Axfood AB (UK) Market Value

0R6R Stock   235.35  0.40  0.17%   
Axfood AB's market value is the price at which a share of Axfood AB trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Axfood AB investors about its performance. Axfood AB is selling for under 235.35 as of the 27th of November 2024; that is 0.17 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 235.35.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Axfood AB and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Axfood AB over a given investment horizon. Check out Axfood AB Correlation, Axfood AB Volatility and Axfood AB Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Axfood AB.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Axfood AB's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Axfood AB is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Axfood AB's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Axfood AB 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Axfood AB's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Axfood AB.
0.00
12/08/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 22 days
11/27/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Axfood AB on December 8, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Axfood AB or generate 0.0% return on investment in Axfood AB over 720 days. Axfood AB is related to or competes with Lendinvest PLC, Neometals, Coor Service, Albion Technology, Jupiter Fund, JPMorgan ETFs, and Fidelity Sustainable. Axfood AB is entity of United Kingdom. It is traded as Stock on LSE exchange. More

Axfood AB Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Axfood AB's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Axfood AB upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Axfood AB Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Axfood AB's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Axfood AB's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Axfood AB historical prices to predict the future Axfood AB's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
233.41234.93236.45
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
205.59207.11258.89
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
232.24233.77235.29
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
231.08236.67242.26
Details

Axfood AB Backtested Returns

Axfood AB secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.12, which signifies that the company had a -0.12% return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. Axfood AB exposes twenty-four different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Axfood AB's risk adjusted performance of (0.09), and Mean Deviation of 0.8263 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.24, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Axfood AB's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Axfood AB is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Axfood AB has a negative expected return of -0.18%. Please make sure to confirm Axfood AB's market risk adjusted performance, coefficient of variation, jensen alpha, as well as the relationship between the mean deviation and standard deviation , to decide if Axfood AB performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.32  

Poor reverse predictability

Axfood AB has poor reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Axfood AB time series from 8th of December 2022 to 3rd of December 2023 and 3rd of December 2023 to 27th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Axfood AB price movement. The serial correlation of -0.32 indicates that nearly 32.0% of current Axfood AB price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.32
Spearman Rank Test0.08
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance255.95

Axfood AB lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Axfood AB stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Axfood AB's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Axfood AB returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Axfood AB has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Axfood AB regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Axfood AB stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Axfood AB stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Axfood AB stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Axfood AB Lagged Returns

When evaluating Axfood AB's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Axfood AB stock have on its future price. Axfood AB autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Axfood AB autocorrelation shows the relationship between Axfood AB stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Axfood AB.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Additional Tools for Axfood Stock Analysis

When running Axfood AB's price analysis, check to measure Axfood AB's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Axfood AB is operating at the current time. Most of Axfood AB's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Axfood AB's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Axfood AB's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Axfood AB to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.