Double Bond (Taiwan) Market Value

4764 Stock  TWD 43.85  0.60  1.35%   
Double Bond's market value is the price at which a share of Double Bond trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Double Bond Chemical investors about its performance. Double Bond is selling for under 43.85 as of the 23rd of November 2024; that is 1.35 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 43.85.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Double Bond Chemical and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Double Bond over a given investment horizon. Check out Double Bond Correlation, Double Bond Volatility and Double Bond Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Double Bond.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Double Bond's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Double Bond is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Double Bond's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Double Bond 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Double Bond's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Double Bond.
0.00
12/04/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 22 days
11/23/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Double Bond on December 4, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Double Bond Chemical or generate 0.0% return on investment in Double Bond over 720 days. Double Bond is related to or competes with Coremax Corp, Phytohealth Corp, Shiny Chemical, YungShin Global, and Standard Chemical. Co., Ltd. manufactures and sells fine chemicals with focus on the polymer and UV-coating industries in Taiwan and intern... More

Double Bond Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Double Bond's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Double Bond Chemical upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Double Bond Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Double Bond's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Double Bond's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Double Bond historical prices to predict the future Double Bond's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
42.4643.8545.24
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
43.2244.6146.00
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
43.1144.5145.90
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
43.5944.1044.61
Details

Double Bond Chemical Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider Double Stock to be very steady. Double Bond Chemical secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0158, which denotes the company had a 0.0158% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found thirty technical indicators for Double Bond Chemical, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please confirm Double Bond's Downside Deviation of 1.35, coefficient of variation of 2781.43, and Mean Deviation of 0.9644 to check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0218%. Double Bond has a performance score of 1 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.19, which means not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Double Bond's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Double Bond is expected to be smaller as well. Double Bond Chemical right now shows a risk of 1.38%. Please confirm Double Bond Chemical total risk alpha, treynor ratio, and the relationship between the jensen alpha and sortino ratio , to decide if Double Bond Chemical will be following its price patterns.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.69  

Very good reverse predictability

Double Bond Chemical has very good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Double Bond time series from 4th of December 2022 to 29th of November 2023 and 29th of November 2023 to 23rd of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Double Bond Chemical price movement. The serial correlation of -0.69 indicates that around 69.0% of current Double Bond price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.69
Spearman Rank Test-0.6
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance14.79

Double Bond Chemical lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Double Bond stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Double Bond's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Double Bond returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Double Bond has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Double Bond regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Double Bond stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Double Bond stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Double Bond stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Double Bond Lagged Returns

When evaluating Double Bond's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Double Bond stock have on its future price. Double Bond autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Double Bond autocorrelation shows the relationship between Double Bond stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Double Bond Chemical.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Additional Tools for Double Stock Analysis

When running Double Bond's price analysis, check to measure Double Bond's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Double Bond is operating at the current time. Most of Double Bond's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Double Bond's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Double Bond's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Double Bond to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.