China Fund (China) Market Value

508028 Stock   10.07  0.02  0.20%   
China Fund's market value is the price at which a share of China Fund trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of China Fund Management investors about its performance. China Fund is trading at 10.07 as of the 27th of November 2024, a 0.20 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 10.05.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of China Fund Management and determine expected loss or profit from investing in China Fund over a given investment horizon. Check out China Fund Correlation, China Fund Volatility and China Fund Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on China Fund.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between China Fund's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if China Fund is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, China Fund's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

China Fund 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to China Fund's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of China Fund.
0.00
02/01/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 9 months and 28 days
11/27/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in China Fund on February 1, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding China Fund Management or generate 0.0% return on investment in China Fund over 300 days. China Fund is related to or competes with Omnijoi Media, TongFu Microelectronics, Hangzhou Weiguang, Southchip Semiconductor, Duzhe Publishing, Mango Excellent, and Zhejiang Daily. China Fund is entity of China. It is traded as Stock on SHG exchange. More

China Fund Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure China Fund's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess China Fund Management upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

China Fund Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for China Fund's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as China Fund's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use China Fund historical prices to predict the future China Fund's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9.7010.0710.44
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8.929.2911.08
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
9.6610.0310.40
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
9.9910.0610.14
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as China Fund. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against China Fund's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, China Fund's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in China Fund Management.

China Fund Management Backtested Returns

China Fund Management secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0896, which signifies that the company had a -0.0896% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. China Fund Management exposes twenty-four different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm China Fund's Standard Deviation of 0.3549, mean deviation of 0.2431, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.06) to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.0597, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, China Fund's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding China Fund is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, China Fund Management has a negative expected return of -0.0332%. Please make sure to confirm China Fund's standard deviation, total risk alpha, and the relationship between the coefficient of variation and jensen alpha , to decide if China Fund Management performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.53  

Good reverse predictability

China Fund Management has good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between China Fund time series from 1st of February 2024 to 30th of June 2024 and 30th of June 2024 to 27th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of China Fund Management price movement. The serial correlation of -0.53 indicates that about 53.0% of current China Fund price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.53
Spearman Rank Test-0.37
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.01

China Fund Management lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is China Fund stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting China Fund's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of China Fund returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that China Fund has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

China Fund regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If China Fund stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if China Fund stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in China Fund stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

China Fund Lagged Returns

When evaluating China Fund's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of China Fund stock have on its future price. China Fund autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, China Fund autocorrelation shows the relationship between China Fund stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in China Fund Management.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in China Stock

China Fund financial ratios help investors to determine whether China Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in China with respect to the benefits of owning China Fund security.