Bank of Qingdao (China) Market Value

002948 Stock   3.74  0.01  0.27%   
Bank of Qingdao's market value is the price at which a share of Bank of Qingdao trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Bank of Qingdao investors about its performance. Bank of Qingdao is trading at 3.74 as of the 3rd of December 2024, a 0.27 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 3.75.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Bank of Qingdao and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Bank of Qingdao over a given investment horizon. Check out Bank of Qingdao Correlation, Bank of Qingdao Volatility and Bank of Qingdao Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Bank of Qingdao.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Bank of Qingdao's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Bank of Qingdao is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Bank of Qingdao's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Bank of Qingdao 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Bank of Qingdao's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Bank of Qingdao.
0.00
11/03/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
12/03/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Bank of Qingdao on November 3, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Bank of Qingdao or generate 0.0% return on investment in Bank of Qingdao over 30 days. Bank of Qingdao is related to or competes with AVCON Information, Guangzhou Ruoyuchen, Focus Media, Lonkey Industrial, Guangdong Jingyi, Hangzhou Gisway, and Sichuan Yahua. Bank of Qingdao is entity of China. It is traded as Stock on SHE exchange. More

Bank of Qingdao Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Bank of Qingdao's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Bank of Qingdao upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Bank of Qingdao Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Bank of Qingdao's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Bank of Qingdao's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Bank of Qingdao historical prices to predict the future Bank of Qingdao's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1.513.796.07
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.763.045.32
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
1.413.685.96
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.000.000.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Bank of Qingdao. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Bank of Qingdao's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Bank of Qingdao's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Bank of Qingdao.

Bank of Qingdao Backtested Returns

Bank of Qingdao appears to be moderately volatile, given 3 months investment horizon. Bank of Qingdao secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.14, which signifies that the company had a 0.14% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for Bank of Qingdao, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please makes use of Bank of Qingdao's Downside Deviation of 2.2, risk adjusted performance of 0.0874, and Mean Deviation of 1.5 to double-check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Bank of Qingdao holds a performance score of 11. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.68, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Bank of Qingdao are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Bank of Qingdao is likely to outperform the market. Please check Bank of Qingdao's coefficient of variation, jensen alpha, and the relationship between the downside deviation and standard deviation , to make a quick decision on whether Bank of Qingdao's price patterns will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.27  

Poor predictability

Bank of Qingdao has poor predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Bank of Qingdao time series from 3rd of November 2024 to 18th of November 2024 and 18th of November 2024 to 3rd of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Bank of Qingdao price movement. The serial correlation of 0.27 indicates that nearly 27.0% of current Bank of Qingdao price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.27
Spearman Rank Test0.05
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.0

Bank of Qingdao lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Bank of Qingdao stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Bank of Qingdao's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Bank of Qingdao returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Bank of Qingdao has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Bank of Qingdao regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Bank of Qingdao stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Bank of Qingdao stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Bank of Qingdao stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Bank of Qingdao Lagged Returns

When evaluating Bank of Qingdao's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Bank of Qingdao stock have on its future price. Bank of Qingdao autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Bank of Qingdao autocorrelation shows the relationship between Bank of Qingdao stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Bank of Qingdao.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Bank Stock

Bank of Qingdao financial ratios help investors to determine whether Bank Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Bank with respect to the benefits of owning Bank of Qingdao security.