Sunway Construction (Malaysia) Price Prediction

5263 Stock   3.63  0.05  1.40%   
The value of RSI of Sunway Construction's stock price is about 66. This suggests that the stock is rather overbought by investors at the present time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Sunway, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

66

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Sunway Construction's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Sunway Construction and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Sunway Construction's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Sunway Construction Group, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Sunway Construction hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Sunway Construction Group from the perspective of Sunway Construction response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Sunway Construction to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Sunway because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Sunway Construction after-hype prediction price

    
  MYR 3.63  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Sunway Construction Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.523.356.18
Details

Sunway Construction After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Sunway Construction at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Sunway Construction or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Sunway Construction, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Sunway Construction Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Sunway Construction's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Sunway Construction's historical news coverage. Sunway Construction's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.80 and 6.46, respectively. We have considered Sunway Construction's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
3.63
3.63
After-hype Price
6.46
Upside
Sunway Construction is relatively risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Sunway Construction is based on 3 months time horizon.

Sunway Construction Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Sunway Construction is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Sunway Construction backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Sunway Construction, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.29 
2.83
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
In 5 to 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
3.63
3.63
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Sunway Construction Hype Timeline

Sunway Construction is presently traded for 3.63on Kuala Lumpur Exchange of Malaysia. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Sunway is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.29%. %. The volatility of related hype on Sunway Construction is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 3.63. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in 5 to 10 days.
Check out Sunway Construction Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Sunway Construction Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Sunway Construction's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Sunway Construction's future price movements. Getting to know how Sunway Construction's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Sunway Construction may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Sunway Construction Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Sunway price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Sunway using various technical indicators. When you analyze Sunway charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Sunway Construction Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Sunway Construction stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Sunway Construction Group, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Sunway Construction based on analysis of Sunway Construction hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Sunway Construction's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Sunway Construction's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Sunway Construction

The number of cover stories for Sunway Construction depends on current market conditions and Sunway Construction's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Sunway Construction is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Sunway Construction's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

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Sunway Construction Short Properties

Sunway Construction's future price predictability will typically decrease when Sunway Construction's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Sunway Construction Group often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Sunway Construction's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Sunway Construction's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1.3 B
Cash And Short Term Investments98.8 M

Other Information on Investing in Sunway Stock

Sunway Construction financial ratios help investors to determine whether Sunway Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Sunway with respect to the benefits of owning Sunway Construction security.