ARK INNOVATION's market value is the price at which a share of ARK INNOVATION trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of ARK INNOVATION 1X investors about its performance. ARK INNOVATION is trading at 3.65 as of the 17th of January 2026, a 0.82% down since the beginning of the trading day. The etf's open price was 3.68. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of ARK INNOVATION 1X and determine expected loss or profit from investing in ARK INNOVATION over a given investment horizon. Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any etf could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in state.
Symbol
ARK
ARK INNOVATION 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to ARK INNOVATION's etf what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of ARK INNOVATION.
0.00
12/18/2025
No Change 0.00
0.0
In 30 days
01/17/2026
0.00
If you would invest 0.00 in ARK INNOVATION on December 18, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding ARK INNOVATION 1X or generate 0.0% return on investment in ARK INNOVATION over 30 days.
ARK INNOVATION Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure ARK INNOVATION's etf current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess ARK INNOVATION 1X upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for ARK INNOVATION's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as ARK INNOVATION's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use ARK INNOVATION historical prices to predict the future ARK INNOVATION's volatility.
ARK INNOVATION 1X secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0533, which signifies that the etf had a -0.0533 % return per unit of return volatility over the last 3 months. ARK INNOVATION 1X exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm ARK INNOVATION's Coefficient Of Variation of (3,961), mean deviation of 1.63, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.01) to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The etf shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.32, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, ARK INNOVATION will likely underperform.
Auto-correlation
-0.3
Weak reverse predictability
ARK INNOVATION 1X has weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between ARK INNOVATION time series from 18th of December 2025 to 2nd of January 2026 and 2nd of January 2026 to 17th of January 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of ARK INNOVATION 1X price movement. The serial correlation of -0.3 indicates that nearly 30.0% of current ARK INNOVATION price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient
-0.3
Spearman Rank Test
-0.55
Residual Average
0.0
Price Variance
0.01
ARK INNOVATION 1X lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is ARK INNOVATION etf's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting ARK INNOVATION's etf expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of ARK INNOVATION returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that ARK INNOVATION has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the etf is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values
Timeline
ARK INNOVATION regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If ARK INNOVATION etf is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if ARK INNOVATION etf is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in ARK INNOVATION etf over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices
Timeline
ARK INNOVATION Lagged Returns
When evaluating ARK INNOVATION's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of ARK INNOVATION etf have on its future price. ARK INNOVATION autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, ARK INNOVATION autocorrelation shows the relationship between ARK INNOVATION etf current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in ARK INNOVATION 1X.
Regressed Prices
Timeline
Thematic Opportunities
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