Global Lighting (Taiwan) Market Value

4935 Stock  TWD 61.80  0.30  0.48%   
Global Lighting's market value is the price at which a share of Global Lighting trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Global Lighting Technologies investors about its performance. Global Lighting is selling for under 61.80 as of the 2nd of December 2024; that is 0.48 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 61.3.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Global Lighting Technologies and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Global Lighting over a given investment horizon. Check out Global Lighting Correlation, Global Lighting Volatility and Global Lighting Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Global Lighting.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Global Lighting's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Global Lighting is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Global Lighting's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Global Lighting 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Global Lighting's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Global Lighting.
0.00
05/06/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 6 months and 30 days
12/02/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Global Lighting on May 6, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Global Lighting Technologies or generate 0.0% return on investment in Global Lighting over 210 days. Global Lighting is related to or competes with Arcadyan Technology, Zhen Ding, Taiwan Surface, Flexium Interconnect, and General Interface. Global Lighting Technologies Inc. engineers and manufactures custom light guides for companies worldwide More

Global Lighting Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Global Lighting's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Global Lighting Technologies upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Global Lighting Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Global Lighting's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Global Lighting's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Global Lighting historical prices to predict the future Global Lighting's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
59.0761.8064.53
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
52.2154.9467.98
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
63.3166.0468.78
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
57.1966.2475.30
Details

Global Lighting Tech Backtested Returns

Global Lighting Tech holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of -0.0311, which attests that the entity had a -0.0311% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Global Lighting Tech exposes twenty-nine different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check out Global Lighting's Market Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.17), downside deviation of 2.46, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0418 to validate the risk estimate we provide. The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of -0.67, which attests to possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Global Lighting are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Global Lighting is likely to outperform the market. At this point, Global Lighting Tech has a negative expected return of -0.0849%. Please make sure to check out Global Lighting's downside deviation, standard deviation, total risk alpha, as well as the relationship between the coefficient of variation and jensen alpha , to decide if Global Lighting Tech performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.01  

Virtually no predictability

Global Lighting Technologies has virtually no predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Global Lighting time series from 6th of May 2024 to 19th of August 2024 and 19th of August 2024 to 2nd of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Global Lighting Tech price movement. The serial correlation of 0.01 indicates that just 1.0% of current Global Lighting price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.01
Spearman Rank Test0.0
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance31.77

Global Lighting Tech lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Global Lighting stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Global Lighting's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Global Lighting returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Global Lighting has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Global Lighting regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Global Lighting stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Global Lighting stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Global Lighting stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Global Lighting Lagged Returns

When evaluating Global Lighting's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Global Lighting stock have on its future price. Global Lighting autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Global Lighting autocorrelation shows the relationship between Global Lighting stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Global Lighting Technologies.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Additional Tools for Global Stock Analysis

When running Global Lighting's price analysis, check to measure Global Lighting's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Global Lighting is operating at the current time. Most of Global Lighting's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Global Lighting's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Global Lighting's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Global Lighting to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.