BAKED GAMES (Germany) Market Value
| 4U6 Stock | 0.33 0.02 6.45% |
| Symbol | BAKED |
Please note, there is a significant difference between BAKED GAMES's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if BAKED GAMES is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, BAKED GAMES's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
BAKED GAMES 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to BAKED GAMES's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of BAKED GAMES.
| 07/25/2025 |
| 01/21/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in BAKED GAMES on July 25, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding BAKED GAMES SA or generate 0.0% return on investment in BAKED GAMES over 180 days. BAKED GAMES is related to or competes with Apple, Apple, Apple, Apple, Apple, Apple, and Microsoft. More
BAKED GAMES Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure BAKED GAMES's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess BAKED GAMES SA upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 5.22 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.01) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 17.49 | |||
| Value At Risk | (7.14) | |||
| Potential Upside | 5.88 |
BAKED GAMES Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for BAKED GAMES's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as BAKED GAMES's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use BAKED GAMES historical prices to predict the future BAKED GAMES's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0122 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.02) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.31) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | (0.01) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.0246 |
BAKED GAMES SA Backtested Returns
BAKED GAMES SA secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0344, which signifies that the company had a -0.0344 % return per unit of return volatility over the last 3 months. BAKED GAMES SA exposes twenty-nine different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm BAKED GAMES's Downside Deviation of 5.22, coefficient of variation of 17475.09, and Mean Deviation of 2.43 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.44, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, BAKED GAMES's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding BAKED GAMES is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, BAKED GAMES SA has a negative expected return of -0.13%. Please make sure to confirm BAKED GAMES's coefficient of variation, jensen alpha, and the relationship between the downside deviation and standard deviation , to decide if BAKED GAMES SA performance from the past will be repeated at some future date.
Auto-correlation | 0.38 |
Below average predictability
BAKED GAMES SA has below average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between BAKED GAMES time series from 25th of July 2025 to 23rd of October 2025 and 23rd of October 2025 to 21st of January 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of BAKED GAMES SA price movement. The serial correlation of 0.38 indicates that just about 38.0% of current BAKED GAMES price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.38 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.15 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.0 |
BAKED GAMES SA lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is BAKED GAMES stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting BAKED GAMES's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of BAKED GAMES returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that BAKED GAMES has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
BAKED GAMES regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If BAKED GAMES stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if BAKED GAMES stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in BAKED GAMES stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
BAKED GAMES Lagged Returns
When evaluating BAKED GAMES's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of BAKED GAMES stock have on its future price. BAKED GAMES autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, BAKED GAMES autocorrelation shows the relationship between BAKED GAMES stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in BAKED GAMES SA.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis
Other Information on Investing in BAKED Stock
BAKED GAMES financial ratios help investors to determine whether BAKED Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in BAKED with respect to the benefits of owning BAKED GAMES security.