Is Treace Medical Stock a Good Investment?

Treace Medical Investment Advice

  TMCI
To provide specific investment advice or recommendations on Treace Medical Concepts stock, we recommend investors consider the following general factors when evaluating Treace Medical Concepts. This will help you to make an informed decision on whether to include Treace Medical in one of your diversified portfolios:
  • Examine Treace Medical's financial health by looking at its balance sheet, income statement, and cash flow statement. Analyze key financial ratios, such as Price-to-Earnings (P/E), Price-to-Sales (P/S), and Price-to-Book (P/B), to determine whether the stock is fairly valued or over/undervalued.
  • Research Treace Medical's leadership team and their track record. Good management can help Treace Medical navigate difficult times and make strategic decisions that benefit shareholders and increases its net worth.
  • Consider the overall health of the Health Care Equipment & Supplies space and any emerging trends that could impact Treace Medical's business and its evolving consumer preferences.
  • Compare Treace Medical's performance and market position to its competitors. Analyze how Treace Medical is positioned in terms of product offerings, innovation, and market share.
  • Check if Treace Medical pays a dividend and its dividend yield and payout ratio.
  • Review what financial analysts are saying about Treace Medical's stock and their price targets. However, remember that analysts' opinions can vary, and their predictions may not always be accurate.
It's important to note that investing in Treace Medical Concepts stock, carries risks, and you should carefully consider your investment goals and risk tolerance before making any investment decisions. Also, remember that it's important for investors to have a long-term perspective and a well-diversified portfolio to manage the impact of stock market volatility on their investments. Below is a detailed guide on how to decide if Treace Medical Concepts is a good investment.
 
Sell
 
Buy
Strong Buy
We provide advice to complement the current expert consensus on Treace Medical. Our dynamic recommendation engine harnesses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the firm's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Treace Medical Concepts is not overpriced, please validate all Treace Medical fundamentals, including its shares owned by institutions, cash and equivalents, earnings per share, as well as the relationship between the revenue and current ratio . Given that Treace Medical Concepts has a number of shares shorted of 2.32 M, we advise you to double-check Treace Medical Concepts market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your current risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Market Performance

GoodDetails

Volatility

Slightly riskyDetails

Hype Condition

Under hypedDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Actively responds to the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

InterestedDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

PoorDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails

Examine Treace Medical Stock

Researching Treace Medical's stock involves analyzing various aspects of the company and its industry to make an informed investment decision. The key areas to focus on are fundamentals, business model and competitive advantage. It is also important to analyze trends in revenue, net income, and cash flow, as well as key financial ratios, such as price-to-earnings (P/E), price-to-sales (P/S), and debt-to-equity (D/E). About 25.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The book value of Treace Medical was at this time reported as 1.69. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.99. Treace Medical Concepts had not issued any dividends in recent years.
To determine if Treace Medical is a good investment, evaluating the company's potential for future growth is also very important. This may include expanding into new markets, launching new products or services, or improving operational efficiency. Companies with strong growth prospects can be more attractive investments. This aspect of the research should be conducted in the context of the overall market and industry in which the company operates and should include an analysis of growth potential, competitive landscape, and any regulatory or economic factors that could impact the business. Some of the essential points regarding Treace Medical's research are outlined below:
Treace Medical is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Treace Medical appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 187.12 M. Net Loss for the year was (49.53 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 163.53 M.
Treace Medical Concepts currently holds about 101.53 M in cash with (34.58 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.83.
Treace Medical has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Roughly 65.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from seekingalpha.com: Treace Medical Concepts reports Q4 preliminary revenue of 68.4M - 68.8M

