Shandong Sino (China) Market Value

003042 Stock   17.97  1.63  9.98%   
Shandong Sino's market value is the price at which a share of Shandong Sino trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Shandong Sino Agri United investors about its performance. Shandong Sino is trading at 17.97 as of the 2nd of December 2024, a 9.98 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 16.34.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Shandong Sino Agri United and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Shandong Sino over a given investment horizon. Check out Shandong Sino Correlation, Shandong Sino Volatility and Shandong Sino Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Shandong Sino.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Shandong Sino's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Shandong Sino is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Shandong Sino's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Shandong Sino 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Shandong Sino's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Shandong Sino.
0.00
12/13/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 22 days
12/02/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Shandong Sino on December 13, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Shandong Sino Agri United or generate 0.0% return on investment in Shandong Sino over 720 days. Shandong Sino is related to or competes with Jiangsu Jinling, Hainan Mining, Fujian Oriental, JCHX Mining, Jinhui Liquor, and Sportsoul. Shandong Sino is entity of China. It is traded as Stock on SHE exchange. More

Shandong Sino Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Shandong Sino's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Shandong Sino Agri United upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Shandong Sino Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Shandong Sino's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Shandong Sino's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Shandong Sino historical prices to predict the future Shandong Sino's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
14.1517.9721.79
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
12.3916.2120.03
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
14.2318.0521.87
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
12.8414.8316.83
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Shandong Sino. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Shandong Sino's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Shandong Sino's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Shandong Sino Agri.

Shandong Sino Agri Backtested Returns

Shandong Sino appears to be not too volatile, given 3 months investment horizon. Shandong Sino Agri owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.22, which indicates the firm had a 0.22% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. By inspecting Shandong Sino's technical indicators, you can evaluate if the expected return of 0.83% is justified by implied risk. Please review Shandong Sino's Semi Deviation of 2.64, coefficient of variation of 467.61, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1714 to confirm if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Shandong Sino holds a performance score of 17. The entity has a beta of 0.56, which indicates possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Shandong Sino's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Shandong Sino is expected to be smaller as well. Please check Shandong Sino's semi deviation, coefficient of variation, and the relationship between the mean deviation and downside deviation , to make a quick decision on whether Shandong Sino's existing price patterns will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.70  

Good predictability

Shandong Sino Agri United has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Shandong Sino time series from 13th of December 2022 to 8th of December 2023 and 8th of December 2023 to 2nd of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Shandong Sino Agri price movement. The serial correlation of 0.7 indicates that around 70.0% of current Shandong Sino price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.7
Spearman Rank Test0.62
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance6.3

Shandong Sino Agri lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Shandong Sino stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Shandong Sino's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Shandong Sino returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Shandong Sino has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Shandong Sino regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Shandong Sino stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Shandong Sino stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Shandong Sino stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Shandong Sino Lagged Returns

When evaluating Shandong Sino's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Shandong Sino stock have on its future price. Shandong Sino autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Shandong Sino autocorrelation shows the relationship between Shandong Sino stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Shandong Sino Agri United.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Shandong Stock

Shandong Sino financial ratios help investors to determine whether Shandong Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Shandong with respect to the benefits of owning Shandong Sino security.