporting period. The quarterly earnings reports are usually disseminated to the public via Form 10-Q, which is a legal document filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission every quarter.
| 7th of March 2024 Upcoming Quarterly Report | View | |
| 14th of May 2024 Next Financial Report | View | |
| 31st of December 2023 Next Fiscal Quarter End | View | |
| 7th of March 2024 Next Fiscal Year End | View | |
| 30th of September 2023 Last Quarter Report | View | |
| 31st of December 2022 Last Financial Announcement | View |
Earnings surprises can significantly impact Outbrain's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate. Below are the table of largest EPS Surprises Outbrain's investors have experienced.
| Reported | Fiscal Date | Estimated EPS | Reported EPS | Surprise | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2022-05-12 | 2022-03-31 | 0.0075 | -0.0015 | -0.009 | 120 | ||
2024-02-29 | 2023-12-31 | 0.08 | 0.09 | 0.01 | 12 | ||
2024-08-08 | 2024-06-30 | -0.06 | -0.04 | 0.02 | 33 | ||
2022-03-01 | 2021-12-31 | 0.19 | 0.17 | -0.02 | 10 | ||
2024-05-09 | 2024-03-31 | -0.13 | -0.1 | 0.03 | 23 | ||
2023-11-07 | 2023-09-30 | -0.02 | 0.01 | 0.03 | 150 | ||
2023-08-08 | 2023-06-30 | -0.12 | -0.08 | 0.04 | 33 | ||
2023-05-09 | 2023-03-31 | -0.13 | -0.09 | 0.04 | 30 |
Outbrain Target Price Consensus
Outbrain target price is determined by taking all analyst projections and averaging them out. There is no one specific way to measure analysts' performance other than comparing it to past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Outbrain's target price projections below should be used in combination with other traditional price prediction techniques such as stock price forecasting, investor sentiment analysis, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
| 4 | Buy |
Most Outbrain analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to help potential investors understand Outbrain stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching the public financial statements of Outbrain, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to those companies' conference calls.
Macroaxis Advice Exposure ValuationOutbrain Target Price Projection
Outbrain's current and average target prices are 6.74 and 7.33, respectively. The current price of Outbrain is the price at which Outbrain is currently trading. On the other hand, Outbrain's target price is what analysts think the stock is worth or could sell for in the future. The more significant the discrepancy between the two prices, the more it stimulates investors to act.Target Price
Analyst Consensus On Outbrain Target Price
Outbrain Analyst Ratings
Outbrain's analyst stock recommendations are determined by taking an average estimate of all analysts we track and classifying them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell, or Sell. Ratings generally communicate what analysts sense about Outbrain stock, and they use a lot of effort and time to analyze it and arrive at a rating. That suggests that analyst recommendations are the outcome of an objective and thorough examination of Outbrain's financials, market performance, and future outlook by experienced professionals. Outbrain's historical ratings below, therefore, can serve as a valuable tool for investors.Know Outbrain's Top Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Outbrain is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Outbrain backward and forwards among themselves. Outbrain's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Outbrain's securities or originate loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | Northern Trust Corp | 2024-09-30 | 286.5 K | Globeflex Capital, L.p. | 2024-09-30 | 254.3 K | Jacobs Levy Equity Management, Inc. | 2024-09-30 | 216.9 K | Empowered Funds, Llc | 2024-12-31 | 202.4 K | Dean Capital Investments Management, Llc | 2024-09-30 | 189.6 K | Goldman Sachs Group Inc | 2024-09-30 | 170.9 K | Aqr Capital Management Llc | 2024-09-30 | 159.6 K | Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc. | 2024-09-30 | 157.7 K | O'shaughnessy Asset Management Llc | 2024-09-30 | 152.4 K | Viola Ventures Vc Management 4 Ltd | 2024-09-30 | 6.3 M | Blackrock Inc | 2024-09-30 | 3 M |
Outbrain's market capitalization trends
The company currently falls under 'Small-Cap' category with a market capitalization of 636.05 M.Market Cap |
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Outbrain's profitablity analysis
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Return On Tangible Assets | 0.02 | 0.02 | |
| Return On Capital Employed | (0.03) | (0.03) | |
| Return On Assets | 0.02 | 0.02 | |
| Return On Equity | 0.05 | 0.05 |
Determining Outbrain's profitability involves analyzing its financial statements and using various financial metrics to determine if Outbrain is a good buy. For example, gross profit margin measures Outbrain's profitability after accounting for the cost of goods sold, while net profit margin measures profitability after accounting for all expenses. Other important metrics include return on assets, return on equity, and free cash flow. By reviewing multiple sources and metrics, you can gain a complete picture of Outbrain's profitability and make more informed investment decisions.