Treace Medical Quarterly Liabilities And Stockholders Equity

212.92 Million

Treace Medical uses earnings reports to provide investors with an update of all three financial statements, including the income statement, the balance sheet, and the cash flow statement. Therefore, it is also crucial when considering investing in Treace Medical Concepts. Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period. It also may provide a comparison to Treace Medical's previous reporting period. The quarterly earnings reports are usually disseminated to the public via Form 10-Q, which is a legal document filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission every quarter.
27th of February 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
View
13th of May 2024
Next Financial Report
View
31st of December 2023
Next Fiscal Quarter End
View
27th of February 2024
Next Fiscal Year End
View
30th of September 2023
Last Quarter Report
View
31st of December 2022
Last Financial Announcement
View
Earnings surprises can significantly impact Treace Medical's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate. Below are the table of largest EPS Surprises Treace Medical's investors have experienced.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2024-02-27
2023-12-31-0.09-0.1-0.0111 
2021-05-25
2021-03-31-0.06-0.07-0.0116 
2021-08-05
2021-06-30-0.12-0.10.0216 
2023-08-08
2023-06-30-0.24-0.20.0416 
2022-05-05
2022-03-31-0.2-0.160.0420 
2023-03-07
2022-12-31-0.14-0.080.0642 
2022-11-08
2022-09-30-0.29-0.220.0724 
2022-08-09
2022-06-30-0.2-0.31-0.1155 

Treace Medical Target Price Consensus

Treace target price is determined by taking all analyst projections and averaging them out. There is no one specific way to measure analysts' performance other than comparing it to past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Treace Medical's target price projections below should be used in combination with other traditional price prediction techniques such as stock price forecasting, investor sentiment analysis, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
   7  Buy
Most Treace analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to help potential investors understand Treace stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching the public financial statements of Treace Medical Concepts, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to those companies' conference calls.
Macroaxis Advice   Exposure   Valuation

Treace Medical Target Price Projection

Treace Medical's current and average target prices are 8.71 and 9.05, respectively. The current price of Treace Medical is the price at which Treace Medical Concepts is currently trading. On the other hand, Treace Medical's target price is what analysts think the stock is worth or could sell for in the future. The more significant the discrepancy between the two prices, the more it stimulates investors to act.

Current Price

Treace Medical Market Quote on 17th of January 2025

Low Price8.23Odds
High Price8.86Odds

8.71

Target Price

Analyst Consensus On Treace Medical Target Price

Low Estimate8.24Odds
High Estimate10.05Odds

9.05

Historical Lowest Forecast  8.24 Target Price  9.05 Highest Forecast  10.05
Note that most analysts generally publish their price targets in research reports on specific companies, along with recommendations for the company's stock.Although price targets are often quoted in the financial news media, there could be a delay between the publication of the latest analyst outlook on Treace Medical Concepts and the information provided on this page.

Treace Medical Analyst Ratings

Treace Medical's analyst stock recommendations are determined by taking an average estimate of all analysts we track and classifying them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell, or Sell. Ratings generally communicate what analysts sense about Treace Medical stock, and they use a lot of effort and time to analyze it and arrive at a rating. That suggests that analyst recommendations are the outcome of an objective and thorough examination of Treace Medical's financials, market performance, and future outlook by experienced professionals. Treace Medical's historical ratings below, therefore, can serve as a valuable tool for investors.

Know Treace Medical's Top Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Treace Medical is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Treace Medical Concepts backward and forwards among themselves. Treace Medical's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Treace Medical's securities or originate loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
State Street Corp2024-09-30
997.5 K
Soleus Capital Management, L.p.2024-09-30
887.9 K
Kent Lake Capital Llc2024-06-30
750 K
Goldman Sachs Group Inc2024-09-30
665.2 K
Millennium Management Llc2024-09-30
554.5 K
Kornitzer Capital Management Inc2024-09-30
526.9 K
Gagnon Advisors, Llc2024-09-30
489.9 K
Northern Trust Corp2024-09-30
458.2 K
Marshall Wace Asset Management Ltd2024-09-30
426.7 K
Armistice Capital, Llc2024-09-30
6.2 M
Blackrock Inc2024-09-30
4.2 M
Note, although Treace Medical's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Treace Medical's market capitalization trends

The company currently falls under 'Small-Cap' category with a current market capitalization of 513.95 M.

