RichWave Technology (Taiwan) Market Value

4968 Stock  TWD 190.50  6.00  3.25%   
RichWave Technology's market value is the price at which a share of RichWave Technology trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of RichWave Technology Corp investors about its performance. RichWave Technology is selling for under 190.50 as of the 24th of November 2024; that is 3.25% increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 183.5.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of RichWave Technology Corp and determine expected loss or profit from investing in RichWave Technology over a given investment horizon. Check out RichWave Technology Correlation, RichWave Technology Volatility and RichWave Technology Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on RichWave Technology.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between RichWave Technology's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if RichWave Technology is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, RichWave Technology's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

RichWave Technology 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to RichWave Technology's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of RichWave Technology.
0.00
05/04/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 6 months and 24 days
11/24/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in RichWave Technology on May 4, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding RichWave Technology Corp or generate 0.0% return on investment in RichWave Technology over 570 days. RichWave Technology is related to or competes with Novatek Microelectronics, Quanta Computer, and United Microelectronics. RichWave Technology Corporation designs, develops, and sells radio frequency integrated circuits in Taiwan More

RichWave Technology Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure RichWave Technology's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess RichWave Technology Corp upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

RichWave Technology Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for RichWave Technology's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as RichWave Technology's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use RichWave Technology historical prices to predict the future RichWave Technology's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
187.00190.50194.00
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
151.59155.09209.55
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
188.66192.16195.66
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
182.84188.50194.16
Details

RichWave Technology Corp Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider RichWave Stock to be very steady. RichWave Technology Corp maintains Sharpe Ratio (i.e., Efficiency) of 0.0411, which implies the firm had a 0.0411% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found thirty technical indicators for RichWave Technology Corp, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the company. Please check RichWave Technology's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0398, semi deviation of 2.9, and Coefficient Of Variation of 2398.08 to confirm if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.14%. RichWave Technology has a performance score of 3 on a scale of 0 to 100. The company holds a Beta of 1.27, which implies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, RichWave Technology will likely underperform. RichWave Technology Corp right now holds a risk of 3.5%. Please check RichWave Technology Corp downside deviation, standard deviation, and the relationship between the semi deviation and coefficient of variation , to decide if RichWave Technology Corp will be following its historical price patterns.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.05  

Very weak reverse predictability

RichWave Technology Corp has very weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between RichWave Technology time series from 4th of May 2023 to 13th of February 2024 and 13th of February 2024 to 24th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of RichWave Technology Corp price movement. The serial correlation of -0.05 indicates that only as little as 5.0% of current RichWave Technology price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.05
Spearman Rank Test-0.01
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance552.69

RichWave Technology Corp lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is RichWave Technology stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting RichWave Technology's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of RichWave Technology returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that RichWave Technology has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

RichWave Technology regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If RichWave Technology stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if RichWave Technology stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in RichWave Technology stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

RichWave Technology Lagged Returns

When evaluating RichWave Technology's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of RichWave Technology stock have on its future price. RichWave Technology autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, RichWave Technology autocorrelation shows the relationship between RichWave Technology stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in RichWave Technology Corp.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Additional Tools for RichWave Stock Analysis

When running RichWave Technology's price analysis, check to measure RichWave Technology's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy RichWave Technology is operating at the current time. Most of RichWave Technology's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of RichWave Technology's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move RichWave Technology's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of RichWave Technology to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.