CNH Industrial (Germany) Market Value
| 37C Stock | EUR 11.98 0.45 3.90% |
| Symbol | CNH |
CNH Industrial 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to CNH Industrial's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of CNH Industrial.
| 10/28/2024 |
| 11/27/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in CNH Industrial on October 28, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding CNH Industrial NV or generate 0.0% return on investment in CNH Industrial over 30 days. CNH Industrial is related to or competes with Superior Plus, NMI Holdings, Origin Agritech, SIVERS SEMICONDUCTORS, Talanx AG, NorAm Drilling, and Identiv. CNH Industrial N.V. designs, produces, markets, sells, and finances agricultural and construction equipment, trucks, com... More
CNH Industrial Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure CNH Industrial's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess CNH Industrial NV upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 2.57 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0997 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 17.2 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.53) | |||
| Potential Upside | 5.63 |
CNH Industrial Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for CNH Industrial's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as CNH Industrial's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use CNH Industrial historical prices to predict the future CNH Industrial's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.118 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.3032 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.04) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.1107 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.4796 |
CNH Industrial NV Backtested Returns
CNH Industrial appears to be not too volatile, given 3 months investment horizon. CNH Industrial NV secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.16, which signifies that the company had a 0.16% return per unit of return volatility over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for CNH Industrial NV, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please makes use of CNH Industrial's Mean Deviation of 2.03, semi deviation of 2.26, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.118 to double-check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, CNH Industrial holds a performance score of 12. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.84, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, CNH Industrial's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding CNH Industrial is expected to be smaller as well. Please check CNH Industrial's semi deviation, coefficient of variation, and the relationship between the mean deviation and downside deviation , to make a quick decision on whether CNH Industrial's price patterns will revert.
Auto-correlation | -0.34 |
Poor reverse predictability
CNH Industrial NV has poor reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between CNH Industrial time series from 28th of October 2024 to 12th of November 2024 and 12th of November 2024 to 27th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of CNH Industrial NV price movement. The serial correlation of -0.34 indicates that nearly 34.0% of current CNH Industrial price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.34 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.37 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.5 |
CNH Industrial NV lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is CNH Industrial stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting CNH Industrial's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of CNH Industrial returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that CNH Industrial has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
CNH Industrial regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If CNH Industrial stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if CNH Industrial stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in CNH Industrial stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
CNH Industrial Lagged Returns
When evaluating CNH Industrial's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of CNH Industrial stock have on its future price. CNH Industrial autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, CNH Industrial autocorrelation shows the relationship between CNH Industrial stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in CNH Industrial NV.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis
Additional Information and Resources on Investing in CNH Stock
When determining whether CNH Industrial NV offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of CNH Industrial's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Cnh Industrial Nv Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Cnh Industrial Nv Stock:Check out CNH Industrial Correlation, CNH Industrial Volatility and CNH Industrial Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on CNH Industrial. You can also try the Economic Indicators module to top statistical indicators that provide insights into how an economy is performing.
CNH Industrial technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.