Wasu Media (China) Market Value

000156 Stock   8.02  0.25  3.22%   
Wasu Media's market value is the price at which a share of Wasu Media trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Wasu Media Holding investors about its performance. Wasu Media is trading at 8.02 as of the 11th of December 2024, a 3.22 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 7.77.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Wasu Media Holding and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Wasu Media over a given investment horizon. Check out Wasu Media Correlation, Wasu Media Volatility and Wasu Media Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Wasu Media.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Wasu Media's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Wasu Media is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Wasu Media's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Wasu Media 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Wasu Media's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Wasu Media.
0.00
09/12/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 3 months and 1 day
12/11/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Wasu Media on September 12, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Wasu Media Holding or generate 0.0% return on investment in Wasu Media over 90 days. Wasu Media is related to or competes with Lutian Machinery, PetroChina, Bank of China, and China Citic. Wasu Media is entity of China. It is traded as Stock on SHE exchange. More

Wasu Media Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Wasu Media's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Wasu Media Holding upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Wasu Media Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Wasu Media's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Wasu Media's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Wasu Media historical prices to predict the future Wasu Media's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
4.897.7410.59
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
3.356.209.05
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
4.967.8010.65
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
7.297.617.93
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Wasu Media. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Wasu Media's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Wasu Media's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Wasu Media Holding.

Wasu Media Holding Backtested Returns

Wasu Media appears to be slightly risky, given 3 months investment horizon. Wasu Media Holding shows Sharpe Ratio of 0.17, which attests that the company had a 0.17% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for Wasu Media Holding, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the company. Please utilize Wasu Media's Downside Deviation of 2.68, market risk adjusted performance of (1.35), and Mean Deviation of 1.97 to validate if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Wasu Media holds a performance score of 13. The firm maintains a market beta of -0.32, which attests to possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Wasu Media are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Wasu Media is likely to outperform the market. Please check Wasu Media's jensen alpha, sortino ratio, and the relationship between the standard deviation and total risk alpha , to make a quick decision on whether Wasu Media's historical returns will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.69  

Good predictability

Wasu Media Holding has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Wasu Media time series from 12th of September 2024 to 27th of October 2024 and 27th of October 2024 to 11th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Wasu Media Holding price movement. The serial correlation of 0.69 indicates that around 69.0% of current Wasu Media price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.69
Spearman Rank Test0.27
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.03

Wasu Media Holding lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Wasu Media stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Wasu Media's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Wasu Media returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Wasu Media has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Wasu Media regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Wasu Media stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Wasu Media stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Wasu Media stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Wasu Media Lagged Returns

When evaluating Wasu Media's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Wasu Media stock have on its future price. Wasu Media autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Wasu Media autocorrelation shows the relationship between Wasu Media stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Wasu Media Holding.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Wasu Stock

Wasu Media financial ratios help investors to determine whether Wasu Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Wasu with respect to the benefits of owning Wasu Media security.