Cheng Shin (Taiwan) Market Value

2105 Stock  TWD 50.30  0.10  0.20%   
Cheng Shin's market value is the price at which a share of Cheng Shin trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Cheng Shin Rubber investors about its performance. Cheng Shin is selling for under 50.30 as of the 27th of November 2024; that is 0.20 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 49.75.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Cheng Shin Rubber and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Cheng Shin over a given investment horizon. Check out Cheng Shin Correlation, Cheng Shin Volatility and Cheng Shin Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Cheng Shin.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Cheng Shin's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Cheng Shin is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Cheng Shin's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Cheng Shin 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Cheng Shin's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Cheng Shin.
0.00
10/28/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/27/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Cheng Shin on October 28, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Cheng Shin Rubber or generate 0.0% return on investment in Cheng Shin over 30 days. Cheng Shin is related to or competes with Uni President, Formosa Chemicals, Asia Cement, Pou Chen, and President Chain. Co., Ltd., together with subsidiaries, processes, manufactures, and trades in bicycle tires, electrical vehicle tires, r... More

Cheng Shin Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Cheng Shin's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Cheng Shin Rubber upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Cheng Shin Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Cheng Shin's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Cheng Shin's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Cheng Shin historical prices to predict the future Cheng Shin's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
48.0650.3052.54
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
39.7341.9755.33
Details

Cheng Shin Rubber Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider Cheng Stock to be very steady. Cheng Shin Rubber secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0107, which signifies that the company had a 0.0107% return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Cheng Shin Rubber, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please confirm Cheng Shin's mean deviation of 1.35, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0246 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0239%. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.5, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Cheng Shin are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Cheng Shin is likely to outperform the market. Cheng Shin Rubber right now shows a risk of 2.24%. Please confirm Cheng Shin Rubber market risk adjusted performance, semi deviation, coefficient of variation, as well as the relationship between the mean deviation and downside deviation , to decide if Cheng Shin Rubber will be following its price patterns.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.36  

Below average predictability

Cheng Shin Rubber has below average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Cheng Shin time series from 28th of October 2024 to 12th of November 2024 and 12th of November 2024 to 27th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Cheng Shin Rubber price movement. The serial correlation of 0.36 indicates that just about 36.0% of current Cheng Shin price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.36
Spearman Rank Test-0.4
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance8.56

Cheng Shin Rubber lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Cheng Shin stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Cheng Shin's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Cheng Shin returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Cheng Shin has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Cheng Shin regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Cheng Shin stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Cheng Shin stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Cheng Shin stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Cheng Shin Lagged Returns

When evaluating Cheng Shin's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Cheng Shin stock have on its future price. Cheng Shin autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Cheng Shin autocorrelation shows the relationship between Cheng Shin stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Cheng Shin Rubber.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Additional Tools for Cheng Stock Analysis

When running Cheng Shin's price analysis, check to measure Cheng Shin's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Cheng Shin is operating at the current time. Most of Cheng Shin's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Cheng Shin's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Cheng Shin's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Cheng Shin to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.