Outbrain's Earnings Breakdown by Geography
Please note, the presentation of Outbrain's financial position, as portrayed in its financial statements, is often influenced by management's estimates, judgments, and sometimes even manipulations. In the best case, Outbrain's management is honest, while the outside auditors are strict and uncompromising. Please utilize our Beneish M Score to check the likelihood of Outbrain's management manipulating its earnings.
Evaluate Outbrain's management efficiency
At present, Outbrain's Return On Tangible Assets are projected to slightly decrease based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Return On Assets is expected to grow to 0.02, whereas Return On Capital Employed is projected to grow to (0.03). At present, Outbrain's Total Current Assets are projected to decrease significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Net Tangible Assets is expected to grow to about 133.1 M, whereas Total Assets are forecasted to decline to about 568.3 M. Outbrain's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Outbrain manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities.| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Book Value Per Share | 5.04 | 4.79 | |
| Tangible Book Value Per Share | 3.15 | 3.00 | |
| Enterprise Value Over EBITDA | 6.00 | 5.70 | |
| Price Book Value Ratio | 1.15 | 1.21 | |
| Enterprise Value Multiple | 6.00 | 5.70 | |
| Price Fair Value | 1.15 | 1.21 | |
| Enterprise Value | 325.7 M | 345.6 M |
Outbrain's management has consistently demonstrated strong leadership, driving both financial growth and operational excellence. By analyzing current market trends and future growth opportunities, we assess the stock's true value and potential for investors.
Beta 1.409 |
Basic technical analysis of Outbrain Stock
As of the 16th of February 2025, Outbrain holds the Coefficient Of Variation of 702.18, risk adjusted performance of 0.1089, and Semi Deviation of 2.35. Compared to fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model allows you to check existing technical drivers of Outbrain, as well as the relationship between them.Outbrain's insider trading activities
Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Outbrain insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Outbrain's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Outbrain insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.
Outbrain's Outstanding Corporate Bonds
Outbrain issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. Outbrain uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most Outbrain bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when Outbrain has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.
| Outfront Media Capital Corp BondUS69007TAC80 | View | |
| Outfront Media Capital Corp BondUS69007TAB08 | View | |
| US69007TAE47 Corp BondUS69007TAE47 | View | |
| MPLX LP 4125 Corp BondUS55336VAK61 | View | |
| MPLX LP 4875 Corp BondUS55336VAJ98 | View | |
| MPLX LP 52 Corp BondUS55336VAL45 | View | |
| Valero Energy Partners Corp BondUS91914JAA07 | View |
Understand Outbrain's technical and predictive indicators
Using predictive indicators to make investment decisions involves analyzing Outbrain's various financial and market-based factors to help forecast future trends and identify investment opportunities. Select the indicators that are most relevant to your investment strategy. Each indicator has its own strengths and weaknesses, so it's essential to combine multiple indicators to get a more comprehensive view of the market and reduce the risk of making poor decisions based on limited data.
