Shangri La (Malaysia) Market Value

5517 Stock   1.99  0.03  1.49%   
Shangri La's market value is the price at which a share of Shangri La trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Shangri La Hotels investors about its performance. Shangri La is selling for 1.99 as of the 22nd of November 2024. This is a 1.49 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 1.99.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Shangri La Hotels and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Shangri La over a given investment horizon. Check out Shangri La Correlation, Shangri La Volatility and Shangri La Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Shangri La.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Shangri La's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Shangri La is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Shangri La's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Shangri La 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Shangri La's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Shangri La.
0.00
10/23/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/22/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Shangri La on October 23, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Shangri La Hotels or generate 0.0% return on investment in Shangri La over 30 days. Shangri La is related to or competes with Minetech Resources, Sunzen Biotech, ViTrox Bhd, Hengyuan Refining, Impiana Hotels, and Icon Offshore. More

Shangri La Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Shangri La's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Shangri La Hotels upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Shangri La Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Shangri La's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Shangri La's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Shangri La historical prices to predict the future Shangri La's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.861.993.12
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.801.933.06
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.851.983.12
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1.962.002.03
Details

Shangri La Hotels Backtested Returns

Shangri La Hotels owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of -0.071, which indicates the firm had a -0.071% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Shangri La Hotels exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please validate Shangri La's Coefficient Of Variation of (1,808), risk adjusted performance of (0.04), and Variance of 1.18 to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The entity has a beta of 0.0483, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Shangri La's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Shangri La is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Shangri La Hotels has a negative expected return of -0.0804%. Please make sure to validate Shangri La's standard deviation, jensen alpha, and the relationship between the coefficient of variation and information ratio , to decide if Shangri La Hotels performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.24  

Weak predictability

Shangri La Hotels has weak predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Shangri La time series from 23rd of October 2024 to 7th of November 2024 and 7th of November 2024 to 22nd of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Shangri La Hotels price movement. The serial correlation of 0.24 indicates that over 24.0% of current Shangri La price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.24
Spearman Rank Test-0.08
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.0

Shangri La Hotels lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Shangri La stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Shangri La's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Shangri La returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Shangri La has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Shangri La regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Shangri La stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Shangri La stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Shangri La stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Shangri La Lagged Returns

When evaluating Shangri La's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Shangri La stock have on its future price. Shangri La autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Shangri La autocorrelation shows the relationship between Shangri La stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Shangri La Hotels.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Shangri Stock

Shangri La financial ratios help investors to determine whether Shangri Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Shangri with respect to the benefits of owning Shangri La security.