Taiwan Chelic (Taiwan) Market Value

4555 Stock  TWD 37.10  0.20  0.54%   
Taiwan Chelic's market value is the price at which a share of Taiwan Chelic trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Taiwan Chelic Corp investors about its performance. Taiwan Chelic is selling for under 37.10 as of the 2nd of December 2024; that is 0.54 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 36.5.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Taiwan Chelic Corp and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Taiwan Chelic over a given investment horizon. Check out Taiwan Chelic Correlation, Taiwan Chelic Volatility and Taiwan Chelic Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Taiwan Chelic.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Taiwan Chelic's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Taiwan Chelic is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Taiwan Chelic's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Taiwan Chelic 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Taiwan Chelic's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Taiwan Chelic.
0.00
11/02/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
12/02/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Taiwan Chelic on November 2, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Taiwan Chelic Corp or generate 0.0% return on investment in Taiwan Chelic over 30 days. Taiwan Chelic is related to or competes with Airtac International, Hiwin Technologies, TBI Motion, Globaltek Fabrication, and Ta Liang. Ltd. manufactures and sells pneumatic and electric actuator automation components in Taiwan and internationally More

Taiwan Chelic Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Taiwan Chelic's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Taiwan Chelic Corp upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Taiwan Chelic Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Taiwan Chelic's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Taiwan Chelic's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Taiwan Chelic historical prices to predict the future Taiwan Chelic's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
34.6337.1039.57
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
34.6337.1039.57
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
36.3738.8441.32
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
34.8338.7342.64
Details

Taiwan Chelic Corp Backtested Returns

Taiwan Chelic Corp owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of -0.15, which indicates the firm had a -0.15% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Taiwan Chelic Corp exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please validate Taiwan Chelic's Variance of 6.3, risk adjusted performance of (0.13), and Coefficient Of Variation of (540.46) to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The entity has a beta of 0.53, which indicates possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Taiwan Chelic's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Taiwan Chelic is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Taiwan Chelic Corp has a negative expected return of -0.37%. Please make sure to validate Taiwan Chelic's mean deviation, standard deviation, total risk alpha, as well as the relationship between the coefficient of variation and jensen alpha , to decide if Taiwan Chelic Corp performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.11  

Insignificant reverse predictability

Taiwan Chelic Corp has insignificant reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Taiwan Chelic time series from 2nd of November 2024 to 17th of November 2024 and 17th of November 2024 to 2nd of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Taiwan Chelic Corp price movement. The serial correlation of -0.11 indicates that less than 11.0% of current Taiwan Chelic price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.11
Spearman Rank Test-0.11
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.22

Taiwan Chelic Corp lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Taiwan Chelic stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Taiwan Chelic's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Taiwan Chelic returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Taiwan Chelic has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Taiwan Chelic regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Taiwan Chelic stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Taiwan Chelic stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Taiwan Chelic stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Taiwan Chelic Lagged Returns

When evaluating Taiwan Chelic's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Taiwan Chelic stock have on its future price. Taiwan Chelic autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Taiwan Chelic autocorrelation shows the relationship between Taiwan Chelic stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Taiwan Chelic Corp.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Additional Tools for Taiwan Stock Analysis

When running Taiwan Chelic's price analysis, check to measure Taiwan Chelic's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Taiwan Chelic is operating at the current time. Most of Taiwan Chelic's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Taiwan Chelic's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Taiwan Chelic's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Taiwan Chelic to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.