CVS Group (Germany) Market Value

4C9 Stock  EUR 10.60  0.20  1.85%   
CVS Group's market value is the price at which a share of CVS Group trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of CVS Group plc investors about its performance. CVS Group is trading at 10.60 as of the 11th of December 2024. This is a 1.85 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 10.6.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of CVS Group plc and determine expected loss or profit from investing in CVS Group over a given investment horizon. Check out CVS Group Correlation, CVS Group Volatility and CVS Group Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on CVS Group.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between CVS Group's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if CVS Group is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, CVS Group's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

CVS Group 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to CVS Group's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of CVS Group.
0.00
11/11/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
12/11/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in CVS Group on November 11, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding CVS Group plc or generate 0.0% return on investment in CVS Group over 30 days. CVS Group is related to or competes with MGIC INVESTMENT, Flutter Entertainment, GigaMedia, and PARKEN Sport. CVS Group plc engages in veterinary, online pharmacy, and retail businesses More

CVS Group Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure CVS Group's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess CVS Group plc upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

CVS Group Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for CVS Group's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as CVS Group's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use CVS Group historical prices to predict the future CVS Group's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
7.9410.8013.66
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
6.599.4512.31
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
8.7411.6014.46
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
9.0710.0210.98
Details

CVS Group plc Backtested Returns

CVS Group plc secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0954, which signifies that the company had a -0.0954% return per unit of volatility over the last 3 months. CVS Group plc exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm CVS Group's mean deviation of 2.17, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.05) to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.88, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As the market becomes more bullish, returns on owning CVS Group are expected to decrease slowly. On the other hand, during market turmoil, CVS Group is expected to outperform it slightly. At this point, CVS Group plc has a negative expected return of -0.27%. Please make sure to confirm CVS Group's treynor ratio, potential upside, and the relationship between the total risk alpha and maximum drawdown , to decide if CVS Group plc performance from the past will be repeated at future time.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.62  

Very good reverse predictability

CVS Group plc has very good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between CVS Group time series from 11th of November 2024 to 26th of November 2024 and 26th of November 2024 to 11th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of CVS Group plc price movement. The serial correlation of -0.62 indicates that roughly 62.0% of current CVS Group price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.62
Spearman Rank Test-0.84
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.24

CVS Group plc lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is CVS Group stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting CVS Group's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of CVS Group returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that CVS Group has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

CVS Group regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If CVS Group stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if CVS Group stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in CVS Group stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

CVS Group Lagged Returns

When evaluating CVS Group's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of CVS Group stock have on its future price. CVS Group autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, CVS Group autocorrelation shows the relationship between CVS Group stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in CVS Group plc.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in CVS Stock

CVS Group financial ratios help investors to determine whether CVS Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in CVS with respect to the benefits of owning CVS Group security.