Market Cap

1.25 Billion

Treace Medical's profitablity analysis

Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets(0.25)(0.26)
Return On Capital Employed(0.29)(0.30)
Return On Assets(0.23)(0.24)
Return On Equity(0.32)(0.34)
The company has Profit Margin (PM) of (0.3) %, which may suggest that it does not properly executes on its current pricing strategies or is unable to control all of the operational costs. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows Operating Margin (OM) of (0.34) %, which suggests for every $100 dollars of sales, it generated a net operating loss of $0.34.
Determining Treace Medical's profitability involves analyzing its financial statements and using various financial metrics to determine if Treace Medical is a good buy. For example, gross profit margin measures Treace Medical's profitability after accounting for the cost of goods sold, while net profit margin measures profitability after accounting for all expenses. Other important metrics include return on assets, return on equity, and free cash flow. By reviewing multiple sources and metrics, you can gain a complete picture of Treace Medical's profitability and make more informed investment decisions.

Evaluate Treace Medical's management efficiency

Treace Medical Concepts has return on total asset (ROA) of (0.1713) % which means that it has lost $0.1713 on every $100 spent on assets. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows a return on stockholder's equity (ROE) of (0.5069) %, meaning that it created substantial loss on money invested by shareholders. Treace Medical's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Treace Medical manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. The current Return On Tangible Assets is estimated to decrease to -0.26. The current Return On Capital Employed is estimated to decrease to -0.3. As of now, Treace Medical's Other Current Assets are increasing as compared to previous years. The Treace Medical's current Debt To Assets is estimated to increase to 0.51, while Net Tangible Assets are projected to decrease to under 39 M.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share 2.04  2.14 
Tangible Book Value Per Share 1.72  1.80 
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA(19.22)(18.26)
Price Book Value Ratio 6.47  6.15 
Enterprise Value Multiple(19.22)(18.26)
Price Fair Value 6.47  6.15 
Enterprise Value958.2 M1.3 B
Treace Medical showcases strong leadership that adapts to market changes and drives innovation. Our analysis explores how this adaptability affects the stock's investment appeal.
Beta
0.24

Basic technical analysis of Treace Stock

As of the 17th of January 2025, Treace Medical has the Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1289, semi deviation of 2.37, and Coefficient Of Variation of 694.96. In relation to fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model makes it possible for you to check existing technical drivers of Treace Medical Concepts, as well as the relationship between them.

Treace Medical's insider trading activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Treace Medical insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Treace Medical's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Treace Medical insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.
 
John Treace six days ago
Disposition of 11905 shares by John Treace of Treace Medical subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Guglielmino Guy over three weeks ago
Acquisition by Guglielmino Guy of 330000 shares of Treace Medical subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Scot Elder over three months ago
Acquisition by Scot Elder of 200000 shares of Treace Medical subject to Rule 16b-3
 
John Treace over three months ago
Acquisition by John Treace of 50000 shares of Treace Medical at 5.3126 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Sean Scanlan over three months ago
Disposition of 33750 shares by Sean Scanlan of Treace Medical at 0.0972 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Mott Richard W over three months ago
Acquisition by Mott Richard W of 18000 shares of Treace Medical at 5.1945 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Treace James T over three months ago
Acquisition by Treace James T of 84000 shares of Treace Medical at 5.9647 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
John Treace over three months ago
Acquisition by John Treace of 85000 shares of Treace Medical at 6.0037 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Scot Elder over three months ago
Acquisition by Scot Elder of 129540 shares of Treace Medical subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Treace James T over six months ago
Acquisition by Treace James T of 25000 shares of Treace Medical at 5.2025 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Mott Richard W over six months ago
Acquisition by Mott Richard W of 18000 shares of Treace Medical at 5.1945 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Mott Richard W over six months ago
Acquisition by Mott Richard W of 12100 shares of Treace Medical at 4.9938 subject to Rule 16b-3

Treace Medical's Outstanding Corporate Bonds

Treace Medical issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. Treace Medical Concepts uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most Treace bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when Treace Medical Concepts has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

Understand Treace Medical's technical and predictive indicators

Using predictive indicators to make investment decisions involves analyzing Treace Medical's various financial and market-based factors to help forecast future trends and identify investment opportunities. Select the indicators that are most relevant to your investment strategy. Each indicator has its own strengths and weaknesses, so it's essential to combine multiple indicators to get a more comprehensive view of the market and reduce the risk of making poor decisions based on limited data.

