Shuttle (Taiwan) Market Value

2405 Stock  TWD 20.90  0.05  0.24%   
Shuttle's market value is the price at which a share of Shuttle trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Shuttle investors about its performance. Shuttle is selling for under 20.90 as of the 25th of November 2024; that is 0.24 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 20.9.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Shuttle and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Shuttle over a given investment horizon. Check out Shuttle Correlation, Shuttle Volatility and Shuttle Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Shuttle.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Shuttle's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Shuttle is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Shuttle's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Shuttle 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Shuttle's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Shuttle.
0.00
12/06/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 22 days
11/25/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Shuttle on December 6, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Shuttle or generate 0.0% return on investment in Shuttle over 720 days. Shuttle is related to or competes with Novatek Microelectronics, Quanta Computer, and United Microelectronics. Shuttle Inc. designs and manufactures small form factor computers and accessories worldwide More

Shuttle Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Shuttle's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Shuttle upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Shuttle Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Shuttle's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Shuttle's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Shuttle historical prices to predict the future Shuttle's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
18.5920.9023.21
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
18.4120.7223.03
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
18.0120.3222.62
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
20.3020.8021.30
Details

Shuttle Backtested Returns

Shuttle owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of -0.0559, which indicates the firm had a -0.0559% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Shuttle exposes twenty-four different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please validate Shuttle's Variance of 5.75, insignificant risk adjusted performance, and Coefficient Of Variation of (6,765) to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The entity has a beta of 0.2, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Shuttle's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Shuttle is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Shuttle has a negative expected return of -0.13%. Please make sure to validate Shuttle's maximum drawdown, potential upside, and the relationship between the treynor ratio and value at risk , to decide if Shuttle performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.56  

Modest predictability

Shuttle has modest predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Shuttle time series from 6th of December 2022 to 1st of December 2023 and 1st of December 2023 to 25th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Shuttle price movement. The serial correlation of 0.56 indicates that roughly 56.0% of current Shuttle price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.56
Spearman Rank Test0.63
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance4.1

Shuttle lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Shuttle stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Shuttle's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Shuttle returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Shuttle has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Shuttle regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Shuttle stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Shuttle stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Shuttle stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Shuttle Lagged Returns

When evaluating Shuttle's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Shuttle stock have on its future price. Shuttle autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Shuttle autocorrelation shows the relationship between Shuttle stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Shuttle.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for Shuttle Stock Analysis

When running Shuttle's price analysis, check to measure Shuttle's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Shuttle is operating at the current time. Most of Shuttle's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Shuttle's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Shuttle's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Shuttle to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.