Chenzhou Jingui (China) Market Value

002716 Stock   3.56  0.14  3.78%   
Chenzhou Jingui's market value is the price at which a share of Chenzhou Jingui trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Chenzhou Jingui Silver investors about its performance. Chenzhou Jingui is trading at 3.56 as of the 26th of November 2024, a 3.78 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 3.7.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Chenzhou Jingui Silver and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Chenzhou Jingui over a given investment horizon. Check out Chenzhou Jingui Correlation, Chenzhou Jingui Volatility and Chenzhou Jingui Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Chenzhou Jingui.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Chenzhou Jingui's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Chenzhou Jingui is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Chenzhou Jingui's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Chenzhou Jingui 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Chenzhou Jingui's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Chenzhou Jingui.
0.00
10/27/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 30 days
11/26/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Chenzhou Jingui on October 27, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Chenzhou Jingui Silver or generate 0.0% return on investment in Chenzhou Jingui over 30 days. Chenzhou Jingui is related to or competes with Maxvision Technology, Hubei Geoway, Kunwu Jiuding, Northking Information, Jiangsu Yueda, Vanfund Urban, and Kuangda Technology. Chenzhou Jingui is entity of China. It is traded as Stock on SHE exchange. More

Chenzhou Jingui Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Chenzhou Jingui's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Chenzhou Jingui Silver upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Chenzhou Jingui Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Chenzhou Jingui's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Chenzhou Jingui's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Chenzhou Jingui historical prices to predict the future Chenzhou Jingui's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.643.576.50
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.523.456.38
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.583.526.45
Details

Chenzhou Jingui Silver Backtested Returns

Chenzhou Jingui appears to be relatively risky, given 3 months investment horizon. Chenzhou Jingui Silver secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.14, which signifies that the company had a 0.14% return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for Chenzhou Jingui Silver, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please makes use of Chenzhou Jingui's mean deviation of 1.93, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1075 to double-check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Chenzhou Jingui holds a performance score of 10. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.74, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Chenzhou Jingui's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Chenzhou Jingui is expected to be smaller as well. Please check Chenzhou Jingui's mean deviation, downside deviation, standard deviation, as well as the relationship between the semi deviation and coefficient of variation , to make a quick decision on whether Chenzhou Jingui's price patterns will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.10  

Insignificant predictability

Chenzhou Jingui Silver has insignificant predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Chenzhou Jingui time series from 27th of October 2024 to 11th of November 2024 and 11th of November 2024 to 26th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Chenzhou Jingui Silver price movement. The serial correlation of 0.1 indicates that less than 10.0% of current Chenzhou Jingui price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.1
Spearman Rank Test-0.65
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.02

Chenzhou Jingui Silver lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Chenzhou Jingui stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Chenzhou Jingui's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Chenzhou Jingui returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Chenzhou Jingui has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Chenzhou Jingui regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Chenzhou Jingui stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Chenzhou Jingui stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Chenzhou Jingui stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Chenzhou Jingui Lagged Returns

When evaluating Chenzhou Jingui's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Chenzhou Jingui stock have on its future price. Chenzhou Jingui autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Chenzhou Jingui autocorrelation shows the relationship between Chenzhou Jingui stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Chenzhou Jingui Silver.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Chenzhou Stock

Chenzhou Jingui financial ratios help investors to determine whether Chenzhou Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Chenzhou with respect to the benefits of owning Chenzhou Jingui security.