Consider Treace Medical's intraday indicators

Treace Medical intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Treace Medical stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

Treace Medical Corporate Filings

F4
14th of January 2025
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
8K
13th of January 2025
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
F3
5th of December 2024
The report used by insiders such as officers, directors, and major shareholders (beneficial owners holding more than 10% of any class of the company's equity securities) to declare their ownership of a company's stock
ViewVerify
13A
14th of November 2024
The form used by investors holding more than 5% of a company's stock, to report their beneficial ownership pursuant to Rule 13d-1 or Rule 13d-2 under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934
ViewVerify
Treace Medical time-series forecasting models is one of many Treace Medical's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Treace Medical's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Treace Stock media impact

Far too much social signal, news, headlines, and media speculation about Treace Medical that are available to investors today. That information is available publicly through Treace media outlets and privately through word of mouth or via Treace internal channels. However, regardless of the origin, that massive amount of Treace data is challenging to quantify into actionable patterns, especially for investors that are not very sophisticated with ever-evolving tools and techniques used in the investment management field.
A primary focus of Treace Medical news analysis is to determine if its current price reflects all relevant headlines and social signals impacting the current market conditions. A news analyst typically looks at the history of Treace Medical relative headlines and hype rather than examining external drivers such as technical or fundamental data. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned thinking related to Treace Medical's headlines and news coverage data. This data is often completely overlooked or insufficiently analyzed for actionable insights to drive Treace Medical alpha.

Treace Medical Sentiment by Major News Outlets

Investor sentiment, mood or attitude towards Treace Medical can have a significant impact on its stock price or the market as a whole. This sentiment can be positive or negative, and various factors, such as economic indicators, news events, or market trends, can influence it. When investor sentiment is positive, investors are more likely to buy stocks, increasing demand and increasing the stock price. Positive investor sentiment can be driven by good news about the company or the broader market, such as solid earnings reports or positive economic data.
Note that negative investor sentiment can cause investors to sell stocks, leading to a decrease in demand and a drop in the stock price. Negative sentiment can be driven by factors such as poor earnings reports, negative news about the company or industry, or broader economic concerns. It's important to note that investor sentiment is just one of many factors that can affect stock prices. Other factors, such as company performance, industry trends, and global economic conditions, can also play a significant role in determining the value of a stock.

Treace Medical Corporate Management

Shana ZinkSenior ReimbursementProfile
Julie DeweyChief OfficerProfile
Scot JDChief SecretaryProfile
Thomas TimbieIndependent DirectorProfile
John TreaceFounder CEOProfile
Sean ScanlanChief OfficerProfile
Nathan MinnichSenior MarketingProfile
When determining whether Treace Medical Concepts offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Treace Medical's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Treace Medical Concepts Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Treace Medical Concepts Stock:
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Treace Medical Concepts. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in main economic indicators.
You can also try the Portfolio Dashboard module to portfolio dashboard that provides centralized access to all your investments.
Is Health Care Equipment & Supplies space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Treace Medical. If investors know Treace will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Treace Medical listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(0.99)
Revenue Per Share
3.274
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.106
Return On Assets
(0.17)
Return On Equity
(0.51)
The market value of Treace Medical Concepts is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Treace that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Treace Medical's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Treace Medical's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Treace Medical's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Treace Medical's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
In summary, please note that there is a difference between Treace Medical's value and its price, as these two are different measures arrived at by various means. Investors typically determine if Treace Medical is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Treace Medical's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.