Silkroad Visual (China) Market Value

300556 Stock   20.19  0.19  0.93%   
Silkroad Visual's market value is the price at which a share of Silkroad Visual trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Silkroad Visual Technology investors about its performance. Silkroad Visual is trading at 20.19 as of the 27th of November 2024, a 0.93 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 20.38.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Silkroad Visual Technology and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Silkroad Visual over a given investment horizon. Check out Silkroad Visual Correlation, Silkroad Visual Volatility and Silkroad Visual Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Silkroad Visual.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Silkroad Visual's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Silkroad Visual is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Silkroad Visual's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Silkroad Visual 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Silkroad Visual's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Silkroad Visual.
0.00
10/28/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/27/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Silkroad Visual on October 28, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Silkroad Visual Technology or generate 0.0% return on investment in Silkroad Visual over 30 days. Silkroad Visual is related to or competes with PetroChina, China State, China Mobile, Industrial, China Life, Ping An, and China Construction. Silkroad Visual is entity of China. It is traded as Stock on SHE exchange. More

Silkroad Visual Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Silkroad Visual's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Silkroad Visual Technology upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Silkroad Visual Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Silkroad Visual's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Silkroad Visual's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Silkroad Visual historical prices to predict the future Silkroad Visual's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
16.4721.3226.17
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
12.0416.8921.74
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
15.9920.8425.69
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Silkroad Visual. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Silkroad Visual's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Silkroad Visual's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Silkroad Visual Tech.

Silkroad Visual Tech Backtested Returns

Silkroad Visual appears to be somewhat reliable, given 3 months investment horizon. Silkroad Visual Tech owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.12, which indicates the firm had a 0.12% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. By inspecting Silkroad Visual's technical indicators, you can evaluate if the expected return of 0.6% is justified by implied risk. Please review Silkroad Visual's Coefficient Of Variation of 1341.39, semi deviation of 4.22, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0654 to confirm if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Silkroad Visual holds a performance score of 9. The entity has a beta of -0.25, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Silkroad Visual are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Silkroad Visual is likely to outperform the market. Please check Silkroad Visual's semi deviation, coefficient of variation, jensen alpha, as well as the relationship between the downside deviation and standard deviation , to make a quick decision on whether Silkroad Visual's existing price patterns will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.35  

Below average predictability

Silkroad Visual Technology has below average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Silkroad Visual time series from 28th of October 2024 to 12th of November 2024 and 12th of November 2024 to 27th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Silkroad Visual Tech price movement. The serial correlation of 0.35 indicates that nearly 35.0% of current Silkroad Visual price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.35
Spearman Rank Test-0.31
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.37

Silkroad Visual Tech lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Silkroad Visual stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Silkroad Visual's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Silkroad Visual returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Silkroad Visual has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Silkroad Visual regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Silkroad Visual stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Silkroad Visual stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Silkroad Visual stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Silkroad Visual Lagged Returns

When evaluating Silkroad Visual's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Silkroad Visual stock have on its future price. Silkroad Visual autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Silkroad Visual autocorrelation shows the relationship between Silkroad Visual stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Silkroad Visual Technology.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Silkroad Stock

Silkroad Visual financial ratios help investors to determine whether Silkroad Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Silkroad with respect to the benefits of owning Silkroad Visual security.