Vodafone Group (UK) Market Value

0LQQ Stock   8.87  0.13  1.49%   
Vodafone Group's market value is the price at which a share of Vodafone Group trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Vodafone Group PLC investors about its performance. Vodafone Group is selling for under 8.87 as of the 25th of November 2024; that is 1.49% increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 8.72.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Vodafone Group PLC and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Vodafone Group over a given investment horizon. Check out Vodafone Group Correlation, Vodafone Group Volatility and Vodafone Group Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Vodafone Group.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Vodafone Group's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Vodafone Group is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Vodafone Group's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Vodafone Group 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Vodafone Group's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Vodafone Group.
0.00
10/26/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/25/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Vodafone Group on October 26, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Vodafone Group PLC or generate 0.0% return on investment in Vodafone Group over 30 days. Vodafone Group is related to or competes with Cairn Homes, Futura Medical, Elmos Semiconductor, Air Products, Pets At, and Coor Service. Vodafone Group is entity of United Kingdom More

Vodafone Group Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Vodafone Group's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Vodafone Group PLC upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Vodafone Group Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Vodafone Group's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Vodafone Group's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Vodafone Group historical prices to predict the future Vodafone Group's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
7.178.8610.55
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
7.439.1210.81
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
7.068.7510.44
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
8.308.809.30
Details

Vodafone Group PLC Backtested Returns

Vodafone Group PLC owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of -0.0857, which indicates the firm had a -0.0857% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Vodafone Group PLC exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please validate Vodafone Group's Coefficient Of Variation of (1,112), variance of 2.8, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.06) to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The entity has a beta of 0.35, which indicates possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Vodafone Group's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Vodafone Group is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Vodafone Group PLC has a negative expected return of -0.14%. Please make sure to validate Vodafone Group's mean deviation, standard deviation, total risk alpha, as well as the relationship between the coefficient of variation and jensen alpha , to decide if Vodafone Group PLC performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.84  

Very good predictability

Vodafone Group PLC has very good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Vodafone Group time series from 26th of October 2024 to 10th of November 2024 and 10th of November 2024 to 25th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Vodafone Group PLC price movement. The serial correlation of 0.84 indicates that around 84.0% of current Vodafone Group price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.84
Spearman Rank Test0.45
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.04

Vodafone Group PLC lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Vodafone Group stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Vodafone Group's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Vodafone Group returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Vodafone Group has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Vodafone Group regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Vodafone Group stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Vodafone Group stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Vodafone Group stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Vodafone Group Lagged Returns

When evaluating Vodafone Group's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Vodafone Group stock have on its future price. Vodafone Group autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Vodafone Group autocorrelation shows the relationship between Vodafone Group stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Vodafone Group PLC.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Additional Tools for Vodafone Stock Analysis

When running Vodafone Group's price analysis, check to measure Vodafone Group's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Vodafone Group is operating at the current time. Most of Vodafone Group's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Vodafone Group's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Vodafone Group's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Vodafone Group to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.