Jiangxi Selon (China) Market Value

002748 Stock   7.07  0.16  2.32%   
Jiangxi Selon's market value is the price at which a share of Jiangxi Selon trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Jiangxi Selon Industrial investors about its performance. Jiangxi Selon is trading at 7.07 as of the 3rd of December 2024, a 2.32 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 6.91.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Jiangxi Selon Industrial and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Jiangxi Selon over a given investment horizon. Check out Jiangxi Selon Correlation, Jiangxi Selon Volatility and Jiangxi Selon Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Jiangxi Selon.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Jiangxi Selon's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Jiangxi Selon is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Jiangxi Selon's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Jiangxi Selon 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Jiangxi Selon's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Jiangxi Selon.
0.00
11/03/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
12/03/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Jiangxi Selon on November 3, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Jiangxi Selon Industrial or generate 0.0% return on investment in Jiangxi Selon over 30 days. Jiangxi Selon is related to or competes with Zijin Mining, Wanhua Chemical, Baoshan Iron, Rongsheng Petrochemical, Shandong Gold, Inner Mongolia, and Jiangxi Ganfeng. Jiangxi Selon is entity of China. It is traded as Stock on SHE exchange. More

Jiangxi Selon Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Jiangxi Selon's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Jiangxi Selon Industrial upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Jiangxi Selon Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Jiangxi Selon's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Jiangxi Selon's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Jiangxi Selon historical prices to predict the future Jiangxi Selon's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
4.897.079.25
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
4.186.368.54
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
4.796.969.14
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
6.366.676.98
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Jiangxi Selon. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Jiangxi Selon's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Jiangxi Selon's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Jiangxi Selon Industrial.

Jiangxi Selon Industrial Backtested Returns

Jiangxi Selon appears to be somewhat reliable, given 3 months investment horizon. Jiangxi Selon Industrial holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of 0.16, which attests that the entity had a 0.16% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for Jiangxi Selon Industrial, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please utilize Jiangxi Selon's Downside Deviation of 2.3, risk adjusted performance of 0.0735, and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 1.2 to validate if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Jiangxi Selon holds a performance score of 12. The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.16, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Jiangxi Selon's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Jiangxi Selon is expected to be smaller as well. Please check Jiangxi Selon's semi deviation, coefficient of variation, and the relationship between the mean deviation and downside deviation , to make a quick decision on whether Jiangxi Selon's current trending patterns will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.67  

Good predictability

Jiangxi Selon Industrial has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Jiangxi Selon time series from 3rd of November 2024 to 18th of November 2024 and 18th of November 2024 to 3rd of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Jiangxi Selon Industrial price movement. The serial correlation of 0.67 indicates that around 67.0% of current Jiangxi Selon price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.67
Spearman Rank Test0.62
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.04

Jiangxi Selon Industrial lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Jiangxi Selon stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Jiangxi Selon's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Jiangxi Selon returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Jiangxi Selon has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Jiangxi Selon regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Jiangxi Selon stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Jiangxi Selon stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Jiangxi Selon stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Jiangxi Selon Lagged Returns

When evaluating Jiangxi Selon's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Jiangxi Selon stock have on its future price. Jiangxi Selon autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Jiangxi Selon autocorrelation shows the relationship between Jiangxi Selon stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Jiangxi Selon Industrial.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Jiangxi Stock

Jiangxi Selon financial ratios help investors to determine whether Jiangxi Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Jiangxi with respect to the benefits of owning Jiangxi Selon security.