China Container (Taiwan) Market Value

2613 Stock  TWD 34.70  0.70  1.98%   
China Container's market value is the price at which a share of China Container trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of China Container Terminal investors about its performance. China Container is selling for under 34.70 as of the 24th of November 2024; that is 1.98% down since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 34.55.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of China Container Terminal and determine expected loss or profit from investing in China Container over a given investment horizon. Check out China Container Correlation, China Container Volatility and China Container Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on China Container.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between China Container's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if China Container is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, China Container's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

China Container 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to China Container's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of China Container.
0.00
12/05/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 21 days
11/24/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in China Container on December 5, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding China Container Terminal or generate 0.0% return on investment in China Container over 720 days. China Container is related to or competes with Sunny Friend, TTET Union, ECOVE Environment, and Yulon Finance. China Container Terminal Corp. provides cargo handling services in Taiwan More

China Container Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure China Container's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess China Container Terminal upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

China Container Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for China Container's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as China Container's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use China Container historical prices to predict the future China Container's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
31.1834.7038.22
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
25.1728.6938.17
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
27.0330.5534.07
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
34.2734.9335.59
Details

China Container Terminal Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider China Stock to be not too volatile. China Container Terminal secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.042, which signifies that the company had a 0.042% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found thirty technical indicators for China Container Terminal, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please confirm China Container's Downside Deviation of 2.86, risk adjusted performance of 0.042, and Mean Deviation of 2.34 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.15%. China Container has a performance score of 3 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.53, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, China Container's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding China Container is expected to be smaller as well. China Container Terminal right now shows a risk of 3.52%. Please confirm China Container Terminal downside deviation, standard deviation, and the relationship between the semi deviation and coefficient of variation , to decide if China Container Terminal will be following its price patterns.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.6  

Good reverse predictability

China Container Terminal has good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between China Container time series from 5th of December 2022 to 30th of November 2023 and 30th of November 2023 to 24th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of China Container Terminal price movement. The serial correlation of -0.6 indicates that roughly 60.0% of current China Container price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.6
Spearman Rank Test-0.66
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance51.34

China Container Terminal lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is China Container stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting China Container's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of China Container returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that China Container has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

China Container regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If China Container stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if China Container stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in China Container stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

China Container Lagged Returns

When evaluating China Container's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of China Container stock have on its future price. China Container autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, China Container autocorrelation shows the relationship between China Container stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in China Container Terminal.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for China Stock Analysis

When running China Container's price analysis, check to measure China Container's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy China Container is operating at the current time. Most of China Container's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of China Container's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move China Container's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of China Container to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.