Sunway Construction (Malaysia) Market Value

5263 Stock   4.50  0.06  1.32%   
Sunway Construction's market value is the price at which a share of Sunway Construction trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Sunway Construction Group investors about its performance. Sunway Construction is selling for 4.50 as of the 26th of November 2024. This is a 1.32 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 4.47.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Sunway Construction Group and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Sunway Construction over a given investment horizon. Check out Sunway Construction Correlation, Sunway Construction Volatility and Sunway Construction Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Sunway Construction.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Sunway Construction's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Sunway Construction is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Sunway Construction's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Sunway Construction 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Sunway Construction's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Sunway Construction.
0.00
07/05/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 4 months and 26 days
11/26/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Sunway Construction on July 5, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Sunway Construction Group or generate 0.0% return on investment in Sunway Construction over 510 days. Sunway Construction is related to or competes with Central Industrial, PIE Industrial, Lysaght Galvanized, Star Media, Public Bank, Mycron Steel, and Eonmetall Group. More

Sunway Construction Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Sunway Construction's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Sunway Construction Group upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Sunway Construction Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Sunway Construction's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Sunway Construction's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Sunway Construction historical prices to predict the future Sunway Construction's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
2.004.507.00
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1.163.666.16
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
2.064.557.05
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
4.284.454.63
Details

Sunway Construction Backtested Returns

Sunway Construction appears to be moderately volatile, given 3 months investment horizon. Sunway Construction owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.11, which indicates the firm had a 0.11% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for Sunway Construction Group, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the company. Please review Sunway Construction's Semi Deviation of 2.33, coefficient of variation of 1864.11, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.048 to confirm if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Sunway Construction holds a performance score of 8. The entity has a beta of -0.16, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Sunway Construction are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Sunway Construction is likely to outperform the market. Please check Sunway Construction's downside deviation, standard deviation, total risk alpha, as well as the relationship between the coefficient of variation and jensen alpha , to make a quick decision on whether Sunway Construction's existing price patterns will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.61  

Good predictability

Sunway Construction Group has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Sunway Construction time series from 5th of July 2023 to 16th of March 2024 and 16th of March 2024 to 26th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Sunway Construction price movement. The serial correlation of 0.61 indicates that roughly 61.0% of current Sunway Construction price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.61
Spearman Rank Test0.65
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.49

Sunway Construction lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Sunway Construction stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Sunway Construction's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Sunway Construction returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Sunway Construction has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Sunway Construction regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Sunway Construction stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Sunway Construction stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Sunway Construction stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Sunway Construction Lagged Returns

When evaluating Sunway Construction's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Sunway Construction stock have on its future price. Sunway Construction autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Sunway Construction autocorrelation shows the relationship between Sunway Construction stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Sunway Construction Group.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Sunway Stock

Sunway Construction financial ratios help investors to determine whether Sunway Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Sunway with respect to the benefits of owning Sunway Construction security.