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1089 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.9218 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 2.71 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.35 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 2.57 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 702.18 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.62 | |||
| Variance | 13.14 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.1393 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.5055 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.5005 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.1962 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.9118 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 19.65 | |||
| Value At Risk | (4.15) | |||
| Potential Upside | 7.66 | |||
| Downside Variance | 6.62 | |||
| Semi Variance | 5.55 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (3.50) | |||
| Skewness | 1.26 | |||
| Kurtosis | 3.09 |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1089 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.9218 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 2.71 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.35 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 2.57 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 702.18 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.62 | |||
| Variance | 13.14 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.1393 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.5055 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.5005 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.1962 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.9118 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 19.65 | |||
| Value At Risk | (4.15) | |||
| Potential Upside | 7.66 | |||
| Downside Variance | 6.62 | |||
| Semi Variance | 5.55 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (3.50) | |||
| Skewness | 1.26 | |||
| Kurtosis | 3.09 |
Consider Outbrain's intraday indicators
Outbrain intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Outbrain stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.
Outbrain Corporate Filings
F3 | 12th of February 2025 The report used by insiders such as officers, directors, and major shareholders (beneficial owners holding more than 10% of any class of the company's equity securities) to declare their ownership of a company's stock | ViewVerify |
8K | 11th of February 2025 Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about | ViewVerify |
| 10th of February 2025 Other Reports | ViewVerify | |
F4 | 10th of January 2025 The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities | ViewVerify |
Outbrain Stock media impact
Far too much social signal, news, headlines, and media speculation about Outbrain that are available to investors today. That information is available publicly through Outbrain media outlets and privately through word of mouth or via Outbrain internal channels. However, regardless of the origin, that massive amount of Outbrain data is challenging to quantify into actionable patterns, especially for investors that are not very sophisticated with ever-evolving tools and techniques used in the investment management field.
A primary focus of Outbrain news analysis is to determine if its current price reflects all relevant headlines and social signals impacting the current market conditions. A news analyst typically looks at the history of Outbrain relative headlines and hype rather than examining external drivers such as technical or fundamental data. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned thinking related to Outbrain's headlines and news coverage data. This data is often completely overlooked or insufficiently analyzed for actionable insights to drive Outbrain alpha.
Outbrain Sentiment by Major News Outlets
Investor sentiment, mood or attitude towards Outbrain can have a significant impact on its stock price or the market as a whole. This sentiment can be positive or negative, and various factors, such as economic indicators, news events, or market trends, can influence it. When investor sentiment is positive, investors are more likely to buy stocks, increasing demand and increasing the stock price. Positive investor sentiment can be driven by good news about the company or the broader market, such as solid earnings reports or positive economic data.
Note that negative investor sentiment can cause investors to sell stocks, leading to a decrease in demand and a drop in the stock price. Negative sentiment can be driven by factors such as poor earnings reports, negative news about the company or industry, or broader economic concerns. It's important to note that investor sentiment is just one of many factors that can affect stock prices. Other factors, such as company performance, industry trends, and global economic conditions, can also play a significant role in determining the value of a stock.
Outbrain Corporate Management
| Jason CPA | Chief Officer | Profile | |
| Paul Knegten | Chief Officer | Profile | |
| Yonatan Maman | Chief Officer | Profile | |
| Wenkai Bradshaw | Principal Officer | Profile | |
| Sarah Gavin | Head Communications | Profile | |
| Yaron Galai | Chairman CoFounder | Profile |
Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Outbrain. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of labor statistics. For information on how to trade Outbrain Stock refer to our How to Trade Outbrain Stock guide.You can also try the Fundamentals Comparison module to compare fundamentals across multiple equities to find investing opportunities.
Is Movies & Entertainment space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Outbrain. If investors know Outbrain will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Outbrain listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.03) | Earnings Share (0.01) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.03) | Return On Assets |
The market value of Outbrain is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Outbrain that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Outbrain's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Outbrain's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Outbrain's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Outbrain's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
In summary, please note that there is a difference between Outbrain's value and its price, as these two are different measures arrived at by various means. Investors typically determine if Outbrain is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Outbrain's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.