Chung Hung (Taiwan) Market Value

2014 Stock  TWD 20.15  0.25  1.23%   
Chung Hung's market value is the price at which a share of Chung Hung trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Chung Hung Steel investors about its performance. Chung Hung is selling for under 20.15 as of the 22nd of November 2024; that is 1.23% down since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 20.15.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Chung Hung Steel and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Chung Hung over a given investment horizon. Check out Chung Hung Correlation, Chung Hung Volatility and Chung Hung Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Chung Hung.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Chung Hung's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Chung Hung is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Chung Hung's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Chung Hung 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Chung Hung's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Chung Hung.
0.00
10/23/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/22/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Chung Hung on October 23, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Chung Hung Steel or generate 0.0% return on investment in Chung Hung over 30 days. Chung Hung is related to or competes with China Steel, Yieh Phui, Ta Chen, Yang Ming, and Tung Ho. Chung Hung Steel Corporation manufactures, processes, and sells steel products in Taiwan, Asia, the United States, Europ... More

Chung Hung Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Chung Hung's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Chung Hung Steel upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Chung Hung Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Chung Hung's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Chung Hung's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Chung Hung historical prices to predict the future Chung Hung's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
17.7420.1522.56
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
14.4816.8922.17
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
17.0419.4521.87
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
19.7920.6921.60
Details

Chung Hung Steel Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider Chung Stock to be not too volatile. Chung Hung Steel secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0556, which signifies that the company had a 0.0556% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for Chung Hung Steel, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please confirm Chung Hung's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0521, downside deviation of 2.06, and Mean Deviation of 1.7 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.13%. Chung Hung has a performance score of 4 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.66, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Chung Hung's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Chung Hung is expected to be smaller as well. Chung Hung Steel right now shows a risk of 2.41%. Please confirm Chung Hung Steel standard deviation, total risk alpha, treynor ratio, as well as the relationship between the jensen alpha and sortino ratio , to decide if Chung Hung Steel will be following its price patterns.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.18  

Insignificant reverse predictability

Chung Hung Steel has insignificant reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Chung Hung time series from 23rd of October 2024 to 7th of November 2024 and 7th of November 2024 to 22nd of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Chung Hung Steel price movement. The serial correlation of -0.18 indicates that over 18.0% of current Chung Hung price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.18
Spearman Rank Test-0.34
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.21

Chung Hung Steel lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Chung Hung stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Chung Hung's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Chung Hung returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Chung Hung has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Chung Hung regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Chung Hung stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Chung Hung stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Chung Hung stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Chung Hung Lagged Returns

When evaluating Chung Hung's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Chung Hung stock have on its future price. Chung Hung autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Chung Hung autocorrelation shows the relationship between Chung Hung stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Chung Hung Steel.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for Chung Stock Analysis

When running Chung Hung's price analysis, check to measure Chung Hung's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Chung Hung is operating at the current time. Most of Chung Hung's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Chung Hung's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Chung Hung's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Chung Hung to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.