Hunan Airbluer (China) Market Value

301259 Stock   49.97  0.06  0.12%   
Hunan Airbluer's market value is the price at which a share of Hunan Airbluer trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Hunan Airbluer Environmental investors about its performance. Hunan Airbluer is trading at 49.97 as of the 27th of November 2024, a 0.12% down since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 50.03.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Hunan Airbluer Environmental and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Hunan Airbluer over a given investment horizon. Check out Hunan Airbluer Correlation, Hunan Airbluer Volatility and Hunan Airbluer Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Hunan Airbluer.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Hunan Airbluer's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Hunan Airbluer is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Hunan Airbluer's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Hunan Airbluer 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Hunan Airbluer's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Hunan Airbluer.
0.00
08/29/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 3 months and 1 day
11/27/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Hunan Airbluer on August 29, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Hunan Airbluer Environmental or generate 0.0% return on investment in Hunan Airbluer over 90 days. Hunan Airbluer is related to or competes with Jiangsu Yanghe, Zhejiang Yayi, Western Metal, Guocheng Mining, Chongqing Brewery, Guangzhou Zhujiang, and Beijing Yanjing. More

Hunan Airbluer Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Hunan Airbluer's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Hunan Airbluer Environmental upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Hunan Airbluer Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Hunan Airbluer's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Hunan Airbluer's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Hunan Airbluer historical prices to predict the future Hunan Airbluer's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
45.5749.9754.37
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
32.9437.3454.97
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
48.9553.3457.74
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
45.6349.7453.86
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Hunan Airbluer. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Hunan Airbluer's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Hunan Airbluer's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Hunan Airbluer Envir.

Hunan Airbluer Envir Backtested Returns

Hunan Airbluer is not too volatile given 3 months investment horizon. Hunan Airbluer Envir holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of 0.27, which attests that the entity had a 0.27% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We were able to analyze thirty different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate if expected returns of 1.18% are justified by taking the suggested risk. Use Hunan Airbluer Environmental Downside Deviation of 3.27, risk adjusted performance of 0.2137, and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of (7.54) to evaluate company specific risk that cannot be diversified away. Hunan Airbluer holds a performance score of 21 on a scale of zero to a hundred. The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of -0.16, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Hunan Airbluer are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Hunan Airbluer is likely to outperform the market. Use Hunan Airbluer Environmental standard deviation, total risk alpha, and the relationship between the coefficient of variation and jensen alpha , to analyze future returns on Hunan Airbluer Environmental.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.31  

Below average predictability

Hunan Airbluer Environmental has below average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Hunan Airbluer time series from 29th of August 2024 to 13th of October 2024 and 13th of October 2024 to 27th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Hunan Airbluer Envir price movement. The serial correlation of 0.31 indicates that nearly 31.0% of current Hunan Airbluer price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.31
Spearman Rank Test0.35
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance32.42

Hunan Airbluer Envir lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Hunan Airbluer stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Hunan Airbluer's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Hunan Airbluer returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Hunan Airbluer has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Hunan Airbluer regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Hunan Airbluer stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Hunan Airbluer stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Hunan Airbluer stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Hunan Airbluer Lagged Returns

When evaluating Hunan Airbluer's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Hunan Airbluer stock have on its future price. Hunan Airbluer autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Hunan Airbluer autocorrelation shows the relationship between Hunan Airbluer stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Hunan Airbluer Environmental.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Hunan Stock

Hunan Airbluer financial ratios help investors to determine whether Hunan Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Hunan with respect to the benefits of owning Hunan Airbluer security.