Axway Software (UK) Market Value

0P5L Stock   27.50  0.00  0.00%   
Axway Software's market value is the price at which a share of Axway Software trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Axway Software SA investors about its performance. Axway Software is selling for under 27.50 as of the 22nd of November 2024; that is No Change since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 27.5.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Axway Software SA and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Axway Software over a given investment horizon. Check out Axway Software Correlation, Axway Software Volatility and Axway Software Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Axway Software.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Axway Software's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Axway Software is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Axway Software's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Axway Software 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Axway Software's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Axway Software.
0.00
10/23/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/22/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Axway Software on October 23, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Axway Software SA or generate 0.0% return on investment in Axway Software over 30 days. Axway Software is related to or competes with Quadrise Plc, Intuitive Investments, European Metals, and Athelney Trust. Axway Software is entity of United Kingdom More

Axway Software Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Axway Software's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Axway Software SA upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Axway Software Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Axway Software's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Axway Software's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Axway Software historical prices to predict the future Axway Software's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
26.1827.5028.82
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
25.0826.4027.72
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
25.9327.2528.57
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
23.5726.4829.39
Details

Axway Software SA Backtested Returns

Axway Software appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Axway Software SA secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.22, which signifies that the company had a 0.22% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found eighteen technical indicators for Axway Software SA, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please makes use of Axway Software's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.2121, mean deviation of 0.8944, and Standard Deviation of 1.55 to double-check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Axway Software holds a performance score of 17. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.33, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Axway Software are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Axway Software is likely to outperform the market. Please check Axway Software's jensen alpha, value at risk, skewness, as well as the relationship between the maximum drawdown and potential upside , to make a quick decision on whether Axway Software's price patterns will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.35  

Poor reverse predictability

Axway Software SA has poor reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Axway Software time series from 23rd of October 2024 to 7th of November 2024 and 7th of November 2024 to 22nd of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Axway Software SA price movement. The serial correlation of -0.35 indicates that nearly 35.0% of current Axway Software price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.35
Spearman Rank Test-0.25
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.07

Axway Software SA lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Axway Software stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Axway Software's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Axway Software returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Axway Software has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Axway Software regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Axway Software stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Axway Software stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Axway Software stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Axway Software Lagged Returns

When evaluating Axway Software's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Axway Software stock have on its future price. Axway Software autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Axway Software autocorrelation shows the relationship between Axway Software stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Axway Software SA.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Additional Tools for Axway Stock Analysis

When running Axway Software's price analysis, check to measure Axway Software's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Axway Software is operating at the current time. Most of Axway Software's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Axway Software's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Axway Software's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Axway Software to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.