Ningbo David (China) Market Value

300314 Stock   12.62  0.28  2.27%   
Ningbo David's market value is the price at which a share of Ningbo David trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Ningbo David Medical investors about its performance. Ningbo David is trading at 12.62 as of the 2nd of December 2024, a 2.27 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 12.34.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Ningbo David Medical and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Ningbo David over a given investment horizon. Check out Ningbo David Correlation, Ningbo David Volatility and Ningbo David Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Ningbo David.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Ningbo David's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Ningbo David is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Ningbo David's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Ningbo David 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Ningbo David's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Ningbo David.
0.00
12/13/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 22 days
12/02/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Ningbo David on December 13, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Ningbo David Medical or generate 0.0% return on investment in Ningbo David over 720 days. Ningbo David is related to or competes with GRINM Semiconductor, Eastroc Beverage, Penyao Environmental, Orinko Advanced, Beijing Yanjing, Jiangsu Financial, and Tongxing Environmental. Ningbo David is entity of China. It is traded as Stock on SHE exchange. More

Ningbo David Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Ningbo David's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Ningbo David Medical upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Ningbo David Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Ningbo David's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Ningbo David's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Ningbo David historical prices to predict the future Ningbo David's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
8.4412.7917.14
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
6.0110.3614.71
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
8.4212.7717.11
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.000.000.00
Details

Ningbo David Medical Backtested Returns

Ningbo David appears to be somewhat reliable, given 3 months investment horizon. Ningbo David Medical has Sharpe Ratio of 0.13, which conveys that the firm had a 0.13% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. By analyzing Ningbo David's technical indicators, you can evaluate if the expected return of 0.57% is justified by implied risk. Please exercise Ningbo David's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1016, downside deviation of 4.09, and Mean Deviation of 2.81 to check out if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Ningbo David holds a performance score of 10. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of -0.78, which conveys possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Ningbo David are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Ningbo David is likely to outperform the market. Please check Ningbo David's downside deviation, standard deviation, total risk alpha, as well as the relationship between the coefficient of variation and jensen alpha , to make a quick decision on whether Ningbo David's current price movements will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.44  

Modest reverse predictability

Ningbo David Medical has modest reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Ningbo David time series from 13th of December 2022 to 8th of December 2023 and 8th of December 2023 to 2nd of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Ningbo David Medical price movement. The serial correlation of -0.44 indicates that just about 44.0% of current Ningbo David price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.44
Spearman Rank Test-0.05
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance2.22

Ningbo David Medical lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Ningbo David stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Ningbo David's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Ningbo David returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Ningbo David has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Ningbo David regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Ningbo David stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Ningbo David stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Ningbo David stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Ningbo David Lagged Returns

When evaluating Ningbo David's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Ningbo David stock have on its future price. Ningbo David autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Ningbo David autocorrelation shows the relationship between Ningbo David stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Ningbo David Medical.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Ningbo Stock

Ningbo David financial ratios help investors to determine whether Ningbo Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Ningbo with respect to the benefits of owning Ningbo David security.