Oceanic Beverages (Taiwan) Market Value

1213 Stock  TWD 12.30  0.20  1.65%   
Oceanic Beverages' market value is the price at which a share of Oceanic Beverages trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Oceanic Beverages Co investors about its performance. Oceanic Beverages is selling for under 12.30 as of the 24th of November 2024; that is 1.65 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 12.2.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Oceanic Beverages Co and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Oceanic Beverages over a given investment horizon. Check out Oceanic Beverages Correlation, Oceanic Beverages Volatility and Oceanic Beverages Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Oceanic Beverages.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Oceanic Beverages' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Oceanic Beverages is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Oceanic Beverages' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Oceanic Beverages 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Oceanic Beverages' stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Oceanic Beverages.
0.00
10/25/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/24/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Oceanic Beverages on October 25, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Oceanic Beverages Co or generate 0.0% return on investment in Oceanic Beverages over 30 days. Oceanic Beverages is related to or competes with Hey Song, AGV Products, Taisun Enterprise, and Ten Ren. Oceanic Beverages Co., Inc. manufactures and sells apple soda, apple juices, mineral water, and various other soft drink... More

Oceanic Beverages Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Oceanic Beverages' stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Oceanic Beverages Co upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Oceanic Beverages Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Oceanic Beverages' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Oceanic Beverages' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Oceanic Beverages historical prices to predict the future Oceanic Beverages' volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.8512.3013.75
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8.8710.3213.53
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
10.8612.3013.75
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
12.0412.2312.42
Details

Oceanic Beverages Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider Oceanic Stock to be not too volatile. Oceanic Beverages maintains Sharpe Ratio (i.e., Efficiency) of 0.0337, which implies the firm had a 0.0337% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-four technical indicators for Oceanic Beverages, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the company. Please check Oceanic Beverages' Risk Adjusted Performance of 7.0E-4, variance of 2.16, and Coefficient Of Variation of (18,817) to confirm if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0488%. Oceanic Beverages has a performance score of 2 on a scale of 0 to 100. The company holds a Beta of -0.42, which implies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Oceanic Beverages are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Oceanic Beverages is likely to outperform the market. Oceanic Beverages right now holds a risk of 1.45%. Please check Oceanic Beverages market risk adjusted performance, coefficient of variation, jensen alpha, as well as the relationship between the mean deviation and standard deviation , to decide if Oceanic Beverages will be following its historical price patterns.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.38  

Poor reverse predictability

Oceanic Beverages Co has poor reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Oceanic Beverages time series from 25th of October 2024 to 9th of November 2024 and 9th of November 2024 to 24th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Oceanic Beverages price movement. The serial correlation of -0.38 indicates that just about 38.0% of current Oceanic Beverages price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.38
Spearman Rank Test-0.33
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.02

Oceanic Beverages lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Oceanic Beverages stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Oceanic Beverages' stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Oceanic Beverages returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Oceanic Beverages has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Oceanic Beverages regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Oceanic Beverages stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Oceanic Beverages stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Oceanic Beverages stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Oceanic Beverages Lagged Returns

When evaluating Oceanic Beverages' market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Oceanic Beverages stock have on its future price. Oceanic Beverages autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Oceanic Beverages autocorrelation shows the relationship between Oceanic Beverages stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Oceanic Beverages Co.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for Oceanic Stock Analysis

When running Oceanic Beverages' price analysis, check to measure Oceanic Beverages' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Oceanic Beverages is operating at the current time. Most of Oceanic Beverages' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Oceanic Beverages' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Oceanic Beverages' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Oceanic Beverages to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.