Air Products (UK) Market Value

0HBH Stock   333.31  1.60  0.48%   
Air Products' market value is the price at which a share of Air Products trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Air Products Chemicals investors about its performance. Air Products is selling for under 333.31 as of the 26th of November 2024; that is 0.48% down since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 330.16.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Air Products Chemicals and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Air Products over a given investment horizon. Check out Air Products Correlation, Air Products Volatility and Air Products Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Air Products.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Air Products' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Air Products is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Air Products' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Air Products 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Air Products' stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Air Products.
0.00
08/28/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 3 months and 1 day
11/26/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Air Products on August 28, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Air Products Chemicals or generate 0.0% return on investment in Air Products over 90 days. Air Products is related to or competes with Impax Environmental, JD Sports, Seche Environnement, Lowland Investment, Bisichi Mining, Foresight Environmental, and Veolia Environnement. Air Products is entity of United Kingdom More

Air Products Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Air Products' stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Air Products Chemicals upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Air Products Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Air Products' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Air Products' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Air Products historical prices to predict the future Air Products' volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
333.88335.55337.22
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
301.42375.45377.12
Details

Air Products Chemicals Backtested Returns

Air Products appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Air Products Chemicals secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.19, which signifies that the company had a 0.19% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for Air Products Chemicals, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please makes use of Air Products' Downside Deviation of 0.9466, mean deviation of 1.07, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.14 to double-check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Air Products holds a performance score of 15. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.16, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Air Products' returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Air Products is expected to be smaller as well. Please check Air Products' jensen alpha, sortino ratio, and the relationship between the standard deviation and total risk alpha , to make a quick decision on whether Air Products' price patterns will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.07  

Virtually no predictability

Air Products Chemicals has virtually no predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Air Products time series from 28th of August 2024 to 12th of October 2024 and 12th of October 2024 to 26th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Air Products Chemicals price movement. The serial correlation of 0.07 indicates that barely 7.0% of current Air Products price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.07
Spearman Rank Test0.1
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance73.63

Air Products Chemicals lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Air Products stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Air Products' stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Air Products returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Air Products has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Air Products regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Air Products stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Air Products stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Air Products stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Air Products Lagged Returns

When evaluating Air Products' market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Air Products stock have on its future price. Air Products autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Air Products autocorrelation shows the relationship between Air Products stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Air Products Chemicals.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Additional Tools for Air Stock Analysis

When running Air Products' price analysis, check to measure Air Products' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Air Products is operating at the current time. Most of Air Products' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Air Products' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Air Products' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Air Products to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.