Evergreen Steel (Taiwan) Market Value

2211 Stock  TWD 104.00  1.00  0.97%   
Evergreen Steel's market value is the price at which a share of Evergreen Steel trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Evergreen Steel Corp investors about its performance. Evergreen Steel is selling for under 104.00 as of the 26th of November 2024; that is 0.97% increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 103.0.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Evergreen Steel Corp and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Evergreen Steel over a given investment horizon. Check out Evergreen Steel Correlation, Evergreen Steel Volatility and Evergreen Steel Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Evergreen Steel.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Evergreen Steel's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Evergreen Steel is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Evergreen Steel's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Evergreen Steel 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Evergreen Steel's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Evergreen Steel.
0.00
10/27/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 30 days
11/26/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Evergreen Steel on October 27, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Evergreen Steel Corp or generate 0.0% return on investment in Evergreen Steel over 30 days. Evergreen Steel is related to or competes with Yang Ming, Wan Hai, Hsin Kuang, Evergreen Marine, and Ta Chen. Evergreen Steel Corp. engages in the production and sale of steel products More

Evergreen Steel Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Evergreen Steel's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Evergreen Steel Corp upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Evergreen Steel Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Evergreen Steel's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Evergreen Steel's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Evergreen Steel historical prices to predict the future Evergreen Steel's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
102.40104.00105.60
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
88.8890.48114.40
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
98.1299.72101.32
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
101.21103.71106.21
Details

Evergreen Steel Corp Backtested Returns

Evergreen Steel Corp secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.15, which denotes the company had a -0.15% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Evergreen Steel Corp exposes twenty different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Evergreen Steel's Information Ratio of (0.22), variance of 2.78, and Coefficient Of Variation of (706.17) to check the risk estimate we provide. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.0, which means not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. the returns on MARKET and Evergreen Steel are completely uncorrelated. At this point, Evergreen Steel Corp has a negative expected return of -0.24%. Please make sure to confirm Evergreen Steel's mean deviation, standard deviation, information ratio, as well as the relationship between the coefficient of variation and variance , to decide if Evergreen Steel Corp performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.45  

Average predictability

Evergreen Steel Corp has average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Evergreen Steel time series from 27th of October 2024 to 11th of November 2024 and 11th of November 2024 to 26th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Evergreen Steel Corp price movement. The serial correlation of 0.45 indicates that just about 45.0% of current Evergreen Steel price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.45
Spearman Rank Test-0.28
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance1.56

Evergreen Steel Corp lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Evergreen Steel stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Evergreen Steel's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Evergreen Steel returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Evergreen Steel has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Evergreen Steel regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Evergreen Steel stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Evergreen Steel stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Evergreen Steel stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Evergreen Steel Lagged Returns

When evaluating Evergreen Steel's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Evergreen Steel stock have on its future price. Evergreen Steel autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Evergreen Steel autocorrelation shows the relationship between Evergreen Steel stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Evergreen Steel Corp.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Additional Tools for Evergreen Stock Analysis

When running Evergreen Steel's price analysis, check to measure Evergreen Steel's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Evergreen Steel is operating at the current time. Most of Evergreen Steel's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Evergreen Steel's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Evergreen Steel's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Evergreen Steel to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.