Union Bank (Taiwan) Market Value

2838 Stock  TWD 15.45  0.10  0.65%   
Union Bank's market value is the price at which a share of Union Bank trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Union Bank of investors about its performance. Union Bank is selling for under 15.45 as of the 24th of November 2024; that is 0.65% increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 15.35.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Union Bank of and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Union Bank over a given investment horizon. Check out Union Bank Correlation, Union Bank Volatility and Union Bank Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Union Bank.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Union Bank's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Union Bank is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Union Bank's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Union Bank 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Union Bank's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Union Bank.
0.00
10/25/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 30 days
11/24/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Union Bank on October 25, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Union Bank of or generate 0.0% return on investment in Union Bank over 30 days. Union Bank is related to or competes with Taiwan Business, Chang Hwa, EnTie Commercial, Bank of Kaohsiung, and Sinopac Financial. Union Bank of Taiwan provides various banking products and services More

Union Bank Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Union Bank's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Union Bank of upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Union Bank Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Union Bank's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Union Bank's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Union Bank historical prices to predict the future Union Bank's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
14.6515.4516.25
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
14.3215.1215.92
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
14.6115.4116.21
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
15.3215.4215.51
Details

Union Bank Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider Union Stock to be very steady. Union Bank owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.0166, which indicates the firm had a 0.0166% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found thirty technical indicators for Union Bank of, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the company. Please validate Union Bank's Coefficient Of Variation of 2215.27, risk adjusted performance of 0.0356, and Semi Deviation of 0.8461 to confirm if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0133%. Union Bank has a performance score of 1 on a scale of 0 to 100. The entity has a beta of 0.0787, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Union Bank's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Union Bank is expected to be smaller as well. Union Bank right now has a risk of 0.8%. Please validate Union Bank downside deviation, standard deviation, and the relationship between the semi deviation and coefficient of variation , to decide if Union Bank will be following its existing price patterns.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.51  

Modest predictability

Union Bank of has modest predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Union Bank time series from 25th of October 2024 to 9th of November 2024 and 9th of November 2024 to 24th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Union Bank price movement. The serial correlation of 0.51 indicates that about 51.0% of current Union Bank price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.51
Spearman Rank Test0.65
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.03

Union Bank lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Union Bank stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Union Bank's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Union Bank returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Union Bank has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Union Bank regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Union Bank stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Union Bank stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Union Bank stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Union Bank Lagged Returns

When evaluating Union Bank's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Union Bank stock have on its future price. Union Bank autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Union Bank autocorrelation shows the relationship between Union Bank stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Union Bank of.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for Union Stock Analysis

When running Union Bank's price analysis, check to measure Union Bank's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Union Bank is operating at the current time. Most of Union Bank's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Union Bank's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Union Bank's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Union Bank to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.