Formosa Sumco (Taiwan) Market Value

3532 Stock  TWD 116.50  0.50  0.43%   
Formosa Sumco's market value is the price at which a share of Formosa Sumco trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Formosa Sumco Technology investors about its performance. Formosa Sumco is selling for under 116.50 as of the 24th of November 2024; that is 0.43% increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 116.5.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Formosa Sumco Technology and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Formosa Sumco over a given investment horizon. Check out Formosa Sumco Correlation, Formosa Sumco Volatility and Formosa Sumco Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Formosa Sumco.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Formosa Sumco's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Formosa Sumco is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Formosa Sumco's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Formosa Sumco 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Formosa Sumco's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Formosa Sumco.
0.00
10/25/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/24/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Formosa Sumco on October 25, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Formosa Sumco Technology or generate 0.0% return on investment in Formosa Sumco over 30 days. Formosa Sumco is related to or competes with Novatek Microelectronics, Quanta Computer, and United Microelectronics. Formosa Sumco Technology Corporation provides silicon wafer in Taiwan More

Formosa Sumco Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Formosa Sumco's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Formosa Sumco Technology upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Formosa Sumco Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Formosa Sumco's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Formosa Sumco's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Formosa Sumco historical prices to predict the future Formosa Sumco's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
114.71116.50118.29
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
82.0983.88128.15
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
111.00112.79114.58
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
115.86116.33116.80
Details

Formosa Sumco Technology Backtested Returns

Formosa Sumco Technology secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.17, which denotes the company had a -0.17% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Formosa Sumco Technology exposes twenty-four different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Formosa Sumco's Standard Deviation of 1.77, mean deviation of 1.36, and Variance of 3.12 to check the risk estimate we provide. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.46, which means possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Formosa Sumco's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Formosa Sumco is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Formosa Sumco Technology has a negative expected return of -0.31%. Please make sure to confirm Formosa Sumco's jensen alpha, treynor ratio, value at risk, as well as the relationship between the total risk alpha and maximum drawdown , to decide if Formosa Sumco Technology performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.01  

Virtually no predictability

Formosa Sumco Technology has virtually no predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Formosa Sumco time series from 25th of October 2024 to 9th of November 2024 and 9th of November 2024 to 24th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Formosa Sumco Technology price movement. The serial correlation of 0.01 indicates that just 1.0% of current Formosa Sumco price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.01
Spearman Rank Test-0.25
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance7.45

Formosa Sumco Technology lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Formosa Sumco stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Formosa Sumco's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Formosa Sumco returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Formosa Sumco has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Formosa Sumco regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Formosa Sumco stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Formosa Sumco stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Formosa Sumco stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Formosa Sumco Lagged Returns

When evaluating Formosa Sumco's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Formosa Sumco stock have on its future price. Formosa Sumco autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Formosa Sumco autocorrelation shows the relationship between Formosa Sumco stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Formosa Sumco Technology.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Additional Tools for Formosa Stock Analysis

When running Formosa Sumco's price analysis, check to measure Formosa Sumco's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Formosa Sumco is operating at the current time. Most of Formosa Sumco's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Formosa Sumco's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Formosa Sumco's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Formosa Sumco to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.