Meiloon Industrial (Taiwan) Market Value

2477 Stock  TWD 33.70  0.95  2.90%   
Meiloon Industrial's market value is the price at which a share of Meiloon Industrial trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Meiloon Industrial Co investors about its performance. Meiloon Industrial is selling for under 33.70 as of the 24th of November 2024; that is 2.90 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 33.35.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Meiloon Industrial Co and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Meiloon Industrial over a given investment horizon. Check out Meiloon Industrial Correlation, Meiloon Industrial Volatility and Meiloon Industrial Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Meiloon Industrial.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Meiloon Industrial's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Meiloon Industrial is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Meiloon Industrial's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Meiloon Industrial 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Meiloon Industrial's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Meiloon Industrial.
0.00
10/25/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/24/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Meiloon Industrial on October 25, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Meiloon Industrial Co or generate 0.0% return on investment in Meiloon Industrial over 30 days. Meiloon Industrial is related to or competes with Taiwan Semiconductor, Hon Hai, MediaTek, Chunghwa Telecom, Chailease Holding, Delta Electronics, and Formosa Petrochemical. Meiloon Industrial Co., Ltd. operates as an ODMOEM manufacturer for audio systems and loudspeakers worldwide More

Meiloon Industrial Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Meiloon Industrial's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Meiloon Industrial Co upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Meiloon Industrial Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Meiloon Industrial's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Meiloon Industrial's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Meiloon Industrial historical prices to predict the future Meiloon Industrial's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
29.2533.7038.15
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
22.8827.3337.07
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
26.8331.2935.74
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
32.4933.3834.28
Details

Meiloon Industrial Backtested Returns

Meiloon Industrial appears to be not too volatile, given 3 months investment horizon. Meiloon Industrial has Sharpe Ratio of 0.11, which conveys that the firm had a 0.11% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. By analyzing Meiloon Industrial's technical indicators, you can evaluate if the expected return of 0.5% is justified by implied risk. Please exercise Meiloon Industrial's Mean Deviation of 3.26, downside deviation of 3.48, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0994 to check out if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Meiloon Industrial holds a performance score of 8. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of -0.62, which conveys possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Meiloon Industrial are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Meiloon Industrial is likely to outperform the market. Please check Meiloon Industrial's downside deviation, standard deviation, and the relationship between the semi deviation and coefficient of variation , to make a quick decision on whether Meiloon Industrial's current price movements will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.08  

Virtually no predictability

Meiloon Industrial Co has virtually no predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Meiloon Industrial time series from 25th of October 2024 to 9th of November 2024 and 9th of November 2024 to 24th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Meiloon Industrial price movement. The serial correlation of 0.08 indicates that barely 8.0% of current Meiloon Industrial price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.08
Spearman Rank Test-0.31
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.72

Meiloon Industrial lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Meiloon Industrial stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Meiloon Industrial's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Meiloon Industrial returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Meiloon Industrial has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Meiloon Industrial regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Meiloon Industrial stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Meiloon Industrial stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Meiloon Industrial stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Meiloon Industrial Lagged Returns

When evaluating Meiloon Industrial's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Meiloon Industrial stock have on its future price. Meiloon Industrial autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Meiloon Industrial autocorrelation shows the relationship between Meiloon Industrial stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Meiloon Industrial Co.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Additional Tools for Meiloon Stock Analysis

When running Meiloon Industrial's price analysis, check to measure Meiloon Industrial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Meiloon Industrial is operating at the current time. Most of Meiloon Industrial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Meiloon Industrial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Meiloon Industrial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Meiloon Industrial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.