Tex Year (Taiwan) Market Value

4720 Stock  TWD 19.60  0.65  3.21%   
Tex Year's market value is the price at which a share of Tex Year trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Tex Year Industries investors about its performance. Tex Year is selling for under 19.60 as of the 28th of November 2024; that is 3.21 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 19.6.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Tex Year Industries and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Tex Year over a given investment horizon. Check out Tex Year Correlation, Tex Year Volatility and Tex Year Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Tex Year.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Tex Year's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Tex Year is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Tex Year's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Tex Year 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Tex Year's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Tex Year.
0.00
10/29/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/28/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Tex Year on October 29, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Tex Year Industries or generate 0.0% return on investment in Tex Year over 30 days. Tex Year is related to or competes with Jinan Acetate, San Fu, Concraft Holding, Halfords Group, and Hang Seng. Tex Year Industries Inc. manufactures and sells hot melt adhesives in Taiwan and internationally More

Tex Year Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Tex Year's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Tex Year Industries upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Tex Year Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Tex Year's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Tex Year's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Tex Year historical prices to predict the future Tex Year's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
17.4019.6021.80
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
14.6116.8121.56
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
16.3318.5220.72
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
19.6020.2820.96
Details

Tex Year Industries Backtested Returns

Tex Year Industries owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of -0.08, which indicates the firm had a -0.08% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Tex Year Industries exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please validate Tex Year's Variance of 4.87, risk adjusted performance of (0.03), and Coefficient Of Variation of (2,415) to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The entity has a beta of 0.48, which indicates possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Tex Year's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Tex Year is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Tex Year Industries has a negative expected return of -0.17%. Please make sure to validate Tex Year's maximum drawdown, potential upside, kurtosis, as well as the relationship between the value at risk and skewness , to decide if Tex Year Industries performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.53  

Good reverse predictability

Tex Year Industries has good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Tex Year time series from 29th of October 2024 to 13th of November 2024 and 13th of November 2024 to 28th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Tex Year Industries price movement. The serial correlation of -0.53 indicates that about 53.0% of current Tex Year price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.53
Spearman Rank Test-0.25
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.12

Tex Year Industries lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Tex Year stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Tex Year's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Tex Year returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Tex Year has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Tex Year regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Tex Year stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Tex Year stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Tex Year stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Tex Year Lagged Returns

When evaluating Tex Year's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Tex Year stock have on its future price. Tex Year autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Tex Year autocorrelation shows the relationship between Tex Year stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Tex Year Industries.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for Tex Stock Analysis

When running Tex Year's price analysis, check to measure Tex Year's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Tex Year is operating at the current time. Most of Tex Year's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Tex Year's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Tex Year's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Tex Year to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.