SVENSKA AEROGEL (Germany) Market Value

5L8 Stock  EUR 0.67  0.01  1.52%   
SVENSKA AEROGEL's market value is the price at which a share of SVENSKA AEROGEL trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of SVENSKA AEROGEL HOLDING investors about its performance. SVENSKA AEROGEL is trading at 0.67 as of the 15th of December 2024. This is a 1.52 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 0.66.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of SVENSKA AEROGEL HOLDING and determine expected loss or profit from investing in SVENSKA AEROGEL over a given investment horizon. Check out SVENSKA AEROGEL Correlation, SVENSKA AEROGEL Volatility and SVENSKA AEROGEL Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on SVENSKA AEROGEL.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between SVENSKA AEROGEL's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if SVENSKA AEROGEL is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, SVENSKA AEROGEL's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

SVENSKA AEROGEL 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to SVENSKA AEROGEL's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of SVENSKA AEROGEL.
0.00
12/26/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 21 days
12/15/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in SVENSKA AEROGEL on December 26, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding SVENSKA AEROGEL HOLDING or generate 0.0% return on investment in SVENSKA AEROGEL over 720 days. SVENSKA AEROGEL is related to or competes with Albemarle, Superior Plus, SIVERS SEMICONDUCTORS, Norsk Hydro, Reliance Steel, RYOHIN UNSPADR1, and Vanguard Funds. Svenska Aerogel Holding AB , through its subsidiary, engages in the research, development, production, and sale of aerog... More

SVENSKA AEROGEL Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure SVENSKA AEROGEL's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess SVENSKA AEROGEL HOLDING upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

SVENSKA AEROGEL Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for SVENSKA AEROGEL's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as SVENSKA AEROGEL's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use SVENSKA AEROGEL historical prices to predict the future SVENSKA AEROGEL's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.030.6784.17
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.030.5084.00
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.010.48393.53
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
-0.250.471.18
Details

SVENSKA AEROGEL HOLDING Backtested Returns

SVENSKA AEROGEL is out of control given 3 months investment horizon. SVENSKA AEROGEL HOLDING owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.41, which indicates the firm had a 0.41% return per unit of volatility over the last 3 months. We were able to interpolate twenty-nine different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate if expected returns of 162.83% are justified by taking the suggested risk. Use SVENSKA AEROGEL HOLDING coefficient of variation of 240.61, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.3113 to evaluate company specific risk that cannot be diversified away. SVENSKA AEROGEL holds a performance score of 32 on a scale of zero to a hundred. The entity has a beta of -196.31, which indicates a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning SVENSKA AEROGEL are expected to decrease by larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoil, SVENSKA AEROGEL is expected to outperform it. Use SVENSKA AEROGEL HOLDING semi deviation, coefficient of variation, and the relationship between the mean deviation and downside deviation , to analyze future returns on SVENSKA AEROGEL HOLDING.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.09  

Very weak reverse predictability

SVENSKA AEROGEL HOLDING has very weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between SVENSKA AEROGEL time series from 26th of December 2022 to 21st of December 2023 and 21st of December 2023 to 15th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of SVENSKA AEROGEL HOLDING price movement. The serial correlation of -0.09 indicates that less than 9.0% of current SVENSKA AEROGEL price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.09
Spearman Rank Test-0.25
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.11

SVENSKA AEROGEL HOLDING lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is SVENSKA AEROGEL stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting SVENSKA AEROGEL's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of SVENSKA AEROGEL returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that SVENSKA AEROGEL has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

SVENSKA AEROGEL regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If SVENSKA AEROGEL stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if SVENSKA AEROGEL stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in SVENSKA AEROGEL stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

SVENSKA AEROGEL Lagged Returns

When evaluating SVENSKA AEROGEL's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of SVENSKA AEROGEL stock have on its future price. SVENSKA AEROGEL autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, SVENSKA AEROGEL autocorrelation shows the relationship between SVENSKA AEROGEL stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in SVENSKA AEROGEL HOLDING.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in SVENSKA Stock

SVENSKA AEROGEL financial ratios help investors to determine whether SVENSKA Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in SVENSKA with respect to the benefits of owning SVENSKA AEROGEL security.